Gingers Jumpers

[Gingertipster]

Jewson Chase
52 points @ 9/2 (VC NRNB) Peddlers Cross

13 points @ 11/2 (SJ) Cristal Bonus

Another saver to come.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

4:00 Cheltenham
24 points @ 10/1 (VC) Niceonefrankie

13 points @ 33/1 (SJ) Fine Parchment
3 points @ 22/1 The Cockney Mackem

One more main bet to come

Over-slept and missed top price, so just have a saver.

7 points @ 6/1 (B365) Crack Away Jack

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Jewson Chase
52 points @ 9/2 (VC NRNB) Peddlers Cross

13 points @ 11/2 (SJ) Cristal Bonus

Another saver to come.

17 points @ 4/1 (VC) Sir Des Champs

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

4:00 Cheltenham
24 points @ 10/1 (VC) Niceonefrankie

13 points @ 33/1 (SJ) Fine Parchment
3 points @ 22/1 The Cockney Mackem

One more main bet to come

Over-slept and missed top price, so just have a saver.

7 points @ 6/1 (B365) Crack Away Jack

20 points @ 7/1 (VC) Crack Away Jack

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Triumph Hurdle Cheltenham Festival
38 points @ 10/1 (WH) Baby Mix
25 points @ 12/1 (L) Grumeti

4 points @ 17.5/1 (betfair) Ut De Sivola

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Beware of your bets.

Above bet should read

URBAIN

de Sivola, not UT at all.

At least I actually backed the right horse, just wrote it wrong here.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Neptune Hurdle Cheltenham

43 points @ 5/1 (L) Fingal Bay

25 points @ 2/1 (L) Boston Bob

4 points @ 24/1 (Betfair) Lovecen
3 points @ 29/1 (betfair) Fox Appeal

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Neptune Hurdle Cheltenham

43 points @ 5/1 (L) Fingal Bay

25 points @ 2/1 (L) Boston Bob

4 points @ 24/1 (Betfair) Lovecen
3 points @ 29/1 (betfair) Fox Appeal

I thought something was wrong here too.

I’d backed Fingal Bay for two races and took the quote from the wrong race. I backed Boston Bob for the Albert Bartlett

So it should read:

Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle Cheltenham Festival
23 points @ 14/1 (WH) Fingal Bay
25 points @ 2/1 (L) Boston Bob
4 points @ 24/1 (betfair) Lovecen
3 points @ 29/1 (betfair) Fox Appeal

And can afford bigger bets on these two so a further:

8 points @ 24/1 (betfair) Lovecen
6 points @ 29/1 (betfair) Fox Appeal

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2012 Cheltenham Gold Cup
27 points @ 12/1 (L) Time For Rupert
47 points @ 11/4 (b365) Long Run
9 points @ 25/1 (nrnb, bog FD) Weird Al

Betting Without Long Run & Kauto Star:
17 points @ 7/1 Weird Al

Also betting without Long Run & Kauto Star:

Another:
10 points @ 5/1 (B365) Weird Al
5 points @ 10/1 (B365) What A Freind
6 points @ 6/1 (B365) Synchronised

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:05 Cheltenham
16 points each way @ 14/1 (B365 first 5) Snap Tie

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Triumph Hurdle Cheltenham Festival
38 points @ 10/1 (WH) Baby Mix
25 points @ 12/1 (L) Grumeti

4 points @ 17.5/1 (betfair) Urbain De Sivola

17 points @ 10/1 (VC) Shadow Catcher
Another:
3 points @ 18/1 (SJ) Urbain De Sivola

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

King George VI Chase
30 points @ 8/1 (WH) Grands Crus

Bookmaker prices are all over the place. One 7/2, one 9/2 and 5/1. William Hill out on their own on 8’s. Grands Crus is much better than he showed at Cheltenham. Impressive at the Boxing Day meeting this season. At 8/1 it’s worth taking a chance he can return to his best by then.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

4:25 Newbury
33 points @ 6/1 (B365) Dream Machine

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Sorry, thought I’d already put this up.

Pre Cheltenham Profit / Loss. Update:

2:50 Kempton
25 points @ 12/1 (FD) Lightning Strike (SP 10/1)
13 points @ 22/1 (C) Rajdhani Express (SP 20/1)
20 points @ 10/1 (VC) Well Regarded (SP 10/1) 4th
8 points @ 15/2 (Boyle) Swincombe Flame (SP 9/2) 1st Return 68 points
Drumshambo non-runner
(66)
+2

3:20 Kempton
38 points @ 11/2 (FD) Requin (SP 9/2)
21 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Schindlers Gold (SP 12/1)
-59

3:40 Warwick
30 points @ 7/1 (WH) Neptune Equester (SP 9/2)
20 points @ 7/1 (WH) Son Of Sasta (SP 6/1)
6 points @ 9.5/1 (betfair) Strongbows Legend (SP 9/2) 3rd
Fortification non-runner
-56

Days Stakes 181, Days Return 68, Days Deficit -113 points

1:30 Newbury
42 points @ 9/2 (b365) Lidhar (SP 3/1) 3rd
-42

2:05 Newbury
42 points @ 4.8/1 (betfair) Claret Cloak (SP 100/30)
24 points @ 7/4 (b365) Carrigmorna King (SP 6/4) 1st Return 66 points
(66)
+0

2:35 Newbury
25 points @ 6/1 (VC) Ikorodu Road (SP 11/2) 2nd
24 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Marufo (SP 9/1)
10 points @ 6/1 (VC) Glen’s Boy (SP 6/1) 1st Return 70 points
6 points @ 10/1 (VC) Kaybeew (SP 8/1)
(65)
+5
Main bet got beat by a neck.
Two wins from three races but still a loss. At least with savers got something back.

Days Stakes 173, Days Return 136, Days Deficit -37

2:05 Ascot
64 points @ 7/4 (L) Kentford Grey Lady (SP 13/8) 2nd
Kaffie non-runner
-64
Not happy. With confirmed front-runner Kaffie a non-runner pace was funereal. Jockey giving his rivals lengths at the start and then allowing Ruby first run in a sprint for home. No wonder Jack Doyle has been replaced by Noel Fehily. Be surprising if placings aren’t reversed in the Cheltenham Mares race.

2:35 Ascot
25 points @ 7/1 (boyle) A Bridge Too Far ((SP 6/1)
18 points @ 14/1 (VC) Pateese (SP 6/1)
8 points @ 6/1 (VC) Ciceron (SP 8/1)
-51

Victor Chandler Chase
24 points @ 13/2 (L) Wishful Thinking (SP 15/2)
5 points @ 13/2 (L) Wishful Thinking
15 points @ 9/1 (VC) Gauvain (SP 13/2)
9 points @ 5/2 (VC) Finians Rainbow (SP 5/2)
7 points @ 8.4/1 (betfair) Wishful Thinking
-60
Barry Gerraghty looking around for dangers instead of going for home, possibly cost Finians Rainbow the race.

Days Stakes 175, Days Return 0, Days Deficit -175

12:55 Cheltenham
17 points @ 22/1 (VC) Tango De Juilley (SP 20/1)
12 points @ 7/4 (FD) Baby Mix (SP 7/4)
-29
Baby Mix’s temperament looked as though it was getting the better of him. Failing to settle and looking to run out.

2:05 Cheltenham
23 points @ 11/1 (b365) Araldur (SP 13/2)
45 points @ 100/30 (Coral) Aerial (SP 5/2)
-68
Both well backed, but Arulder jumped poorly and Ariel failed to come up to expectations. Winner The Giant Bolster put in a rare good round of jumping, getting his own way in front.

2:35 Cheltenham
41 points @ 7/2 (b365) Diamond Harry (SP 100/30)
-41

3:40 Cheltenham
19 points each way @ 10/1 (B365) Dynaste (SP 13/2) 2nd Return 66.5 points
Betting Without Big Buck’s: 28 points @ 9/4 (b365) Dynaste 1st Return 91 points
(66)
+91.5
Good to see my ante-post Stayers Hurdle bet finally put in a good run.

Days Stakes 204, Days Return 157.5, Days Deficit -46.5 points

12:15 Newbury
10 points each way @ 20/1 (PP 1/4 odds first 2) I’m So Lucky (SP 22/1) 3rd
40 points @ 5.4/1 (betfair) Hold Fast (SP 6/1)
-60
I’m So Lucky quite close to a payout, but 3rd not good enough. Hold Fast not amiss?

1:15 Newbury
20 points @ 29/1 Ciceron (SP 25/1)
10 points @ 64/1 Brampour (SP 33/1)
10 points @ 21/1 Empire Levant (SP 12/1)
3 points @ 27/1 Get Me Out Of Here (SP 14/1) 2nd
1 points @ 64/1 Desert Cry (SP 33/1)
20 points @ 11/1 (SJ) Olofi (SP 8/1)
5 points @ 39/1 (betfair) Ciceron
-69
Unlucky not to pick up with saver Get Me Out Of Here. Having to jump his stable companion Darlan two out.

2:25 Newbury
45 points @ 4/1 (FD) Gullinbursti (SP 9/4)
Deireadh Re non-runner.
-45
Gullinbursti well backed (even allowing for the non-runner) unlucky to come up against such a genuine rival in Knock A Hand. Clear of the rest but just failing.

2:55 Newbury
42 points @ 100/30 (L) For Non Stop (SP 3/1) 1st Return 182 points
8 points @ 7/1 (SJ) Mossley (SP 5/1)
(50)
+132
Not doing so well this year, but this isn’t the first time I’ve got out of trouble (well, almost) in the last bet/race of the day. For Non Stop coming through late.

Not much between a winning and losing day.

Days Stakes 224, Days Return 182, Days Deficit -42 points

2:25 Ascot
26 points @ 8/1 (VC) Cappa Bleu (SP 7/1) 3rd
11 points @ 11/2 (sporting) The Minak (SP 7/2)
Penny Max a non-runner
-37
Cappa Bleu a Grand National and JLT (Cheltenham) entry, wasn’t given as hard a race as the first two. Even so came through with every chance at the last. Mistake there didn’t help. Jumped well otherwise and still have great hopes for him. Like many Nicholls horses on the day, The Minak disappointed.

3:00 Ascot
40 points @ 9/2 (b365) Medermit (SP 7/2) 2nd
10 points @ 4/1 (b365) Kauto Stone (SP 11/4)
-50
Medermit improved and could give Gord another big ante-post win in the Ryanair. Although will have to do so again to beat the winner here, Riverside Theatre. Thought the Henderson horse might be rusty, but not a bit of it. The one they have to beat at Cheltenham. 7/1 after the race long gone. Kauto Stone pulled hard and shouldn’t be written off, particularly as Nicholls was briefly out of form. Possibly the Champion Chase might be his best chance.

3:20 Haydock
28 points @ 6/1 (SJ) Giles Cross (SP 4/1) 1st Return 196 points
26 points @ 8/1 (VC) Le Beau Bai (SP 8/1) 3rd
15 points @ 11/1 (VC) Rey Nacarado (SP 10/1)
(69)
+127
Giles Cross well backed and won with a bit to spare under a confident ride. Putting up a fine Grand National trial. However, he’s thought best on soft ground.

3:45 Wincanton
37 points @ 11/4 (sporting) Celestial Halo (SP 7/4) 2nd
-37
Got tremendous value, but as Reet would say, “no good if it doesn’t win”. Don’t often back so many Nicholls horses, but chose a day where he’s briefly out of form. In truth though, even at his best Celestial Halo wouldn’t have beaten the seemingly back to form winner.

Days Stakes 193, Days Return 196, Days Profit 3 points. A Profit!

2:00 Kempton
20 points each way @ 13/2 (1/4 odds b365) Une Artiste (SP 13/2)
-40
Une Artiste 4th seemed to have been looked after a bit too well, but suppose it’s “pocket talk”. Not that he’d have been in the first two. My fault, shouldn’t have backed one having its third run shortly after its second. With possibly other targets ahead.

3:05 Kempton
12 points each way @ 14/1 (b365 1/4) Consigliere (SP 12/1)
30 points @ 7/1 (b365) Hectors Choice (SP 15/2) 2nd
-42
Arrgh! Consigliere one place out of the medals in 4th, and the win bet one place off the win. With former such a dodgepot (may be it’s hindsight but) may be should’ve concentrated on the 7/1 shot each way. Some may think Moore went for home too soon. Rather give Brennan credit. Nacarat can idle and his rider seemed to allow Hector first run.

Days Stakes 82, Days Return 0, Days Deficit -82 points.

2:55 Newbury
20 points @ 10/1 (FD) Darceys Dancer (SP 9/1)
46 points @ 5/2 (betfair) Niceonefrankie (SP 9/4) 1st Return 161 points
15 points @ 9/2 (VC) Marodima (SP 11/4) 3rd
(81)
+80
A winner!

3:30 Newbury
23 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Thats Ben (SP 13/2)
25 points @ 13/1 (betfair) Nataani (SP 8/1) 2nd
20 points @ 3/1 (PP) Railway Dillon (SP 5/2) 3rd
6 points @ 11.8/1 (betfair) Carrib Leap (SP 15/2)
6 points @ 13.5/1 (betfair) Carabinier (SP 14/1)
-80
Both main bets very well backed. Nataani (imo) would’ve won with a better ride. Murphy got mixing it with a horse who likes being on his own. Then couldn’t see a stride at the last, lost ground jumping before finishing with a rush, all too late.

Days Stakes 161, Days Return 161, Days Profit 0

2:40 Newbury
23 points @ 8.6/1 (betfair) Ouzbeck (SP 9/1) 3rd
25 points @ 6/1 (VC) Marufo (SP 4/1) 1st Return 175 points
27 points @ 3/1 (L) Niche Market (SP 5/2)
(75)
+100
Good result with first three home, winner well backed.

3:10 Newburyh
28 points @ 8/1 (VC) Araldur (SP 6/1)
5 points @ 9/1 (VC) Arulder
28 points @ 11/2 (L) Aerial (SP 100/30) 1st Return (incl 10p R4) 166.6 points
10 points @ 15/2 (VC) Fine Parchment (SP 11/2)
11 points @ 20/1 (betfair) Rileyev (SP 14/1) 3rd
(82)
+84.6
Backed three of the first four home. Aerial just getting up on the line under an inspired Walsh ride. 20/1 shot Rileyev only a length away too.

A good day, for once.

Days Stakes 157, Days Return 341.6, Days Profit +184.6

2:40 Sandown
25 points @ 5.8/1 (betfair) Song Sung Blue (SP 13/2)
18 points @ 8.6/1 (betfair) Ballyfoy (SP 10/1) 2nd
23 points @ 9/4 (b365) Marty’s Mission (SP 5/4)
4 points @ 16.5/1 (betfair) Prophet De Guye (SP 25/1)
-70
Marty’s Mission backed to the exclusion of everything else. No way did he have that big a chance. Ballyfoy just missed out by a rapidly diminishing neck. Although it wasn’t a great race and few will go on from this.

4:25 Sandown
28 points @ 6.8/1 (betfair) Gracchus (SP 9/2) 2nd
22 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Prince Buster (SP 13/2) 3rd
-50
Got the value again without anything to show from it. Second and third, but in a three horse race. Sanctuaire looks a novice of some potential if temperament holds.

5:00 Sandown
45 points @ 5/2 (VC) Cool Freind (SP 5/2) 1st Return 157.5 points
9 points @ 5.4/1 (betfair) Sound Stage (SP 8/1) 3rd
(54)
+103.5
Again not a great race for a Saturday, but Cool friend is going the right way, always travelling best. Sound Stage gave encouragement for the future, settling better over this shorter trip.

Days Stakes 174, Days Return 157.5, Days Deficit -16.5 points

This Post Stakes 1724, This Post Returns 1399.6, This Post Deficit -324.4 points

Pre Cheltenham:
Total Stakes 5348, Total Returns 6336.69, Total Profit 988.69 points
18.5% Profit on Stakes

EDIT: Sorry, some write ups sound as if I’m saying stuff after the event (Cheltenham). But I wrote it all before Cheltenham started.

Value Is Everything

[rich1985]

Shouldnt that be Dream Esteem Ginge?

[Gingertipster]

It is Dream Esteem.

Thanks Rich.

If I remember right Dream Machine ran in the Oaks yonks ago and turned out to be a good broodmare.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

It is Dream Esteem.

Thanks Rich.

If I remember right Dream Machine ran in the Oaks yonks ago and turned out to be a good broodmare.

Nope, wrong again.
Unless it was so long ago not to be in the Racing Post archive.
Anyone know who I’m thinking about? Wore black and gold stripes if I remember that correctly. Big if! Think I’ve got Alzheimers.

Value Is Everything

[Author]

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