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Pierse Hurdle
1/2 pt e/w Kronos @ 50-1 – just keep being drawn to this horse and have to have a little e/w
Irish Champion Hurdle 4pts Sizing Europe @ 5-1 Coral
Looked to have very little in his favour last time and should put in a solid run this time. Havent backed him on any other occasion but this should be the last chance saloon for him in my book, if he doesnt win then something is amiss with him.
1pte/w 1pt win Hardy Eustace @ 12-1 (also coral)
Should also be much better this time around.
Chelt 310 1pt e/w Pemberton @ 12-1
Chelt 420 2pts Presenting Copper @ 7-1
Donc 250 1/2pt e/w 1pt win StarLord @ 22-1
-17.05pts
+10points profit for today
= -7.05pts with 3pts still to run on hardy eustaceTotesport Trophy
1pt e/w 1pt win Takethebreeze @ 40-1 (Bet365)
If the ground is soft this one should be a force to be reckoned with.
Totesport Trophy
Stellino 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 14-1 (Coral)
Think that if there is a slow pace (would rather there isnt) this one should be thereabouts and his price is shrinking so will play him in advance.
Off to fairyhouse for the day but have a few I like at sandown.
Sandown 205
2pts win James De Vassy at best morning price (hopefully get a price before I go)
Much as I like Torpichen, I think he is very short and may not stay the distance round sandown with a decent gallop on this ground, think James De Vassy has everything in his favour on those circumstances
Sandown 420
1 pt e/w 1pt win Reblis @ 20-1 (Bet365)
Although the race is a 2m4f hurdle race, this horse is stepping up from 2 mile races for the first time, should handle trip and ground, and think he could go well, if not run off his feet on the way around.
Fairyhouse im looking at Arrak and Cloncrave
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Fully agree with James De Vassy, Bulwark. He looked a potentially useful sort when winning on debut, despite showing his inexperience, and the likely favourite didn’t look to beat much last time.
I can’t believe he’ll be the 6/1 the Racing Post have forecast, but I’ll be backing him reasonably heavily.
Lets just hope they go a decent pace mate, there are a fair few speedsters in the race, who would want less of a test than Torpichen, and if they are allowed to make the running it could be hard enough for JDV to win. Moores horse, Doumens horse, JDV and think there was another one I looked at should all want a reasonable clip so fingers crossed that we get it.
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Farcical pace and James De Vassy was never (encouraged or otherwise) in it. I have to say I wasn’t overly impressed by the winner, who looked like bounding clear at one stage before Trenchant began to close again.
I’m a layer at the 10/1 for the Triumph (I still think Mr Thriller of Pipe’s is being overlooked for the Festival).
The pace didnt look overly bad (I was watching the race thinking that if the ground was soft that they would tire in front) but on the basis that James Du Vessy was never travelling on the ground and that none of the better staying types played any part in the finish which was dominated by horses whose dosage would suggest they were speedsters, I strongly suspected that the going description of Soft was absolutely ridiculous and was probably in fact good (possibly through it freezing up a bit).
I played the later 2 mile hurdle race as if it was good ground, and had a 7-1 second and a 12-1 third. There is no chance whatsoever that the ground was soft or anywhere near it today IMO. (If I had a betting slip for Reblis in the later race I’d have crumpled it up long before the race even went off).
I have never had the triumph in mind for torpichen as have always thought he looks more like an aintree horse, on todays evidence I still think that he is (bearing in mind that todays second and third were previous winners who had evrything in their favour), the only question for me is will there be better than him come aintree.
Cloncrave was very unlucky at Fairyhouse as was the winner everywhere but the line, having entered into a battle a long way from home and was collared by a brilliantly ridden favorite who had just let them do battle in front for about 4 or 5 furlongs. Seemed like the whole grandstand was on cloncrave.
Uttoxeter 330.
Takethebreeze 6 pts win @ 5/2 (paddy power)
As anyone might have guessed by now, have been waiting for this horse to get a run with ground in his favour for since the ladbroke and now at long last he has got one, unfortunately it is in lower grade so he is quite short but think he should be much shorter if not for the fact that was defeated last time. Looks pretty much nailed on IMO, only wish I’d got 3-1 when he was opened by paddy power.
Mountaineer 2pts win @ 6-1 (paddy power)
Looks ideally suited to soft conditions, more so than anything else in the field. Could be his day to reverse form with Stow.
1pt double the pair
Navan 455 Last Draw 1pt e/w 1pt win 16-1 (Paddy Power)
Now admittedly this is a 2 mile bumper rather than a 2 mile hurdle, but was at down royal when Last Draw unseated last time. He looked like a monster in the paddock and went well on the track despite having no money on the board, that was his seasonal reappearance and he should be better for the run today. If he goes in theground he’s a cracking price.
Market Rasen 420
2pts Carrick Boy @ 4-1
1pt Pagan Starprincess @ 3-1
Cant really see past these two in the betting and at their prices they are both bettable
Market Rasen 205
2pts Glimmer of light @ 11/2
1pt Festival Dreams @ 5-1
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I think
Squadron
has a massive chance in the 4.20, despite being pulled up last time, and I’ve taken the 7/2.
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