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- This topic has 54 replies, 6 voices, and was last updated 23 years, 4 months ago by
IanC.
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- December 16, 2002 at 20:31 #42997
What a miserable run!!
Saturday
L…..L…..L…..L…..L…..9/4…..L
Sunday
L…..L
Monday
L…..L
<br>16/50 LS 42.86 MERDS 39.83
Ian C
December 18, 2002 at 22:07 #42998Tuesday<br>L…..L…..11/8
Wednesday<br>L…..11/10…..L…..11/10
18 from 57 Stakes 57 Returns LS 49.44 Merds 39.83
Ian C
December 18, 2002 at 23:15 #42999Hi Ian, its time to start looking at a couple of filters. You have absolutely no chance of winning, whichever staking method your using, if you cant get better than a 50% strike rate. Obviously the Strike Rate has got to match the odds your getting and as your looking at a "Fav" system where the majority are going to be very short, only a SR in excess of 50% is going to be of any use. The run your going througfh at present must have decimated your previous SR so I think that it may be time to tighten it all up. If the present course continues, your on a hiding to nothing and there aint a staking method around that’ll save you…… time to start using some filters mate……  :cool:
MrE
January 1, 2003 at 16:23 #43000To bring the month to a close…
Thur 19 8/11<br>Fri 20 L…..9/4…..L<br>Sat 21 L…..9/4…..L…..1/1…..L<br>Sun 22 L<br>Thur 26 L…..L…..L…..15/8…..L…..L…..6/5…..L<br> 6/4…..L…..L…..L<br>Fri 27 2/1…..1/1…..2/1…..L…..6/5<br>Sat 28 L…..L…..L…..7/2…..4/7…..8/11…..L<br>Sun 29 11/10…..11/10<br>Mon 30 L<br>Tue 31 L…..L…..4/5
Total for month 35 from 98 (SR 35.8%)<br>Stakes 98 Returns 91.24 ROI – 6.89%
Since I started in August the results for the year are:
223 from 583 (38.25%)<br>Stakes 583 Returns 565.84 (ROI – 2.94%)
I’m going to start a brand new thread for 2003.
I’ve made note of Mr E’s comments particularly about rolling doubles and have just produced a spread sheet that will calculste them automatically as the month goes on so I can post that as well. When I’ve got chance I’ll go back over the whole of 2002, to see how that panned out. Was it just a coincidence that the first 2 months showed a reasonable ROI on level stakes?
Ian C
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