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Welsh National Chepstow
32 points @ 13/2 (WH) Synchronised22 points @ 9/1 (FD) Le Beau Bai
12 points @ 18.5/1 (betfair) Cannington brook
7 points @ 10/1 (FD) Galaxy Rock4 points @ 22/1 (L) Our Island
Value Is Everything2:45 Chepstow
18 points each way @ 8/1 (B365) Kapga de Cerisy10 points @ 4/1 (L) Secret Edge
Value Is EverythingWelsh National Chepstow
Already backed:
32 points @ 13/2 (WH) Synchronised
22 points @ 9/1 (FD) Le Beau Bai
12 points @ 18.5/1 (betfair) Cannington brook
7 points @ 10/1 (FD) Galaxy Rock
4 points @ 22/1 (L) Our IslandNow:
3 points @ 20/1 (VC) Our IslandValue Is EverythingWell done Ginger on Le Beua Bai
I had Cross Appeal at 16s so we both had a decent day today.Well done mate.
Does seem more of a chance of Synchronised running in Ireland reading that IC, but can’t believe they’d be stupid enough to do it. May be it’s just my racing arrogance. Feel sure Jonjo, Berry and McManus will come around to my position when it matters.
and again! Imperial Call did try to put me in the right direction.
I was wrong and apologise to team McManus.
Must have been showing a lot more at home than he was last year to go for a 3 mile race on goodish ground.Ah well, can’t get them all right.
Would’ve been a certainty for the Welsh National.
Value Is Everything2012 RSA Chase Cheltenham
38 points @ 8/1 (b365) Grand Crus
12 points @ 6/1 (L) Grands CrusWith Grands Crus now third fav at 10/1 for the Gold Cup, time for half a saver on the RSA by laying him back.
25 points @ 2.85/1 (betfair) Grands Crus (liability 71.25)
Value Is Everything2012 Cheltenham Gold Cup
27 points @ 12/1 (L) Time For Rupert47 points @ 11/4 (b365) Long Run
Value Is Everything:shock:
Does seem more of a chance of Synchronised running in Ireland reading that IC, but can’t believe they’d be stupid enough to do it. May be it’s just my racing arrogance. Feel sure Jonjo, Berry and McManus will come around to my position when it matters.
and again! Imperial Call did try to put me in the right direction.
I was wrong and apologise to team McManus.
Must have been showing a lot more at home than he was last year to go for a 3 mile race on goodish ground.Ah well, can’t get them all right.
Would’ve been a certainty for the Welsh National.I wouldn’t have a red face over that one mate. Sometimes they just pop out of nowhere and make everyone look like mugs. All too often we all think it’s a ‘two horse race’. How many time has that bit the punters ?
2012 RSA Chase Cheltenham
38 points @ 8/1 (b365) Grand Crus
12 points @ 6/1 (L) Grands CrusWith Grands Crus now third fav at 10/1 for the Gold Cup, time for half a saver on the RSA by laying him back.
25 points @ 2.85/1 (betfair) Grands Crus (liability 71.25)
20 points @ 10/1 (L) Bobs Worth
Value Is Everything2:35 Newbury
44 points @ 11/4 (WH) Quotica De Poyons
14 points @ 7/2 (betfair) Rey Nacarado
7 points @ 11/1 (betfair) BallyeganValue Is Everything12:20 Newbury
40 points @ 7/2 (b365) Night Alliance
20 points @ 11/1 (PP) Ring Bo Ree
8 points @ 26/1 (betfair) Numbercruncher
8 points @ 33/1 (betfair) RavenclawValue Is Everything2:05 Newbury
48 points @ 11/4 (L) For Non Stop
16 points @ 3/1 (L) Cue CardValue Is Everything3:40 Newbury
33 points @ 6/1 (WH) Olofi24 points @ 6.8/1 (betfair) Ubi Ace
13 points @ 5/1 (VC) Lifestyle
8 points @ 9/1 (betfair) RigidityValue Is EverythingResults Update
2:35 Newbury
16 points @ 16/1 (VC) Carpincho (SP 9/1) 3rd
-16 Deficit
Carprincho ran well enough. It’s nice to see my Gold Cup bet Time For Rupert show signs of returning to his best anyway.Days Stakes 16, Return 0,
2:30 Ascot
23 points @ 9/1 (FD) Michael Flips (SP 11/2)
38 points @ 100/30 (FD) Kumbeshwar (SP 7/2) 2nd
-58 Deficitc
Unlucky for me, they chose this day for Zaynar’s change of tactics / return to form. Nick Williams deserves credit for unlocking his enthusiasm out in front.3:40 Ascot
48 points @ 85/40 (SJ) Claret Cloak (SP 6/4) 2nd
6 points @ 8/1 (FD) Ifandbutwhynot (SP 8/1)
-54 Deficit
No pace on meant Claret Cloak did not settle. Probably the best horse in the race.Days Stakes 112, Return 0, Deficit -112 points
1:25 Ascot
43 points @ 3/1 (PP) Renard (SP 3/1) 2nd
29 points @ 5/1 (FD) Politeo (SP 6/1)
8 points @ 9/1 (VC) King Edmund (SP 6/1)1st
Return 80 points
(80)
+0 points
Renard did not like being taken on for the lead. May well return to progressive ways with an easy lead. Had the tip off from the trainer and jockey they think a lot of King Edmund, so may be I should’ve made it my main bet.Long Walk Hurdle
13 points each way @ 7/1 (b365) Dynaste (SP 9/2)
4 points each way @ 6/1 (1/4 first 2 nrnb) Dynaste
-34 Deficit
Ascot luck continued. Dynaste clearly the second best horse on the day. Tried to beat Big Buck’s by making his move on the back straight. Briefly getting the favourite at it. Only for Dynaste to pay for trying to win, getting tired in the straight.3:05 Ascot
8 points @ 11/2 (PP) Massini’s Maguire (SP 8/1)
44 points @ 100/30 (PP)The Minack
(SP 11/4)
1st
Return 190.67 points
(52)+138.67 Profit
Thought luck had changed with The Minack proving progressive (at least on a right-handed course).
The Ladbroke
24 points @ 11/1 (FD) Brampour (SP 6/1)
11 points @ 64/1 (betfair) Rigidity (SP 40/1) 2nd
15 points @ 13.5/1 (betfair) Aberbgavenney (SP 12/1)
16 points @ 16/1 (C) Desert Cry (SP 12/1)
8 points @ 9/1 (b365) Gibb River (SP 6/1)
-74 Deficit
But no luck again. The slow pace not ideal for most of my bets. And then 64/1 shot Rigidity (a bet to win four figure profit) losing out by ½ a length. 1 lb out of the handicap costing him.I was bound to have a poor run some time.
Still made a profit on the day, but could’ve been so much better.Days Stakes 240, Return 270.67,
Profit +30.67
Christmas Hurdle
46 points @ 5/2 (C) Overturn (SP 3/1) 3rd
14 points @ 4/1 (SJ) Overturn
-60 Deficit
Looks like Overturn has had enough for now, after four races in quick succession. Never jumping with his usual fluency. Binocular doesn’t seem capable of his Champion Hurdle winning form any more, just scraping home from Rock On Ruby. Latter a little unlucky after a slight mistake at the last.King George VI
42 points @ 5/1 (VC) Master Minded (SP 11/2) PU
11 points @ 4/1 (B365)Kauto Star
(SP 3/1)
1st
Return 290 points
47 points @ 4/1 (VC)Kauto Star
Lay
47 points @ 3/1 (Betfair)(241) (53 outlay)
+49 profit
Great to see the old boy win a fifth King George, and in such attacking style! Both winner and second putting up Timeform ratings of 180 or more. Long Run outpaced on the back straight and staying on late. Must be favourite to get his revenge on Kauto Star at Cheltenham over another 2½ furlongs, especially when the winner will be 12 years old come March. But whether it should be as much as betting indicates (3/1 and 7/1) is doubtful. We are lucky to have such great chasers. One sad note, Master Minded suffered what could be a career threatening injury. Hope he makes a full recovery.
Days Stakes 301, Return 290,
Welsh National Chepstow
32 points @ 13/2 (WH) Synchronised DNR
22 points @ 9/1 (FD)Le Beau Bai
(SP bog 10/1)
1st
Return 242 points
12 points @ 18.5/1 (betfair) Cannington brook (SP 15/2)
7 points @ 10/1 (FD) Galaxy Rock (SP 12/1)
4 points @ 22/1 (L) Our Island (SP 10/1)
3 points @ 20/1 (VC) Our Island
(80)+162 Profit
Jonjo proved right in going to Ireland with Synchronised. Chepstow specialist Le Beau Bai did the biz anyway.
2:45 Chepstow
18 points each way @ 8/1 (B365) Kapga de Cerisy (SP 12/1)
10 points @ 4/1 (L) Secret Edge (SP 7/2) 3rd
-46 Deficit
The saver bet beat my each way shot for third.Days Stakes 126, Return 242,
Profit +116 points
Lexus Chase
33 points @ 5/1 (b365) Rubi Light (SP 9/4) 2nd
18 points @ 15/8 (C) Quito De La Roque (SP 13/8) 3rd
-51 Deficit
Ironic, my ante-post Lexus main bet and saver beaten by my ante-post Welsh National bet. At least Rubi Light is now much more likely to go likely to go for the Ryanair.Days Stakes 51, Return 0,
12:20 Newbury
40 points @ 7/2 (b365) Night Alliance (SP 2/1)
20 points @ 11/1 (PP) Ring Bo Ree (SP 12/1)
8 points @ 26/1 (betfair) Numbercruncher (SP 50/1) 3rd
8 points @ 33/1 (betfair) Ravenclaw (SP 25/1)
-76 Deficit2:05 Newbury
48 points @ 11/4 (L) For Non Stop (SP 9/4) 2nd
16 points @ 3/1 (L) Cue Card1st
(10p R4) (SP 5/2) Return 59.2 points
(64)
-4.8 Deficit2:35 Newbury
44 points @ 11/4 (WH) Quotica De Poyons (SP 9/4) PU
14 points @ 7/2 (betfair) Rey Nacarado (SP 3/1)1st
(10p R4) Return 58.1 points
7 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Ballyegan (SP 15/2) 2nd
(65)
-6.9 Deficit3:40 Newbury
33 points @ 6/1 (WH) Olofi (SP 3/1) Fell
24 points @ 6.8/1 (betfair) Ubi Ace (SP 15/2) 3rd
13 points @ 5/1 (VC) Lifestyle (SP 11/2)
8 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Rigidity (SP 9/1)
-78 Deficit
Olofi yet to be asked for his all when falling 2 out. Seemed likely winner at the time. But if I had to lose it was good to see Celestial Halo win a good race.Days Stakes 283, Return 117.3,
Not that happy with Newbury Racecourse. Had most of my bets the night before after checking the weather forecast and official going. No rain forecast from that point to race time, so (I thought) it would either dry up or stay the same. Yet despite “no overnight rain” the going changed to SOFTER in the morning due to rain the AFTERNOON before. So when I was looking at the “official” going the night before, it was ALREADY out of date, ie WRONG.
Rey Nacarado would have been my main bet instead of the saver, Night Alliance did not have as good a chance on very soft ground.This Post Stakes 1129, Return 919.97,
Deficit -209.03
Total Stakes 3624, Total Return 4937.09,
Total Profit 1313.09 points
36.2% Profit
on stakes
26 wins in 60 races (43.3% SR)Value Is Everything
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