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Theo2013.
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- December 10, 2016 at 11:14 #1276417
2:25 Cheltenham
74 points @ 4/1 (B365) No Hastle Hoff* (min 100/30)
26 points @ 8/1 (B365) Impulsive Star* (min 15/2)
saver:
13 points @ 8/1 (B365) Anchor Man (min 15/2)Value Is EverythingDecember 10, 2016 at 12:03 #12764511:15 Cheltenham
30 points @ 15/2 (B365) Baltimore Rock* (min 7/1)
60 points @ 4/1 (B365) Sizing Platinum* (min 7/2)
saver:
30 points @ 3/1 (sportinget) Vaniteaux (min 11/4)Value Is EverythingDecember 10, 2016 at 12:09 #12764561:50 Cheltenham
31 points @ 8.6/1 (betfair) Village Vic* (min 7/1)saver:
15 points @ 7/1 (b365) Kylemore Lough (min 7/1)30 points @ 12.5/1 (betfair) Frodon* (min 10/1)(£193 available)
29 points @ 15/1 (betfair) Thomas Brown* (min 12/1)(£91 availale)
saver:
6 points @ 20/1 (C) Quite By Chance (min 16/1)LAY 20 points @ 10.5/1 (betfair) Frodon (min 12/1)
20 points @ 15/2 (PP) Kylemore Lough* (min 7/1)
30 points @ 10/1 (B365) Aloomomo* (min 9/1)
Value Is EverythingDecember 10, 2016 at 17:41 #1276607Champion Hurdle
37 points @ 25/1 (Sky) The New One* (min 14/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 12, 2016 at 21:56 #1276958The New One seems a good shout given it looks like the Champion Hurdle will be wide open in 2017. I’m thinking about Un de Sceaux for the Ryanair. It seems the obvious race for him given Douvan will go the Champion Chase, and given UDS’s persistent performance in the Tingle Creek, he might get the slightly longer trip. The odds suggest he might not run but where else could he go?
December 13, 2016 at 22:29 #1277092The New One seems a good shout given it looks like the Champion Hurdle will be wide open in 2017. I’m thinking about Un de Sceaux for the Ryanair. It seems the obvious race for him given Douvan will go the Champion Chase, and given UDS’s persistent performance in the Tingle Creek, he might get the slightly longer trip. The odds suggest he might not run but where else could he go?
Hi Kasparov, this is what I said in the Champion Chase thread:
Un De Sceaux is fully effective on soft or good ground, judge. However…
Douvan is long odds-on to go for the Champion Chase. So if Douvan goes Champion it’s odds-on Un De Sceaux goes for the Ryanair. imo Last season Un De Sceaux didn’t settle well enough for the Ryanair trip, but stayed almost 21 1/2 furlongs well enough to win the Prix La Barka on supposedly soft ground at Auteuil on 21st May. After the first few fences allowed his own way up front, whether he’ll settle if taken on throughout remains to be seen. Ruby said in an interview immediately afterwards that UDS is better suited by that trip these days. I don’t agree with him, but it’s now probable UDS is equally effective from 2m to 2m4.5f – at least when not taken on and/or when ground is not too testing. Walsh’s words suggest the Ryanair is (at the moment) the intended target. However that could change.
tbh I’d be more inclined to back UDS for the Ryanair @ 9/1 than Champion Chase @ 10/1, trouble is don’t like relying on two horses to make it to middle of March without injury. Because not only do I lose money if UDS were injured, I’d also lose out if Douvan were injured too – because if Douvan doesn’t make Cheltenham long odds-on Un De Sceaux is re-routed back to the Champion.
Willie doesn’t make it easy for us.
Value Is EverythingDecember 13, 2016 at 22:35 #1277093I suppose 6/1 for UDS to win something at the festival looks ok value but my concern is he might not run at all.
December 13, 2016 at 22:50 #1277094Take the 6/1 quick Kasparov, it won’t last long.
Value Is EverythingDecember 13, 2016 at 22:57 #1277096To win any race at the 2017 Cheltenham Festival:
44 points @ 6/1 (Sky) Un De Sceaux* (min 11/2)Value Is EverythingDecember 13, 2016 at 22:59 #1277097Thanks for the heads up on the 6/1 Kasparov.
Value Is EverythingDecember 16, 2016 at 20:28 #12774222:25 Ascot
80 points @ 6/4 (PP) Unowhatimeanharry* (min 11/8)
28 points @ 12/1 (PP) Ballyoptic* (min 10/1)
saver:
18 points @ 6/1 (BB365) Alex De Larredya (min 6/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 17, 2016 at 01:38 #12774763:00 Ascot
40 points @ 8/1 (PP) Irish Saint* (min 7/1)
30 points @ 12/1 (B365) Fourth Act* (min 10/1)
21 points @ 14/1 (B365) Another Hero* (min 13/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 17, 2016 at 01:51 #12774813:00 Ascot
40 points @ 8/1 (PP) Irish Saint* (min 7/1)
30 points @ 12/1 (B365) Fourth Act* (min 10/1)
21 points @ 14/1 (B365) Another Hero* (min 13/1)savers:
20 points @ 5.4/1 (betfair) Go Conquer (min 5/1)(£23 available)
13 points @ 9/1 (B365) Le Mercury (min 9/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 17, 2016 at 22:03 #1277690World Hurdle
52 points @ 6/1 (PP) Unowhatimeanharry* (min 11/2)12 points @ 25/1 (Sportsbook) Ballyoptic* (min 18/1)
Value Is EverythingDecember 22, 2016 at 16:41 #1278135Christmas Hurdle
85 points @ 7/2 (B365) The New One* (min 11/4)Value Is EverythingDecember 26, 2016 at 21:28 #1278639Welsh Grand National
34 points @ 12/1 (Sky) Caroles Destrier* (min 9/1)40 points @ 10/1 (L) Native River* (min 15/2)
savers:
6 points @ 14/1 (B365) Vicente (min 14/1)
3 points @ 33/1 (PP) Royale Knight (min 28/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 27, 2016 at 16:21 #1278789Nice result with Native River. Surely not many easier winners of the Welsh National since Carvill’s Hill
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