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A potentially very hot Derrinstown with 3 of my fillies all facing off. You’d really want to take the bridesmaid So Wonderful on, but it’s hard being sure who with! Ridenza was probably the one i liked the most out of the 3, but she’s the one coming back from a setback. Hope they all run well anyway.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Nicely done Jack, getting three of them in The Derrinstown.
Hopefully they do you proud. Hot looking race right enough.
Know It All really does look a filly + a half. Better with the ground i reckon, and a huge filly. She dwarfed Jessie’s in second.
Ridenza shaped lovely on her reappearance + was well supported.
Amma Grace dropped back to a mile shaped like she’d be better over further. I was surprised that Weld decided to put her back in trip given her pedigree. She’s not finished yet i reckon.
A bit annoying a lot of these fillies are running in the same races, but that was always going to be a problem with the congested fixture list + the fact they are all 3yo fillies, but sure.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!It is Bobby, i have high enough hopes for all 3, hopefully now they will get to find their own races + not have to clash as much! Perhaps Amma Grace being stepped up in trip will help that, mind you she seems keen + needs a hood to load, so that might be the issue there.
With Love looking to fly the flag in all the top races this year, hopefully each of the 3 will get their chances to win graded/listed races moving forward!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Passion– Won in taking style over 1m6, she does look a real stayer and might well turn out to be a very good one! Think she runs this weekend in the Irish SL.
New York Girl –God shes had a disappointing and strange year. Started well enough, i thought the step up in trip was in his grasp and she hasn’t fired for whatever reason. Back to 1m in the Matron. 33s shot, wouldn’t mind seeing her do some talking on the track before i think of backing her again.
Amma Grace Ran well in defeat vs Thundering Nights. Again runs in the Blanford this weekend and i am not sure what to make of her.
Know It All Ran well in France behind Watch Me, and has a squeak under Fallon jr in the Matron. looking forward to seeing her!
Hamariyna Still not sure on her- she hasn’t shown much since her 2nd to Lemista.
Ridenza- Doesn’t look to have come back from her injury at all……Another thing i was going to post on, and i might still do if i find the time is the Barrier Trials that Ireland provide on the Irish Thoroughbred Marketing site. Some of them are not registered on form websites yet, and i think it could provide an angle into 2yo betting. I’ll monitor, but so far there has been success backing the participants when making the track
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Yeah i thought she did! Murtagh’s other filly is a real star, to think she was near sent off to USA! I wonder is there a possibility for Know It All to rock up at Newmarket for the Sun Chariot, will have to keep on the look out for that.
Thunder Moon was one of the Barrier Trialists from July and won his G1…
Fingers crossed i’ll have an hour or two to look at this more later. Might list the ones i liked the look of in here, and see how they go when making the track. Also will help me keep a list of the ones that aren’t on the form sites yet.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!There is one that runs tomorrow at Cork in the 3.15 for Joseph O’Brien- he finished 3rd to another of the yard’s horses. He’s well bred which is no surprise, but on that barrier trial he wouldn’t be massively eye-catching. Will watch him with interest anyway.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Ran a cracker- Belmont Avenue finished very well and showed a lot of promise.
The ones that showed the most promise winning their trials tomorrow are Russian River + Southern Lights. 5-1 and 2-1 for their course debuts puts me off. It doesn’t help that these are with Joseph O’brien.
The two i’ve backed tomorrow are:
Lincoln Hawk for Elliot finished a promising not knocked about 2nd. 2nd fastest time over 6f that day and given it’s trained by a NH trainer you’d imagine he’d be happy enough just getting a run into him.
Kompromat made the running with another. The other finished last, while this filly did get caught, she didn’t stop altogehter and managed third. Back to 5furlongs with a 7pd claimer on i thought her price was fair in a poor race.Trainer is good with sprinters and has had 2yo winners (shows a profit). Fav has some OK form only, rated 78 and i just think she could be beatable.There are a few others that run that didn’t really look that promising to me, but these are barrier trials so god knows! If they do run well on the track i’ll mention them after.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Russian River looked to me like she was still green and hit a flat spot. The jockey said she ran disappointingly, but part of the thing that put me off her was she was running vs fillies with decent runs under their belt already, so the Barrier Trial wasn’t really an “advantage”.
Southern Lights ran a cracker, and actually finished 2nd to another Barrier Trial horse in Deputy Sandy. My notes on him were that he would be one to improve over further but wasn’t especially eye-catching on his trial. Looks useful though. For me, this race is a good indicator on where Barrier Trials will be effective, for races with zero form in the book.
Lincoln Hawk ran a good race, was caught up the rail and ran on nicely. He looks one to follow for me.
Kompromat, who i expected to bounce out and try and make all didn’t get the opportunity too, and to my eye the race didn’t work out for her at all.Buzz of New York also ran a fine race in 5th behind 4 fillies with at least 1 run.
Thr trialists in the 6.15 to me, didn’t run very well. Scrum Half looked a danger about 2f out, but didn’t do much in the end.
A few previous trialists run today at Dundalk i’ll be watching.
Majestic Jewel a 3yo by Kingman for Jack Davison, a promising trainer. Interesting as she’s a 3yo, owed by the trainer and he bought her at the July 2020 HIT sale. So she didn’t make the Godolphin cut. Will she prove a shrewd purchase? Who knows. She ran a promising barrier not pushed around and running on in third. Big price today, but she has zero experience whereas a lot of horses in the race do, albeit showing low ability.
7.30 Red Contender runs, and opened a very big price of 33s. He bounced out from a wide draw and won from the front, with the 2nd fastest time of the day. In behind was the Elliot trained Lincoln Hawk who looked to have some ability on the course yesterday. 3rd also was the winner yesterday Deputy Sandy.
Therefore it could be said that this guy has a fair chance today you’d think? Negative is Comer is the trainer. He isn’t known to win often at all lol. Bred to be speedy it’ll be an interestign watch anyway. Into best price 8s now. Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!A few of the usual fillies to follow for the season. Not expecting fireworks but it’s probably my favourite part of the flat, watching the fillies trying to get their black-type.
3YO Fillies
Statement- Martyn Meade
I think with her pedigree she might improve for a little further and softer ground. Ran a nice race in the Fred Darling.
Ulster Blackwater- Joseph O’Brien
190K Camelot out of a listed 1m4 winning mare. Ulster Blackwater won a barrier trial over 7f beating 2 colts snugly. It’s hard to be certain how fit all the horses are in these, but the form of the trial has actually worked out pretty well. She’s got fancy entries, and i think she could be smart over 10f +.
Port Sunlight- Dermot Weld
Serious pedigree as can be expected from Moyglare. Missed the start on debut but then travelled and finished her race nicely. Her maiden win came on heavy where she was ridden from a little way out, but kept finding + then won with plenty in hand at the finish. She’s a lovely middle distance pedigree and both her maidens have decent form-lines in them so i’d be hopeful that Weld will get her a good level of black-type.
Mehnah- Kevin Prendergast
No doubt the most obvious one after her 1000G trial big run, but i think she could be exceptional. She had 92 and 100 rated fillies in behind her at Dundalk on her first racecourse outing (the others had experience). She won that nicely. At Leopardstown she had a bad draw, but properly rattled home to just be beaten a neck. I suspect she’s a proper G1 filly, and has the pedigree to go with it.
4YO Fillies
Gena- Paddy Twomey
I love the trainer and he’s the best about and getting horses from other trainers + getting the best out of them. Gena could be the next, in the former colours of Sonailya (bought by Moyglare), she went from 86>110 when moving to Twomey. This filly is from France + has been showing up well from 6f>1m, so it’s hard to tell what her trip will be. Related to Dark Lion, he’s a sprinter, but she might be more a 7f filly. Half sister to g1 winning Giofra and plenty of listed winners, this could be a shrewd buy for the stud.
Stormy Girl- Paddy Twomey310k purchase between two owners that have already good success in the Twomey yard. This is an interesting buy from the Rebecca Menzies yard, as sprinters from the UK have been doing very well when turning up in Ireland in recent years. She’s got very solid listed level form and while i’m not knocking the trainer (she’s good) i’d hope Twomey could improve her again, which would make her very exciting in sprint races in Ireland.
Mazara- J O’BrienI’m not sure what way the Aga Khan’s breeding operation works, but i think it’s very weird for them to sell this filly. She’s well bred, and has just been touched off by top notch fillies. I don’t know what her setback was, but she looks a shrewd purchase, and given she has an entry in the Lanwades Stakes, i hope that’s a sign she’s been working well. She’s worth watching for sure.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!
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