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Thanks to your tip, BigG, I had a look at CT‘s only race and she looked to have a bit of size to her. Also backed Tanaza e/w thanks to yourself and RobRoy’s Ghost. Gratified to see them contract majorly since, and win, lose or draw I’m happy with that position!
I was also intrigued by Vtc’s write-up of Ballyadam Approach – he doesn’t seem to have been tried beyond 2 3/4 miles since he won a point-to-point in 2010. His pedigree is very similar to that of Irish Invader (sire: Bob Back, dam’s line featuring Busted) who ran very well to 2 out in the 2009 grand National. Got to be worth a punt at 50-1 with Boylesports (e/w 1st 5)?
Well done, James!
that was an excellent and pleasingly left-field piece of analysis!
Using that, together with other off-beat hints such as Ben Linfoot’s, I had a very profitable Ascot!
Keep up the good work!
Does anyone else think Arzal has a chance here? Interesting Jockey booking and is a horse that ticks all the right boxes.
I might be totally wrong but at a big price looks interesting.Last year’s renewal was won by Splash Of Ginge, another front-running novice ridden by a 7 pound claimer at 33/1. Worth a punt with his first time tongue-tie, I should think.
I loved the way that Orchestra travelled throughout the Chester Vase and Ryan Moore was obviously impressed afterwards. He must surely improve a lot for the run and will carry the penalty of my each-way money despite ‘orchestra’ being a well-known anagram of ‘carthorse’.
Very interesting and persuasive post, Zarkava.
You’ve convinced me to follow up my EW fancy of Fury (at least Fallon is fairly bullish, even if the trainer isn’t) with a punt on Dubai Prince.
Like a lot of ‘only halfway serious’ punters I tend to dismiss trends as accidents masquerading as meaningful patterns, but your well-researched post highlights too many coincidences to ignore.
Thanks.
(Unless of course it’s a blind alley, in which case thanks for showing me the futility of trends!)Oscar
I’m sorry you deleted your dosage index posts, Gerald, presumably as a result of criticism from a self-confessed ‘average guy’, especially as you were responding to a specific request from another member for such information.
The work you must have put in to those posts must have been considerable, and I for one appreciate it.The attraction to me of this forum is not the opinions of ‘average guys’ – I can get those down the ‘average pub’ – but the slightly off-the-wall viewpoints, which other members are at liberty to skip once their attention spans have been exceeded, and which might point me in a direction to improve my very imperfect betting procedures.
VPU is now 11 years old and I’m pretty sure Alan King hasn’t been pushing him. I think he’s trained him in the hope there’s one good race in him and this is it but he’s flogging a dead horse and his time has passed.
VPU is 9 years old and here’s hoping he puts in a good round tomorrow.
Apologies, Gerald, I must have conflated the 2 threads. However I can’t seem to find your ‘Portfolio’ thread now, using Forum Search. How can I access it again?
BTW what drew me into posting in this thread was the hilariously surreal image of a kitten apparently saying: ‘When I was Willie Mullins…’
As I worked my way through the thread my assessment of Gerald gradually changed from pitiful, deluded self-harmer to a truly heroic figure attempting something genuinely ground-breaking. I don’t have the balls to try it myself but I wish you luck with this year’s enterprise.
I lumped on Irish Invader at 250-1 when the weights came out last year, in the hope that he’d be another Papillon, a good jumper who could compete at 2 miles, but who might stay much further, but he went out like a light at the 2nd last.
He won’t be burdened by my cash this year, but Niche Market and Dream Alliance will suffer that penalty.
They both look like they have a touch of class, the former needing good ground, but the latter coping with soft.
