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And now Sizing John has to make his seasonal debut on similar going to that which connections were so minded to avoid on reappearance that they spurned a shot at a million quid!
2:05 Punchestown
85 points @ 13/8 (PP) Djakadam (min 6/4)saver:
9 points @ 10/1 (C) Sub Lieutenant (min 9/1)Value Is EverythingAnd now Sizing John has to make his seasonal debut on similar going to that which connections were so minded to avoid on reappearance that they spurned a shot at a million quid!
True, GM; but 2 1/2 miles on bottomless for a horse proven at 3m2f on goodish isn’t as stamina testing/knackering as 3m1f on bottomless.
Value Is EverythingDjakadam didn’t jump nearly so well for Townend, but even if he’d run to form I don’t think he’d have beaten Sizing John who proved fitter than I expected. Jessie’s horse again looks the one to beat in the staying chase division. Ballyoisin too free early and made a few errors too. Un De Sceaux looks as good as ever. Top Gamble will always be just short of top class.
Huntingdon abandoned and Bal Darc a non-runner so:Todays Stakes 184
Return 0
Days Deficit -184 pointsThread Totals:
Stakes: 4714
Return: 5874.4
Profit: +1160.4 points (a profit of 0.5 points on the weekend) LOL
Profit on stakes: 24.62%
Strike Rate: 67.44% (incl. 13 savers) 29 wins from 43 races
Strike Rate: 37.2% (not incl. savers) 16 wins from 43 races
(4 Ante-Post races still to run: 252 points)Value Is Everything2:15 Fontwell:
72 points @ 1.7/1 (betfair) Rameses De Treillee (min 6/4)Value Is Everything2:15 Fontwell:
72 points @ 1.7/1 (betfair) Rameses De Treillee (min 6/4)Oops, thought I had put up Get On The Yager as a saver bet. Sorry.
Value Is Everything12:45 Cheltenham:
69 points @ 11/4 (B365) Duel At Dawn (min 5/2)Value Is Everything2:30 Cheltenham
60 points @ 4/1 (betfair) Mysteree (min 7/2)saver:
24 points @ 5/2 (B365) Wotzizname (min 5/2)Value Is Everything2:30 Cheltenham
60 points @ 4/1 (betfair) Mysteree (min 7/2)saver:
24 points @ 5/2 (B365) Wotzizname (min 5/2)Mysteree non-runner:
another:
45 points @ 13/8 (B365) Wotzizname (min 13/8)Value Is Everything1:55 Cheltenham
61 points @ 7/2 (WH) Clan Des Obeaux (min 100/30)
39 points @ 13/2 (Sportsbook) Le Prezien (min 6/1)Value Is Everything1:55 Cheltenham
61 points @ 7/2 (WH) Clan Des Obeaux (min 100/30)
39 points @ 13/2 (Sportsbook) Le Prezien (min 6/1)26 points @ 13/1 (betfair) Guitar Pete (min 12/1)
Value Is Everything3:05 Cheltenham
34 points @ 8/1 (Sky) Chtibello (min 7/1)
52 points @ 11/2 (PP) My Tent Or Yours (min 5/1)Value Is Everything3:05 Cheltenham
34 points @ 8/1 (Sky) Chtibello (min 7/1)
52 points @ 11/2 (PP) My Tent Or Yours (min 5/1)saver:
35 points @ 5/2 (B365) The New One (min 5/2)Value Is Everythinghuge price TNO, whilst its a race i’d rather sit and watch because of the Melon unknown factor. should be fav
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!3:05 Cheltenham
34 points @ 8/1 (Sky) Chtibello (min 7/1)
52 points @ 11/2 (PP) My Tent Or Yours (min 5/1)saver:
35 points @ 5/2 (B365) The New One (min 5/2)On reappearance last year Chtibello was only beaten 1 1/2 lengths carrying 11-12 in the William Hill Handicap off a mark of 144. Also ran well off long breaks on two or three other occasions including when winning the Scottish Champion Hurdle. Improving when last seen, beaten just a length by Yanworth (who gave 4 lbs) in Kingwell, 1 1/4 ahead of Sceau Royal (levels). Now getting 6 lbs from novice Melon and old stager The New One, 4 from Old Guard and John Constable… And with Skelton in outstanding form.
True Melon has potential, but at these weights is very short; market is that of a horse who’s shown he’s top class, not one where he’s yet to show it.
The New One has a great record in this race, but doesn’t always jump well. Weight he’s giving away to some good horses is a leveller. True that he gave 8 lbs and a 3 1/2 lengths beating to My Tent Or Yours last year, but that was a MTOY well below form… And it’s true MTOY has not been at his best on reappearance/this time of year… On a long losing run. So probably won’t be good enough this time either. But MTOY is probably on his final season – not many races left. Said to have done plenty of work this time too and at their bests not only is MTOY the better horse, he’s getting 6 lbs. I was all over TNO in last year’s race and against MTOY, expected it to be the same this time around, but MTOY was 7/4 then – he’s 11/2 here. Might be fitter this time around and every horse has a price to be worth taking a chance.
…The New One has gone out to a backable saver price of 5/2.
My 100% Book:
85/40 The New One, 3/1 Melon, 4/1 My Tent Or Yours, 6/1 Chtibello, 18/1 Old Guard, 33/1 John Constable, 400/1 Del ArcaValue Is Everything
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