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4:25 Newbury
33 points @ 6/1 (B365) Dream Esteem33 points @ 7.4/1 (betfair) Grams And Ounces
Might come back with a saver in the morning.
Value Is Everything3:50 Newbury
31 points @ 11/2 (B365) The Falklander25 points @ 11/2 (L) Monbeg Dude
16 points @ 7/2 (L) No Loose ChangeValue Is Everything2:40 Newbury
28 points @ 6/1 (WH) Sound Stage10 points @ 11/2 (B365) Aimigale
Value Is Everything4:25 Newbury
33 points @ 6/1 (B365) Dream Esteem33 points @ 7.4/1 (betfair) Grams And Ounces
Part saver:
14 points @ 3/1 (boyle) KandariValue Is Everything2:40 Newbury
28 points @ 6/1 (WH) Sound Stage10 points @ 11/2 (B365) Aimigale
7 points @ 6/1 (WH) Triangular
Value Is EverythingThree wins from three races today.
2:40 Newbury
24 points @ 12/1 (FD) Josh’s DreamwayValue Is EverythingThree wins from three races today.
2:40 Newbury
24 points @ 12/1 (FD) Josh’s DreamwayProbably won’t have much time tomorrow morning so will put up these two bets now.
23 points @ (best price in Pricewise box) Cue To Cue
13 points @ (best price in Pricewise box) Kentford Grey Lady
Value Is EverythingThree wins from three races today.
2:40 Newbury
24 points @ 12/1 (FD) Josh’s DreamwayProbably won’t have much time tomorrow morning so will put up these two bets now.
23 points @ (best price in Pricewise box) Cue To Cue
13 points @ (best price in Pricewise box) Kentford Grey Lady
11 points @ 25/1 (betfair) Lady Karabaya
Value Is Everything2:05 Newbury
68 points @ 13/8 (FD) Pepite Rose7 points @ 10/1 (VC) Time To Think
Value Is Everything2:05 Newbury
68 points @ 13/8 (FD) Pepite Rose7 points @ 10/1 (VC) Time To Think
Another:
1 point @ 10/1 (VC) Time To Think
11 points @ 7/1 (SJ) Gan OnWith Charlie Mann (trainer of How’s Business) having so many PU’s up against his name and the horse probably better on softer ground… I’ve backed against him.
Value Is Everything3:40 Newbury
35 points @ 9/2 (WH) Ikorodu Road
21 points @ 8/1 (VC) Ouzbeck
6 points @ 11/1 (PP) Benny Be Good
3 points @ 21/1 (betfair) Quotica De PoyansValue Is Everything3:10 Newbury
45 points @ 3.9/1 (betfair) War Singer
30 points @ 2/1 (FD) Claret CloakValue Is Everything3:10 Newbury
45 points @ 3.9/1 (betfair) War Singer
30 points @ 2/1 (FD) Claret CloakClaret Cloak with B365, not Fred Done.
Value Is EverythingCheltenham Results
Supreme Novices Hurdle
23 points @ 14/1 (VC) Simonsig (DNR)
LAY 23 points @ 17/1 (betfair) Simonsig (DNR) (one bet cancels out the other)
28 points @ 9/1 (PP) Darlan (SP 7/1)2nd
20 points @ 8/1 (L) Montbazon (SP 15/2) 4th
26 points @ 16/1 (betfair) Tetlami (SP 12/1)
9 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Galileo’s Choice (SP 6/1)
5 points @ 17.5/1 (betfair) Colour Squadron (SP 14/1)
-88
Darlan probably at a disadvantage by coming from further back than the other four involved in a close finish. Unlucky loser. Montbazon also ran well in 4th, travelled well and may be better suited to Aintree where he won the bumper last season.Arkle Chase
40 points @ 7/1 (b365 bog) Peddlers Cross DNR
7 points @ 6/1 (betfair) Al Ferof (SP 3/1)
With Paddy Power’s offer of money back if Sprinter Sacre wins… and he does.
27 points @ 11/4 (PP) Peddlers Cross DNR
26 points @ 5/1 (PP) Al Ferof (SP 3/1) Return 26 points
(100)
-74
Disappointed not getting the Peddlers Cross money back with Sprinter Sacre winning. Al Ferof ruined his chance by banking the ditch. Wouldn’t have troubled the brilliant winner anyway.Festival Handicap Chase
28 points @ 8/1 (VC) Quantitativeeasing (SP 11/2)
Cappa Bleu NRNB non runner
17 points @ 17.5/1 Zarrafakt (SP 14/1)
5 points @ 229/1 Runshan (SP 100/1)
10 points @ 29/1 Pentiffic (SP 16/1)
2 points @ 31/1 Noland (SP 25/1)
Cappa Bleu non runner, NRNB.
-62
None of mine ran to form. Knew my fate with Zarrafakt very early, jumping poorly and to the right. And the others didn’t do much better.Champion Hurdle
21 points @ 16/1 (SJ) Grandouet DNR
12 points @ 25/1 (FD) Brampour (SP 50/1)
Betting Without Hurricane Fly:
27 points @ 15/2 (WH)Rock On Ruby 1st
Return 229.5 points
11 points @ 3/1 (Coral) Binocular 4th
11 points @ 16/1 (L) Overturn2nd
4 points @ 25/1 (SJ) Brampour
(86)+143.5
Even had Hurricane Fly had been at his best, would’ve struggled to beat the improved winner. Rock on Ruby suited by the test of stamina made by the game and (for some reason) always under-estimated runner up Overturn.
David Nicholson Mares Hurdle
13 points each way @ 16/1 (VC) Kentford Grey Lady (SP 14/1)
2nd
Return 65 points
15 points each way @ 12/1 (WH) Swincombe Flame (SP 10/1)
4 points each way @ 33/1 (b365) Terre Du Vent (SP 20/1)
(64)+1
Quevega won her benefit race as per usual. Seemed a collective choice by her rivals to try and get her beaten with a funereal pace. Didn’t suit either of my main selections. Swincombe Flame ‘s trainer also in poor form. Kentford Grey Lady is a hold up mare and in truth Fehily did well to get closer to the pace half way through. Got second, but is better in relation to the others than distances suggest.
Byrne Bros Handicap Chase
24 points @ 8/1 (VC) Bless The Wings (SP 7/1)
4 points @ 8/1 (VC) Hunt Ball (SP 13/2)1st
Return 36 points
4 points @ 7/1 (VC) Triolo d’Alene (SP 7/1)
(32)+4
Not the last time this week I made a poor decision, not making Hunt Ball a main bet. Wonderful horse and story. Pricks his ears in front and there may be more to come yet.
Days Stakes 432, Days Return 356.5, Days Deficit
Could easily have been a lot better.
National Hunt Chase
25 points each way @ 6/1 (WH) Harry The Viking (SP 7/1 bog)
2nd
Return 68.75
(50)+18.75
Harry the only one of principles to come from the back and winner made just about all in a slower run race than expected. Harry The Viking staying on but too late. Jumped brilliantly for a novice and it’s easy to see him making a mark at Aintree’s Big One one day.
Neptune Hurdle
43 points @ 5/1 (L) Fingal Bay (DNR)
-43
Backed Simonsig for the Supreme… If only! And didn’t think he’d stay this trip, worried about his jumping too. Made mistakes but made no difference, stayed the distance well. Not a great Neptune in quality behind the winner, but so impressive. Top class hurdler in the making, will be equally effective at 2 miles if getting his jumping together. Apparently may go chasing. Difficult to know whether a fit Fingal Bay would’ve beaten Simonsig, Ascot form suggests yes, but the Henderson horse has probably improved since.RSA Chase
38 points @ 8/1 (b365) Grand Crus (SP 6/5)
12 points @ 6/1 (L) Grands Crus
Lay 25 points @ 2.85/1 (betfair) Grands Crus
20 points @ 10/1 (L)Bobs Worth
(SP 9/2)
1st
Return 220 points
(45)+175
Grands Crus disappointed, seemingly going best before bumped around in a sandwich between First Lieutenant and Bobs Worth. Possible something went wrong with him there or maybe put him off a fight. Has since been diagnosed with a bad scope. Top class hurdler and jumps fences so well, it’s difficult to see him not making a top class chaser. Travels so sweetly, I’d have doubts about the Gold Cup distance, but should be fully effective around Kempton. Taken the 8/1 about the King George.
Winner Bobs Worth has had a wind op since finishing behind Grands Crus in December, left handed/Cheltenham suits him a lot better (won Albert Bartlett last term). Appeals out of most of these for the Gold Cup, extra distance sure to suit. First Lieutenant was a touch free early, Russell needing to take a pull. Although the winner is a gutsy performer and would probably have found more if needed. The Irish horse has potential but the way he raced is a worry if he’s to be effective over further next year. It’s probable the owner has a better horse for that race anyway.Queen Mother Champion Chase
20 points @ 20/1 (WH) Ghizao (DNR)
20 points @ 7/1 (SJ) Big Zeb (SP 13/2)3rd
10 points each way @ 20/1 (FD) Wishful Thinking (SP 16/1) Fell
-60
Big Zeb threw his head around and rider seemingly always content to ride for 3rd) and being so friendless in the market – has only ran to form once in Britain and may have been a little amiss. However, it seems just as likely age is catching up with him. Finians Rainbow found more off the bridle than I thought he would. Doubt if he’ll be the main string for Henderson next year. Sizing Europe ran well, whether more inconvenienced by going around the last fence is debatable. I thought Finnians was going just the better at the time. Of course, Wishful Thinking would’ve won had he got around. Thankfully all concerned are ok.Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle
35 points each way @ 9/2 (FD) Vendor
3rd
Return 74.38
(70)+4.38
Kicking myself for not backing the winner Une Artiste. Made a mental note after backing him in the Adonis. Friendless there and “not knocked about” having a third run (needed for a handicap mark) soon after a second run (unusually quick for Henderson). At 40/1, the going should not have put me off. What a mistake to make! Vendor very well backed, seemed unsuited by the ground. Never travelling with any ease and Thornton doing well to get my money back.
Coral Cup
28 points @ 8/1 (VC) Ballygarry (SP 6/1)
16 points @ 18/1 (VC) Featherbed Lane (SP 16/1)
23 points @ 14/1 (VC) Poole Master (SP 8/1)
-67
So sad about Featherbed Lane, puts everything in to Perspective. Stablemates Ballygarry and Poole Master well backed. Former travelled like the best horse in the race. Not for the first time at this meeting Scudamore overdid front running tactics in front, going off too quickly and (unfortunately for me) joined by his stable companion. Pocket talk? It’s possible Master Scu had other more important family matters on his mind.Days Stakes 335, Days Return 363.13, Days Profit
+28.13
points
Jewson Chase
52 points @ 9/2 (VC NRNB) Peddlers Cross (SP 5/2)
13 points @ 11/2 (SJ) Cristal Bonus (SP 13/2)
17 points @ 4/1 (VC) Sir Des Champs (SP 3/1)1st
Return 85 points
(82)+3
points
This looked a three horse race to me. Cristal Bonus friendless in the market and TV experts said he didn’t look right in the paddock. Peddlers Cross also disappointing and it seems there was more about the late race switch than just distance/”doing what’s best for the horse”. Hopefully he’ll be back for another day. McCain announced he’s going back to hurdling, that seems more about the chase scene seems more competitive. Sir Des Champs travelled supremely well and is a lot better than winning distances suggest. The other two would’ve struggled even at their best. Rightfully Sir Des is fairly short in the Gold Cup market. Grand looking animal with a beautiful flowing action suited by good ground.Ryanair Chase
19 points @ 12/1 (b365) Wishful Thinking (DNR)
22 points @ 12/1 (VC) Rubi Light (SP 13/2)
40 points @ 7/1 (L)Riverside Theatre
(SP 7/2)
1st
Return 320 points
10 points @ 8/1 (SJ) Medermit (SP 8/1) 3rd
(91)+229
Thank you Barry. What a ride. Riverside Theatre never jumping or going with any fluency. Yet Gerraghty never gave up. Bumped and intimidated by Captain Chris constantly jumping right. Suspect they’ll keep Riverside Theatre more to the outer in future, may not like being crowded. Runs as though will get further and wouldn’t be a surprise to see him in the Gold Cup next year. Could even go one better than in 2010 in the King George. A trier and came through in the closing stages to get up and beat Alberta’s Run and Medermit in a close finish.
Alberta’s Run another who doesn’t like being crowded, AP always at pains to keep a little wide for a view of the front. Ran his heart out as usual. Medermit might also go for the Gold Cup. Never won here but runs a lot of his best races at Cheltenham. Kingy’s horses have run well at this meeting without winning. Rubi Light might be a touch better on softer, but essentially just doesn’t seem good enough. Captain Chris ran a remarkable race, obviously hates going left handed and shouldn’t be written off going the other way.World Hurdle
10 points each way @ 16/1 (T/FD) Dynaste (SP 14/1)
5 points each way @ 40/1 (C) Smad Place (SP 20/1)3rd
Return 55 points
Betting without Big Buck’s:
7 points each way @ 14/1 (PP) Dynaste
12 points each way @ 16/1 (L) Smad Place2nd
Return 60 points
(68)+47
Great race, jockeyship outstanding! Other than Scudamore on Dynasty. What was he doing holding him up? He’s a front/prominent runner. So what if he got beat by Big Buck’s the last twice, with nothing else likely to go to the front, why not lead at a slower pace and then (unlike the first two races) kick as late as possible? However, in all probability just wasn’t in the same form.
Big Buck’s rivals as expected made it a slow gallop. Ruby needing to take it up much sooner than the horse is suited to. When his jockey first goes for him there’s not an immediate response, but then does engage a turn of foot that even had those with form at shorter distances in trouble. Thousand Stars didn’t appear to stay and probably Oscar Whiskey too. Came back with an injury.
Voler La Vadette travelled in to the straight on the bridle having been dropped out. If it wasn’t for knowing who was in front, you’d say she looked all over the winner. Big Buck’s can idle quite badly when out on his own and moved his mount over to the mare. Only for Lynch to cross over in behind. Fascinating to watch as Walsh again brought Big Buck’s back to the rail. Going clear once eye-balling his rival. In truth Big Buck’s probably didn’t need to show his best. Voler La Vadette has improved at 3 miles this season and has strong claims of being the best mare in training, even with Quevega on the scene. Looks like being a race at Punchestown between the two, should be interesting.
Stayers Hurdle such a brilliant race, shouting home Big Buck’s almost forgot my other bet. Smad Place ran really well, halved in price. Not good enough to trouble the first two, but he’s still improving.Byrne Bros Chase
24 points @ 10/1 (VC) Niceonefrankie (SP 7/1)
13 points @ 33/1 (SJ) Fine Parchment (SP 20/1)
3 points @ 22/1 The Cockney Mackem (SP 10/1)2nd
20 points @ 7/1 (VC) Crack Away Jack (SP 13/2)
-60
Good to see Young Scu finally get the fractions right, even though I wasn’t on Salut Flo. The Cockney Mackem a springer in the market, once again had to settle for second (the reason why he was just a saver). May be should’ve been an each way poke. Niceonefrankie also well backed, possibly found the race coming too soon. Fine Parchment never going. Left it late to back Crack Away Jack and a few minutes after the bet heard RUK say looked poor in the paddock.Days Stakes 301, Days Return 520, Days Profit
+219
points
Triumph Hurdle
38 points @ 10/1 (WH) Baby Mix (SP 6/1)
25 points @ 12/1 (L) Grumeti (SP 5/1)3rd
4 points @ 17.5/1 (betfair) Urbain De Sivola
17 points @ 10/1 (VC) Shadow Catcher
3 points @ 18/1 (SJ) Urbain De Sivola
-87
Baby Mix went like the best horse, not giving himself a chance to stay the trip by not fully settling. Turning in still on the bridle but finished well beaten. There is a chance it might also be something to do with temperament (carries head high and tail straight). If sweetened up could win a slowly run Champion trial or two next year. Grumeti made a big blunder, along with Saddlers Risk possibly kept nearer the strong pace than ideal, but essentially looks exposed now. Not very big and may struggle to go on next year. Urbain De Sivola couldn’t dominate and didn’t jump well back in the field. Nick Williams is often out of form at this time of year and was again. Sizable sort, with little racing, wouldn’t be too difficult to see Urbain improve next season. Shadow Catcher had form with the second Hisaabaat, but never figured.
Winner Countryside Flame looked fully exposed, having been beaten by quite a few of these throughout the season. However, much better suited by the strong pace/test of stamina here. Looking well beaten off the turn, before staying on in tremendous style.Albert Bartlett
23 points @ 14/1 (WH) Fingal Bay (DNR)
25 points @ 2/1 (L) Boston Bob (SP 6/5)2nd
12 points @ 24/1 (Betfair) Lovecen
9 points @ 29/1 (betfair) Fox Appeal
-69
Fingal Bay would’ve won this in a cantre. Boston Bob never travelling in the same style of his wins earlier in the season. Walsh did well to get him so close. Likely to make an RSA candidate next year. Scotland ‘s braveheart, (sorry about the cliché) Brindisi Breeze needs a strong test of stamina. Proven at the trip on very soft ground. Got a brilliant attacking ride by Campbell Gilles, judging the pace to a tee. Lovecen ran well but not good enough. Fox Appeal dropped out the back, never got in to it.Cheltenham Gold Cup
27 points @ 12/1 (L) Time For Rupert (SP 33/1)
47 points @ 11/4 (b365) Long Run (SP 7/4)3rd
9 points @ 25/1 (nrnb, bog FD) Weird Al (SP 8/1)
Betting Without Long Run & Kauto Star:
17 points @ 7/1 Weird Al
10 points @ 5/1 (B365) Weird Al
5 points @ 10/1 (B365) What A Freind
6 points @ 6/1 (B365) Synchronised1st
Return 42 points
(121)
-79
The way Time For Rupert was moving two out had me wondering if I had B O G. Nice to see him back to something like his best. And who knows, could yet fulfil the potential shown before last year’s RSA. Racing prominently possibly suits him, but they might have been overdone. Other front runner Midnight Chase well beaten and the improvers Synchronised and The Giant Bolster coming from further back. Last named didn’t improve quite so much as his SP suggests. Jumping better than ever allowing him to show more stamina than previously.
Weird Al usually travels on the bridle and runs well fresh. Had good form earlier in the season but soon knew my fate, never the most consistent and bled. Burton Port didn’t go on from an encouraging reappearance, but shouldn’t be written off if going for the Grand National. Stablemate and favourite Long Run a long way below form of even the “Denman” Chase. I’m convinced he’d do better with ear plugs reapplied. Wore them in his King George (greatly improved) and Gold Cup wins as well as a below form second in the Betfair chase when unfit. Not worn since. It’s possible crowd noise distracts him from the job in hand and doesn’t want to lead anymore.
Disappointing but not surprising to see Kauto Star, reminded me of Istabraq’s last run. Would be nice to see Kauto Star go out on a high, but as it was did well to come back to win the Betfair and King George as an 11 year old. It’ll surely be asking too much to return at 12 and pick up another prize.
Synchronised benefited from a fast pace, outstaying his rivals who set the race up for him. Not needing to improve much on Lexus form to win what turned out a poor Gold Cup. A sterner test of stamina in the Grand National is likely to bring about more improvement. However, although Jonjo’s horse has never fallen over fences, he’s always made mistakes. Sterner test in that department likely to be a test too far.
Proximity of Knockara Beau keeps the form down.Foxhunter Chase
15 points each way @ 12/1 (WH) Cloudy Lane (SP 9/2)
-30
Cloudy Lane wouldn’t have needed to be at his best to win this. But he’s 12 years old and this proved he’s nowhere near that standard now. Winner and second, Salsify and Chapoturgeon suited by being held up off a strong pace, but they had the best form anyway. Should have put savers on both. Chapoturgeon stayed better than expected, only finding one too good.Another one that got away was Bellvano in the Grand Annual, had I looked at the form 20/1 was too big. In fact second, third fourth and fifth strings of Nicky Henderson all seemed attractively priced. On course punters seemingly going for the first string Kid Cassidy after owner and jockey’s big one.
Snap Tie, my only bet in the County was a non-runner.
Top Trainer
11 points @ 33/1 (L) Alan King
44 points @ 2.55/1 (betfair)Nicky Henderson 1st
Return 156.2 points
(55)+101.2
Top Jockey
25 points @ 12/1 (SJ) Tony McCoy
2nd
40 points @ 4/1 (PP)
Barry Gerraghty 1st
Return 200 points
3 points @ 25/1 (Sky) Robert Thornton
(68)+132
Days Stakes 430, Days Return 398.2, Days Deficit
Cheltenham Stakes 1498, Cheltenham Return 1637.83, Cheltenham Profit+139.83
points
Post Cheltenham Totals:
Total Stakes 6846, Total Returns 7974.52,Total Profit +1128.52
points
16.5%
Profit on stakes
Hopefully will get results fully up to date before Saturday.
Value Is Everything
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