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Have a free bet acca running for me this week with Galopin the final leg.
Majborough/Ballyburn/Jonbon/Galopon Des Champs
I was delighted to see Inothewayurthinkin supplement, as it rekindled my big ante-post on him. He’s my biggest bet of the week by a stretch, and win or lose, it’s got me a bit of excitement
Ahoy Senor 80-1 ew, exchange bets, and Inothewayurthinkin 20-1
Inothewayurthinkin was supposed to be my Gold Cup/National bet this year, and not sure why I didn’t get involved
Was going to add him for tomorrow, but as I’ll (stupidly) bet Royal Pagaille as well, I can’t justify it
Banbridge 8’s
Royal Pagaille 110’s EWThoroughly unappealing race this year in my opinion but with Henry and Rachael hitting form a small punt on Monty’s Star.
The more I know the less I understand.
It’s GDC’s for the taking , I’ve played inowhatyurthinkin , this feels a bit like Synchronised and if he can stay on the tail of GDC then he could make it interesting , he,’ll def stay , can’t get that last run out of my head as he was given a easy race , I’ll prob tickle Corbetts cross to , I just can’t have Banbridge
Added
Ahoy Senor 66s each way, in the hope the (likely) better ground may allow him to sneak a place.
Ahoy Senor each way for me. 66-1 is a cracking price. It just needs the stars to align
Inothewayurthinkin has been an effective soft ground performer to this point.
Gavin Cromwell in his blog…
“We’re hoping it’ll be well-watered because if it dries out and it’s bordering on good being in the description then we may not run him.”
At the risk of staying the obvious, Galopin Des Champs should bolt in. 8/13 was available last night, which might look like a gift in a few hours time. Were the likes of Ballyburn and Majborough more likely to win their races? According to the prices they were, which puts GDC’s price into context.
My only concern is: might the occasion get to his connections? Unlike some people in racing, Willie Mullins and Paul Townend both have a feel for the history of the sport.
Mullins is from a family steeped in Irish racing history. To have trained the first Irish three time Gold Cup winner since the great Arkle would mean a huge amount to him.
Likewise, it was not lost on Townend last year when he was told he had equalled Pat Taafe’s record of having ridden four Gold Cup winners. To be the jockey with the most Gold Cup victories would really matter to him.
I am a great believer that any nerves shown by connections can be transmitted to the horse. It would be my only slight worry in a horse that otherwise looks rock solid.
Despite that slight concern, I did take the 8/13. I only bet odds on rarely but I couldn’t resist that price (I will also put him in a double with East India Dock). And I have an each way saver at 22/1 on Corbetts Cross.
One of the worst renewals in recent memory.
Also, With the going stick report stating soft unlike the “official” good to soft, conditions appear to perfect for the fav and a hinderance to his only proper rival.
While it’d be great to see Galopin win his 3rd Gold Cup, Willie guiding Fact To File towards the Ryanair has left a sour taste in my mouth.
I’d honestly love to see a McManus winner here.
If this week has taught us anything is that no favourite is safe and jumping is the name of the game. Galopin Des Champs is a great champion and ought to win, but then so should have so many other odds on shots this week. And Inothewayurthinkin is a pretty poor jumper, easily the worst in the field.
Let’s face it there are holes to pick in the lot of them behind the favourite, but The Real Whacker has looked a renewed force this season with conditions to suit, course form to fall back on and doesn’t have that much to find on ratings to land a place. Well worth a go for each way fun.
I just hope Galopin Des Champs writes himself into the history books as one of the true greats. At the risk of putting the mockers on him, it doesn’t look a vintage field in opposition.
Every horse has plus and minus points which make them either good or bad bets at the price. Banbridge is no longer the second favourite and imo @ 10 is worth chancing. Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think he will stay. But at the price I think it is now worth taking that chance. He has 10 lbs to find with GDC, but GDC may not run to his very best (especially if it drys out further) and Banbridge’s Kempton run was his career best, ie is improving. I wouldn’t back Banbridge each way, because if he does not stay is less likely to place than win odds indicate. Townend will need to judge the pace. Too slow and Banbridge has more speed. Too strong and GDC will weaken in the closing stages. GDC should win, but the price is imo too short now.
My current 100% (win only) book:
Galopin Des Champs 8/13
Inothewayurthinkin 7/1
Banbridge 15/2
Montys Star 16/1
Corbetts Cross 25/1
Ahoy Senor 50/1
The Real Whacker 80/1
Gentlemansgame 132/1
Royale Pegaille 500/1Value Is Everything
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