The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Dodgy Betting Moves – BEFORE the race please

Home Forums Archive Topics Trends, Research And Notebooks Dodgy Betting Moves – BEFORE the race please

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 79 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #196789
    Irish Stamp
    Member
    • Total Posts 3176

    Plenty of support for Azure Mist in that race Halfwaytoheaven – shouldn´t have drifted that much mind :lol:

    #196805
    thedarkknight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1299

    Maybe we should include in this thread horses that are smashed off the boards, having been totally friendless last time out…

    There was a nice qualifier tonight in Trimlestown…

    #196806
    halfwaytoheaven
    Member
    • Total Posts 1387

    Maybe we should include in this thread horses that are smashed off the boards, having been totally friendless last time out…

    There was a nice qualifier tonight in Trimlestown…

    Aye, that was first time blinkers tonight though wasnt it?

    #196866
    thedarkknight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1299

    Was it??

    #196897
    Avatar photocormack15
    Keymaster
    • Total Posts 9335

    Maybe we should include in this thread horses that are smashed off the boards, having been totally friendless last time out…

    Absolutely

    #196899
    Irish Stamp
    Member
    • Total Posts 3176

    Not sure a move like that can be put down to first time blinkers :wink:

    #196900
    thedarkknight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1299

    Indeed, especially when the horse wasn’t wearing blinkers.

    The interesting point about the horse is that it was a significant drifter last time at Lingfield (where there was no particular reason not to fancy the horse), where it missed the break and was given a pretty dreadful ride.

    #196901
    Avatar photoRed_Evie
    Member
    • Total Posts 70

    the site is gonna be closed down if we keep this up haha

    #196904
    Irish Stamp
    Member
    • Total Posts 3176

    Fair enough TDK – didn’t see the race only the pre-race move.

    The money talked in the Metternich race too.

    #197854
    Avatar photorobnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8409

    Firefox

    That’s after-timing on a before the race thread. Even your our orginal post was at 13:18.

    Who’s to say the RP forecast compiler got it right for the Ludlow race. It’s only his opinion and there are plenty of other opinions flying about.The compiler of the forecast admits in the Spotlight that his last race was a weakish race. You can’t take the RP forecast as gospel otherwise the compiler is placed nuder quite unjustified pressure to get it right.

    Rob

    #197861
    Avatar photorobnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8409

    Assuming the ‘King horse’ was Paquet Cadeau then it ended up at 7/2, so it in fact shortened in price, at least ni the latter stages of the market, rather than drifting.

    I’m not particularly aiming at yourself regarding the betting forecast, rather than what seems to be a common theme in many such threads that if the SP or opening price is out of line with the forecast then there must be something amiss. I certainly wouldn’t want to be Steven Boow or one of his colleagues if all forecasts were treated that way.

    as a side point regarding forecast and their compilation, it does sit rather uncomfortably that the compiler of the industry guide forecast, as many treat it, also writes the Spotlight comments which can themselves have a siginificant impact.

    You mentioned Royal Keva (assumed ‘the original 2nd fav’) in the Southwell who seemed to run more or less the same race as it’s last effort. It was priced at 5/2 in the RP, but then the first two words in the Spotlight were ‘Bit disappointing’.

    Rob

    #197873
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    Royal Keva was just obscene – name your price and stake from a few minutes before the off all the way through the race.

    #197874
    Irish Stamp
    Member
    • Total Posts 3176

    The Post Forecasts are often way out with the various industry EP’s. Would hate to be using them as a guide as to how they price up X or Y, now if we were able to bet at RP Forecasts that would be a totally different matter :wink:

    #197876
    Avatar photorobnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8409

    Royal Keva was just obscene – name your price and stake from a few minutes before the off all the way through the race.

    Glenn

    Nothing particularly odd about the performance though. Out of the stalls in a prominent position, settled just off the pace, encouraged to get competitive entering the straight but just didn’t have the pace of the front two. Given every chance and not good enough, as per previous run.

    Rob

    #198658
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    Looks like the stone in hand Fyodor will be finishing last here.

    #198659
    Avatar phototbracing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1453

    hmmmm, should walk it but i can’t see how this is going to be run to suit him i doubt they will go fast enough

    #198661
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    Holy Cow! At least Dick Turpin wore a mask.

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 79 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.