Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Oaks 2022
- This topic has 194 replies, 28 voices, and was last updated 2 years, 4 months ago by Gingertipster.
-
AuthorPosts
-
June 2, 2022 at 18:03 #1600100
Me too BigG, me picking a horse normally nobbles their chances but just checked my premium bonds for the June draw and have scooped a £100 so that’s a good omen
June 2, 2022 at 19:11 #1600104Nice one Illavim,they say things come in 3s, so maybe that’s the Oaks
and your TTTF (flat) coveredJune 2, 2022 at 19:30 #1600110Racing post from a breeding point of view predicting a wayne lordan double. Im surprised ryan went for tuesday and seamie and wayne must be eyeing winning the oaks. The fav may well romp home but if not its anybodys race and why thoughts of june is such a long price is baffing to me especially as there have been such big price winners recently. Concert hall looks a cracking ew bet to me.
June 2, 2022 at 20:19 #1600117Fingers crossed BigG, just seen this comment from trainer in RP
Trainer Ed Walker: “I think she’s overpriced. We’ve met With The Moonlight twice and beaten her twice, yet she’s 11-1 and we’re 66-1. Our filly relaxes and I’m confident she’ll stay. I believe there’s a lot more to come and think you’ll see a different horse to the one who ran in the Prix Cleopatre on her first run of the season.”
June 3, 2022 at 00:08 #1600132“We’ve met With The Moonlight twice and beaten her twice, yet she’s 11-1 and we’re 66-1”
———————–
That’s just plain stupid talk from Ed Walker.
It seems Ed either does not understand form or is clutching at straws.Yes, Kawida beat With The Moonlight twice last year…
But once was in a novice stakes where Kawida came second to Star From Afarhh with WTM a further 6 1/4 lengths behind in 4th. Winner has beaten just one home in three races since and the horse between Kawida and WTM the third Yorkindness remains a maiden from six starts.
Kawida did win the Listed Montrose stakes. This time she beat WTM 2 lengths, but again the two were separated by Flash Betty half a length behind Kawida. Flash Betty has since gone down to Cachet twice; by 7 lengths in the Nell Gwyn and 20 lengths (last) in the 1000.
Star Of Afarhh, Yorkindness and Flash Betty’s form must all be taken into account when analysing Kawida’s runs with With The Moonlight.
WTM’s other three races all resulted in victory and last time out easily won the Pretty Polly. Although the form rated conventionally could be picked holes in, the time cannot. Less than one hundredth of a second per furlong worse than the 1000 Guineas on the same day, proving it was a much improved performance.
ie Using time as a way of rating horses, WTM could not have done that time unless she was pretty good. At least as good as Tuesday put up when placed in the 1000 Guineas.
Good luck with Kawida, but it is With The Moonlight who is imo overpriced.
Value Is EverythingJune 3, 2022 at 01:11 #1600137Emily Upjohn is my winner.
2 x against the field EW
With the Moonlight &
Rogue MillenniumWin and EW’s plylus a comby forecast on above three.
Fingers crossed.
Good luck
JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...June 3, 2022 at 11:15 #1600160Tuesday 13-2 ew AP, Concert Hall 13-1 ew AP. Emily Upjohn/Desert Crown double.
Good luck all.
June 3, 2022 at 13:02 #1600184Tranquil Lady 18-1 ew 4pl looks a decent bet to me. I like her breeding, she shouldn’t mind the ground and I don’t think the trainer would send her just to have one in the race.
June 3, 2022 at 13:12 #1600187I’ve plumped for Thoughts Of June @20s to win and a small e/w wager on Kawida at 66s.
Best of luck to allJune 3, 2022 at 13:15 #1600189I’m still harking back to backing Roses For The Star each-way in Pawneese’s Oaks. Little success since…
However, have gone each-way with With The Moonlight who has done precious little wrong and was impressive in winning the Pretty Polly on seasonal debut.
June 3, 2022 at 13:32 #1600192“I’m a big fan of Nashwa”
I think the drying ground is in her favour as it surely gives her a better chance of being fully effective at 1m4f.
I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/
It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"June 3, 2022 at 14:30 #1600206Thoughts of June.
Vastly improved last time out when winning for the first time and extra distance here should not be a detriment. Stamina on top and speed on the bottom side of her breeding…
June 3, 2022 at 14:35 #1600207I think Emily Upjohn likely wins
But iv come down on Concert Hall at 12/1 e/w 4 places as the best alternative
June 3, 2022 at 16:26 #1600236TUESDAY has run on well in both of her big races.
Each way the call for her to get into the places again to frank Homeless songs performance.
Colin Keane has just the one ride on
THE ALGARVE. A highly under rated jockey. each way.June 3, 2022 at 16:39 #1600239Get in!
June 3, 2022 at 16:39 #1600240Best horse by far unlucky there
June 3, 2022 at 16:41 #1600241Well done Mike and everyone else on. Emily Upjohn a beast to get so close after that start.
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.