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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

rudeboy

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  • in reply to: The Market Speaks #54346
    rudeboy
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    Hi Snowy

    Just popped in to see how the system was going.. looks like its taken a turn for the worse.. :o

    Based on your analysis/review of the selection method(s) can you determine the reason for the change in fortune?

    ;)

    (Edited by rudeboy at 11:02 am on July 29, 2004)

    in reply to: The Market Speaks #54309
    rudeboy
    Member
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    There you go Snowy … its the long haul that counts .. ;)

    in reply to: The Market Speaks #54288
    rudeboy
    Member
    • Total Posts 10

    Snowy

    In the words of Nick Mordin

    Systems are like vampires, you bring them out into the daylight and they shrivel and die.. :o

    Keep the faith! Remember it’s the performance over the long run that counts.. :cool: <br>

    in reply to: Placepot Poser #53525
    rudeboy
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    • Total Posts 10

    Q. Should I be going for more consistent wins by going for obvious selections with tighter dividends?

    A. No. :angry: This logic is the same as selecting favorites. Over time you will not win (i.e. dividends > £500). In addition, obvious selections = follow the crowd = low dividends. For the big hits you need to take an opposite view based on reasonable selection logic. For me the Tote Place-pot is ‘the’ best value bet in racing ;) given that for a small outlay there are potential big returns.. The fact that these are few and far between are part of the game..  :(

    Losing runs are a fact of life whatever the betting method. If your method has served you well thus far.. why change it?

    Keep the faith … :cool:

    <br>

    (Edited by rudeboy at 1:43 pm on May 24, 2004)

    in reply to: Software for database? #53226
    rudeboy
    Member
    • Total Posts 10

    Teletext

    http://www.teletext.co.uk/racing/generic.asp?slot=8

    its the cleanest web site of all which offer results, declarations etc..

    ;)

    in reply to: AW 500/1 #51708
    rudeboy
    Member
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    Ok .. let’s have a play in the sand..

    Selections based on a trial system

    4-15 Lingfield AND TOTO TOO (2nd)<br>4-50 Lingfield AGUILA LOCO (7th)<br>2-35 Lingfield ANOTHER SECRET, RAHEEL (1st)<br>3-10 Lingfield GIG HARBOR, MOAYED, NORTHSIDE LODGE (3rd)

    Selections placed as e/w four fold accumulator

    Game on..

    <br>(Edited by rudeboy at 5:36 pm on Feb. 28, 2004)

    (Edited by rudeboy at 5:37 pm on Feb. 28, 2004)

    in reply to: Speed Ratings? #52165
    rudeboy
    Member
    • Total Posts 10

    Sailing

    I actually do calculate and use speed ratings in my selections. :o

    My method uses my own data (obtained from the net and stored in a database) to determine the finishing time of all runners.. Using this data I determine the relative merit of one horse vs. another at various distances going etc based in time. As I said this is a raw rating as it makes no allowance for going conditions. For accurate speed ratings I supplement my data with those of a speed rating service and TOPSPEED in the racing post.

    One word of advice … my limited experience has taught me that horse racing is an art and not a science. Use speed ratings blindly and you will line the pockets of bookies/punters..:angry:

    You do need to use speed ratings along with other factors such as draw and preference for ground conditions etc and advice from MR E .. I’ve found his insights to be invaluable. :cool:

    If you wish to understand the science of speed ratings I suggest you read “Mordin on Timeâ€ÂÂ

    in reply to: AW 500/1 #51689
    rudeboy
    Member
    • Total Posts 10

    Urban

    Could assist me,  simply question?

    What is the bet way of describing this type of perm on a betting slip?

    I’ve tried many times to explain to the counter girls at my local bookies :angry: and I want to make sure that when (you) I land the big one :o , there is no confusion when they have to cough up the readies. :cool:

    —————-

    “The secret of success is to know something nobody else knowsâ€ÂÂ

    in reply to: Profitable racing system #46297
    rudeboy
    Member
    • Total Posts 10

    Daz

    Dont worry about the mistakes.. :o

    You’ve made me enough money so I can forgive the odd error :cool:

    in reply to: Profitable racing system #46291
    rudeboy
    Member
    • Total Posts 10

    Daz

    Firstly I have been following your system on and off for about 6 months now and I must stay that it is a work of pure genius! Especially given that  as relative novice (started serious punting from Aug03), your system puts my selections methods (based on time honoured form study) to complete shame… :o

    Anyway a question on the selection of the principle meeting.. A look at the prize money on offer for the 9th Jan meetings (source teletext racing site)

    Wolverhampton £30,125 total prize money<br>Ludlow £29258 total prize money..

    However Ludlow was selected as the principle meeting of the day..

    Have I got it wrong and could you confirm your method for selecting the principle meeting

    Cheers

    Mike <br>:cool:

    (Edited by rudeboy at 7:48 am on Jan. 10, 2004)

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