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A notebook horse of mine from the flat runs tonight- Brazos- he ran well on his reappearance, and is unexposed.
His 3rd run of his life wasn’t bad at all, and whilst he has to give Law Girl weight, and can;t help but think she’s quite average. For all her FR rating suggests she wins this easily.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Brazos wins, giving Law Girl 10pds..
A good performance, and the race beforehand saw hotpot Scarpeta get turned over by Emperor Waltz who finished a few places behind Brazos in a big Naas handicap won by Swamp Fox.
I think Brazos could be a good staying handicapper this year, and the trainers comments after indicated he thought the same.
The race didn’t go superbly for him, and i feel a bigger field, and more pace in the race will suit him better.
One to follow me thinks.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!One thing i noted from the weekends racing in Ireland- National Hunt wise is quite a nice wee angle.
I was at dpk on Friday and i won’t bother after-timing my bet but after looking back at my selections this afternoon i noticed that the angle i found didn’t just stop at DPK.
I am going to presume its a well known combination, but i’ve clearly been sleeping the last few years and only noticed it now.
Dempsey father+son combo.
The first thing you will notice is the father has a great £1 stake profit over chases and hurdles in general, however, when you flick through his riders, 207 rides for his son, 14% and +£78.13..reads quite well!
He has a healthy record with his father over both hurdles and fences, but at DPK, it is especially over hurdles.
Worth watching!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!5.25 Curragh tomorrow will be worth watching.
Happily, Rehana, Rhododendren, Sea of Grace, Alice Springs + Qualify to name a few have featured in this maiden in the past.
Lightning Amber for Weld ran a promising debut behind more experienced geldings last time + shes very well related. Sister to Hydrangea and another closely related to Bracelet feature too.
Bolger has a couple involved, the newcomer related to Twilight Payment probbaly will need a trip!
Lyons with one too…safe to say it could be hot!!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!This has been left dormant for sometime, will likely do an update of after the Festive feast we have over the next few days!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Delayed due to the lack of video replays.
First one to go on the list from Xmas onwards is Trappist Monk. Won’t be a tip-top graded winner but i like him.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Try 365 for replays Jack. Go to the racing section and on the right hand side they have an archive section. Just put the date in and you get all the races shown that day. Goes back a fair old while as well.
Hi Botchy, cheers- have you tried this recently with the Irish racing? I just tried it there + its not working, i think there’s a rights dispute!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!The first 3 that caught my eye recently… one runs today vs Presenting Percy
Trappist Monk– Full brother to good horse Monksland. Good debut run in a summer bumper that at the time looked above average. The front two have a ok level of form now but not outstanding. He shaped nicely then behind a more fancied stablemate in Dream Conti. The fourth has improved lumps since hurdling and the 5th has won a bumper in decent style. Again he caught my eye at Down Royal on his hurdle debut. The first thing to say is whilst he was beaten 13.25Ls he was the only one in the top 6 having his hurdle debut + the two behind him have a fair to middling level of form. His jumping was in and out and from about 3 or 4 out, O’Hare was getting after him after havign travelled well most the way. He responded to this probably shaping as a stayer and quite one paced but ended up 3rd. I reckon he’ll be an ok horse at a certain level- not necessarily graded and he might want a trip…..worth watching
Darasso– Punted beforehand 25s into 7s, this was a decent race for the 11k offered. The first thing i note is Darasso’s FR form- he hammered Janika now with Nicky, and she ran to an RPR of 154 on her debut with him. Ruby displayed great race riding by getting Bachasson upsides Darasso before MW could come off the rail to mount his challenge. Once he got out, the race was already finished, but he displayed a nice performance to close on Bachasson. He was giving Bachasson 8pds + whilst both will improve for the run, i believe the second will be the better horse in time. He could be a festival horse, but even if he isn’t he will pick up nice pots in Ireland all being well.
Scarpeta– Favourite for the race, probably due to race fitness, however, IMO, he needs 3miles at least to be seen at his best. Not only does he have plenty of stamina, he jumps sketchy, and a slower pace should help that. Maybe i’m blind but i didn’t see Townend lift the encourager once to Scarpeta, and he stayed on ok past a beaten horse to finish 3rd. I am not sure if i’ve missed something but he’s not in the betting for the stayers, and whilst he’d have to step up, it is wide open and i think he’d have a chance. He will certainly stay all day. Not as eyecatching as Darasso, but he stayed on nicely enough under a soft ride. If he learns to jump he’ll pick up nice pots. Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Only 8 months later i will revive this thread for the new season.
Trappist Monk won his maiden in Kilbeggan, but certainly proved to be limited on what he showed! Judging by Flanagan’s comments he’s a staying chaser in the making. Not sure how good he is and probably not going to be followed too heavily. He might be of interest at Down Royal sometime as his owners like winners at their local track.
Darasso won very nicely both times since. I think he’s a good horse, he probably does have to step up some more as he has had plenty of runs in France + was getting weight off Cadmium. Cadmium did bolt up at Aintree afterwards. So the form is decent and he might be of interest in a Ryanair. He’s one i’ll continue to watch.
Scarpeta Won a race at evens but wasn’t exactly worth a follow!
A couple i have in my head for the season coming (I will probably add more).
Hang In There previously with Mags Mullins he is now with Emma Lavelle and part owned by Paisley Park’s owner Andrew Gemmell. He looks very well bought i think at 60k. His last run off a layoff was very eye-catching pushing La Tektor very close. He made a mistake late on as well which meant he was on the backfoot but stayed on nicely. La Tektor had some very strong maiden placed runs and was obviously race fit. Close third Lethal Steps was getting 11pds as a 4yo and has since won a novice hurdle and is rated 129.
Even when going back over his 2 bumper runs, there is form worth noting. When hammered on debut by Royal Rendezvous who looked very smart he was only 3/4L behind Whoshotthesheriff now rated 130 after winning 2 hurdles in a row. That was his third start as well and Royal Rendezvous had 4 prior starts.
Then onto his 2nd bumper he was beaten 11Ls by Castletown Quary. That horse has disappointed over hurdles but his early bumper form was strong. The second EVERYBREATHYOUTAKE is now rated 134 over hurdles and only beat Hang In There 4.5Ls. Even the 3rd is now rated 127.
I have already said, but i do think this is a shrewd purchase for 2m4+ hurdles + then fences.Another who probably isn’t quite as dark is Eglantine Du Seuil 50/1 winner of the Mares Novice at Cheltenham. She was described as “not the fastest in the world”. She was then beaten by Honeysuckle who looks a star and Elfile who looks very smart too. She then went on to Punchestown to finish a close 2.25L third to Reserve Tank. That run catches the eye to me as it was up against the geldings. Reserve Tank + Sams Profile are very decent horses for chasing this year. She stays hurdling and isn’t in the betting for the world hurdle. I wouldn’t rule her out for that or the 25s for the Mares Hurdle depending on if Benie goes there. In the meantime, i think it’ll depend how shes campaigned, kept to easy mares races? Or pitched in vs the geldings. Either way, hopefully she won’t be quite as much a Mullin’s hotpot as most are!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Jack, totally agree with Darasso, really interested in him this year, and I can see him beyond Handicaps.
Hang In There runs tomorrow for his new connections. Certainly not missed in the market, 1/2. He has pretty strong form though so it’s probably to be expected. Hopefully he wins even with the trip being probably as short as i’d want to see him at
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Hang In There interfered with and unseated at the first, disappointing as would’ve like to see more of him!
Another one for the list is Well Set Up, bolted up in a bumper, well bred and has strong hurdle form. She should be good over 2m4+ i suspect. Related to On The Blind Side and was just touched of by Robin De Carlow by a head. I was on her that day at 40s
Bay Ambition has since won at dpk as well.
Out tomorrow and she’s 7/2, i think she’s worth a watch for the season.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Well Set Up well beaten by a horse i’m involved in, very weird and unexpected.
Listen Dear had a problem last year which kept her off the track from November to August 19 and when coming back she really disappointed. Had been working ok, but just looked to have fallen out of love with the game. A last throw of the dice putting her up in trip seems to have worked. She was always a very one paced mare, needing to run from the front and set her pace, maybe with age she’s gotten even slower haha and perhaps learnt to settle a little better allowing her to see out the trip better. She did stay in a PTP afterall.
I don’t think Well Set Up is one to ignore going forward, she stays well, and will pick up some decent mares contests i suspect this year.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Hang In There one of my horses to follow is out again today, hopefully he can make it past the first hurdle without incident. Up against a very good bumper horse in Eden Du Houx.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Hang In There one of my horses to follow is out again today, hopefully he can make it past the first hurdle without incident. Up against a very good bumper horse in Eden Du Houx.
Well Eden Du Houx was pulled out and declared again for today. Hang In There was pretty easily by 7Ls from the front. Didn’t expect him to go from the front, but i guess he stays further so best to keep it as simple as possible. He did get edgy before the race + did show inexperience through out it, hopefully that’ll be ironed out with racing! Could be a decent enough horse going forward.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!
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