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I wouldn’t want to one of the many who,ve backed leopardess at single figures , she much prefers getting her hoof in
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
Don’t think many people – if any – backed Snow Leopardess at single figures when more was available at the time. If looking far enough back Snow Leopardess has in fact won three times on good ground and up to then was her best performance. Only run /defeat on officially good over fences was after 275 days break on chasing debut, excuses there although was only beaten 1 1/4 lengths anyway. So is not certain she’d be unsuited by good. Unraced on good since her improvement too but – yes – that recent progress has come on soft. So – true Her chance on good ground isn’t what it would be on good-soft or soft. That said, she’ll be more likely to stay the trip on less stamina sapping going.
Value Is EverythingAintree are watering
“Speaking after racing on Friday, clerk of the course Sulekha Varma said: “We’re going to put 5mm on the Grand National course tonight and 3mm on the Mildmay and hurdles and I’ve changed the Grand National to good to soft, good in places and the Mildmay and hurdles to good, good to soft in places.”My biggest wins would now be Death Duty 49/1 be Enjoy D’Allen 17/1.
Value Is Everything“Domaine De L’Isle would be my selection at around 80/1, seems great value for what looks a plot job.”
Don’t want to be That Guy, but aren’t there 40 ‘plot jobs’ for this particular race? Hardly entered last minute as an afterthought for the trainer and owners!
I can’t quite see who is in the race to fiddle round the back to get their handicap mark down for another day. Or am I super naive here?
Anyway, enjoying the thread, as you can probably tell. (Would be even better with a quote function
)Great write-up VTC. Confirms my initial thought that very few can be dismissed completely (possibly Brahma Bull aside as I have him in the sweepstake!).
Agreed go gingertipster connections don’t seem to bothered by good to soft ground reading racing post
VF x
Minella Times now favourite. Bookies clearly running scared of a public gamble on the Blackmore Factor.
Very surprised to see the Minella Times gamble in to favourite. I did not see that coming at all, even with ‘Our Darling Rachael’ in the plate.
BUY THE SUN
Rachael will be centre stage in all the National coverage in the newspapers tomorrow. The bookies are just taking pre-emptive action.
I ended up with Any Second Now, Two for Gold, Commodore and Anibale Fly. Any Second Now ran a blinder last year. He went up in the weights, but he can progress due to him being hindered in the race last year. The vibes are good and he showed the form this year is good. The most likely winner in my eyes.
Two for Gold is ahead of the handicapper I would say. His form one length behind Fakir d’Oudraries has been boosted today. He showed good staying/battling ability with his wins at Lingfield and Doncaster. His jumping is obviously a liabilty, but it doesn’t seem to determining anymore.
Commodore was on my mind for the Ultima Chase. I really like his performance in his last run. Jumping for fun and I think he has a big race in him. Couldn’t left him untouched. Happy to see that he got in the race.
Finally backed Anibale Fly for this. I think I’ve backed him in the previous editions as well. Last year he made a blunder at the first and was basically gone. A few weeks later he showed that he still had something in him with a 3rd place at Punchestown. He was 4th and 5th in the Grand National previously and obviously he has been trained for this. Had to back him on this weight.
Any Second Now 10/1
Two for Gold 40/1 EW
Commodore 40/1 EW
Anibaly Fly 66/1 EWGood luck all!
They,ll be plenty women backing both Rachel and the mare , taking both to false prices
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
“Agreed go gingertipster connections don’t seem to bothered by good to soft ground reading racing post”.
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It’s probably not going to be genuine good-soft though VF.
Time of the Topham being only 2.89 seconds “slow” of Racing Post Standard and other than the possibility of a few spots no rain is expected. So fine weather with winds mean 5 mm of watering tonight is highly unlikely to stop it being genuinely good going. Although unfortunately I doubt it’ll be officially “good”. So us punters won’t know for sure until too late.Connections know the probability of Snow Leopardess being able to show her best is better on good-soft than good.
Being a punter where “value is everything” (every horse has a value price)… On true good-soft I want better than 7/1 (I’d rate her as an 12.5% chance). On good ground I’d want better than 12/1 (rating her an 8% chance. So she’d still imo be value at the current 14/1 available. Just nowhere near the amount of value she’d been when it was genuine good-soft. She may even drift further if punters believe she won’t get the ground she wants, although having said that… Being the shortest priced British challenger with just one alternative below 20/1, it may bring the patriotic British punter towards her despite the surface.
Value Is EverythingJust the two for me
Two for gold @ 60s & mount ida @80s
Id find it hard to back anything under 30s this year, i dont see a strong candidate on the front end and if was forced would
Probably have to pick delta, MT even if winning is about as bad a price as ive seen in this, take rachel off, hes double, he could be a crazy price tomorrow“She may even drift further if punters believe she won’t get the ground she wants.”
Can’t see that happening. The papers will all focus on her unusual back story and she has the sort of name to appeal to once a year punters.
That is before the bookmakers start shortening everything up before the off.
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