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I think Reliable Man could be very interesting. Incredibly progressive, solid pedigree, will be a great 3yo contender.
Also it seems that Workforce connections are ducking a lot of clashes (first the Tatts Gold Cup, now the PoW). It could be the wisdom and nurturing genius of Stoute at work, but I feel like you shouldn’t need to nurture a Derby/Arc-winning horse who is now 4yo that much. I am cooling significantly on his KG/Arc chances.
the KG is the 2nd best 12f race in Europe
Don’t agree. Top 2 12f races in Europe are the Arc and the Derby. Unless you mean weight for age.
I am really not sure SYT will even make it to the Arc.
Coolmore already have 2 strong Arc contenders in SNA and Pour Moi. Fabre is a genius with the Arc, so I am sure Pour Moi will be greenlighted for the Arc. Since FAG has been chosen to go the stamina route (Gold Cup), you have to assume that SNA will stick to the mile-and-a-half route, and so also go for the Arc. And so it may be decided to keep SYT to 10f even in the autumn for the Irish Champion & Champion Stakes.
Not only does Coolmore have multiple options, so does the Aga Khan: Sarafina, Bekhabad and now Baraan (what a finish…if they can get him out of the stalls, 12f will be a cinch).
Reliable Man won the Jockey Club on this 3rd start (!!!!) and his pedigree is only going to improve him with time and distance. He has ARD feeling bullish enough to go for the King George.
And then the French fillies, with their weight allowances, are looking delicious, led by Galikova and Golden Lilac.
I certainly don’t think it is wise to start backing SYT from now.
I agree that SYT is a top horse, but the disparity in pricing between him and Planteur doesn’t seem right. Bookmakers often shorten a runner simply because it is an AOB horse, and are often absurdly long on quality French horses.
Personally can’t decide between SYT & Planteur, both seem excellent and spot-on for this race, but if I were betting on the race, only one of these horses has value.
Astounded that Indian Days is priced with Clowance. And 8/1 for Dandino? Both are value for e/w. SNA is WAY WAY too short.
It is quite unusual for the Aga Khan to keep a 4yo mare in training
Not really. There have been plenty, both G1 winners (Darjina, Mandesha, Shalanaya, Daryakana – latter 3 all kept with the idea of going for the Arc) as well as stakes performers (Shemima, Katiyra, Winkle, Shemiyla, Ashalanda). Even this season, there are a couple of other 4yo fillies in training (Zarebiya with Oxx, Shamanova with ARD).
It does seem that Sarafina has one of the best chances of landing the Arc out of all those older fillies, including Mandesha. On the other hand, this year is shaping up to have a very strong Arc field: last year’s 1234 (Workforce, Nakayama Festa, Sarafina, Behkabad) along with Snow Fairy, So You Think, Rewilding, St. Nicholas Abbey and whatever Derby/Oaks/GP de Paris winners emerge in the next few weeks. Just so many strong contenders even without the 3yos.
Behkabad makes his seasonal reappearance in a G2 on the Jockey Club card this Sunday. His odds for the King George could change dramatically after that run.
Zarkava, your findings on massive numbers of high-quality Darley mares with late folaing dates really suggests that operation doesn’t know the value of money. It’s really criminal the way they throw money at buying up quality horses and then let them fritter away without often even getting another run. HOW IN THE WORLD do they manage to injure SO MANY horses. Clearly they take the same lackadaisical approach to covers and breeding decisions.
On your puzzling over "Why Dr Fong?" you have to remember that there is a strong tendency towards sire diversity in that operation. Before Darjina and your namesake, there was only Zenda to recommend anyone sending their mares to Zamindar. Similarly, some of the best offspring of Lomitas, Refuse to Bend, Desert Style, Grand Lodge etc have come from this tendency. Dr Fong had shown promise to this operation by producing Shamdinan (3rd Jockey Club, 1st Secretariat), and the 2 mares you mention are actually his aunt and grand-dam so there was some clear evidence that Dr Fong worked well in that lineage. Plus Sarafina’s half-brother Sandagiyr just won a Listed race and looks to improve to Group level soon. Plus he is Northern Dancer free, and these days, adding that kind of outcross rigour adds a few pounds of appeal to any sire, I’d think.
I know her 2yo form doesn’t compare, but Emiyna’s Athasi win and Oxx connection give me a bit of a Ridgewood Pearl tingle. I do think Wild Wind is the best chance, and….I am wary of Misty for Me, but I would have Emiyna over LLashes.
"It’s shame, really, because nobody learned a great deal."
Hopefully the trainers with multiple entries will have learned enough to keep a pacemaker in.
Vermeer out.
While the 2 Hannon colts are worthy favourites, I am also keeping a beady eye on Worthadd. I think he could pull off a surprise.
Actually his
return
was fairly poor when 3rd to Unaccompanied and Cilium at the Curragh in early April.
And he didn’t really beat much today. Not to say he won’t go on to fulfill some of the promise shown, but to claim this could be the biggest race of the year is a little delusional. Do you know what happened at Newmarket last Saturday?
The French horse Gentoo has real volatility in his form, but if he fires on the day, he could win it.
Wonder of Wonders has an entry but Together doesn’t. Shows you the regard in which she’s held.
Fine, not EVERYTHING with 4 legs.
If Andre Fabre is entering an unraced filly in the Arc (Insoumise) then I reckon she is one to back whenever she makes her debut.
More difficult to discern trainer opinions for the 2 big yards (Ballyd & Godolph), since they have entered everything in their respective yards with 4 legs.
Entries out:
1 byword gb m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** KHALID ABDULLAH A. FABRE 566.701
2 redwood gb m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** KHALID ABDULLAH BW. HILLS 1.589.224
3 workforce gb m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** KHALID ABDULLAH SIR MR. STOUTE 3.220.942
4 behkabad m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** S.A. AGA KHAN JC. ROUGET (S) 985.403
5 AFSARE GB M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 CHEIK MOHAMMED OBAID AL MAKTOUM LM. CUMANI
6 lancelot m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** CHEIK ABDULLAH BIN KHALIFA AL T A.DE MIEULLE 115.345
7 so you think nz m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** D.SMITH/MME J.MAGNIER/M.TABOR AP. O’BRIEN 2.220.074
8 st nicholas abbey ire m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** D.SMITH/MME J.MAGNIER/M.TABOR AP. O’BRIEN 10.080
9 diamond boy m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** MME BERNARD DESTREMAU F. DOUMEN (S) 104.500
10 planteur (ire) m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** ECURIE WILDENSTEIN E. LELLOUCHE 887.357
11 DANDINO GB M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 ELITE RACING CLUB JG. GIVEN
12 scalo gb m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** GESTUT ITTLINGEN A. WOHLER 240.600
13 flamingo fantasy ger m.ps. 6 ans P2 59,5 *** GESTUT PARK WIEDINGEN S. SMRCZEK 2.500
14 calvados blues m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 508.818
15 campanologist usa m.ps. 6 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 347.336
16 cavalryman gb m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 205.412
17 cutlass bay uae m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 293.020
18 debussy ire m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 559.725
19 mastery gb m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 945.754
20 MONTEROSSO GB M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI
21 passion for gold usa m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR
22 prince bishop ire m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 149.336
23 rewilding gb m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 2.565.160
24 simon de montfort ire m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 121.384
25 silver pond m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** HARAS DU QUESNAY C. LAFFON-PARIAS 124.200
26 cape blanco ire m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** HAY/SMITH/MAGNIER/TABOR AP. O’BRIEN 1.889.022
27 fame and glory gb m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** HAY/SMITH/MAGNIER/TABOR AP. O’BRIEN 510.726
28 eishin flash jpn m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** TOYOMITSU HIRAI H. FUJIWARA 2.722.874
29 HIRUNO D’AMOUR JPN M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 MASAFUMI HIRUKAWA M. KON
30 nakayama festa jpn m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** SHINICHI IZUMI Y. NINOMIYA 2.137.578
31 tip toe m.ps. 4 ans P1 59,5 *** WILLIAM JEFFCOCK F. DOUMEN (S) 35.000
32 OUT OF EDEN (GB) M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 KSK NURBEK A. SHAVUYEV 539
33 TALGADO GB M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 *** LIDER RACING STABLE F. NEUBERG 46.811
34 jan vermeer ire m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** M.TABOR/D.SMITH/MME J.MAGNIER AP. O’BRIEN 311.502
35 BEAT BLACK JPN M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 KOJI MAEDA H. NAKAMURA
36 EARNESTLY JPN M.PS. 6 ans 59,5 *** KOJI MAEDA S. SASAKI
37 await the dawn usa m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** MICHAEL TABOR/MME JOHN MAGNIE AP. O’BRIEN 50.385
38 viscount nelson usa m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** MME J. MAGNIER/MME D. NAGLE AP. O’BRIEN 147.597
39 zack hall m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** MATHIEU OFFENSTADT M. DELZANGLES 87.700
40 celtic celeb ire m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** HENRI DE PRACOMTAL F. DOUMEN (S) 209.100
41 ARCTIC COSMOS USA M.PS. 4 ans 59,5 RACHEL HOOD/ROBIN GEFFEN J. GOSDEN
42 royal bench ire m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** R.C. STRAUSS R. COLLET (S) 637.933
43 wiener walzer ger m.ps. 5 ans P2 59,5 *** BARON GEORG VON ULLMANN A. FABRE 81.205
44 zazou ger m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** WH SPORT INTERNATIONAL MAR. HOFER 222.770
45 no risk at all m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** SUC. DANIEL WILDENSTEIN JP. GALLORINI (S) 43.500
46 victoire pisa jpn m.ps. 4 ans P2 59,5 *** Y. ICHIKAWA/T. YOSHIDA K. SUMII 8.655.254
47 liang kay ger m.ps. 6 ans P2 59,5 *** MME INA E. ZIMMERMANN A.DE ROYER DUPRE 37.000
48 announce gb f.ps. 4 ans P2 58 *** KHALID ABDULLAH A. FABRE 119.500
49 midday gb f.ps. 5 ans P2 58 *** KHALID ABDULLAH HRA. CECIL 809.837
50 sarafina f.ps. 4 ans P2 58 *** S.A. AGA KHAN A.DE ROYER DUPRE 1.177.755
51 snow fairy ire f.ps. 4 ans P2 58 *** ANAMOINE LTD EAL. DUNLOP 2.337.274
52 lily of the valley f.ps. 4 ans P2 58 *** BERNARD BARSI JC. ROUGET (S) 295.920
53 antara ger f.ps. 5 ans P2 58 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 190.445
54 sajjhaa gb f.ps. 4 ans P2 58 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 72.130
55 night magic ger f.ps. 5 ans P2 58 *** STALL SALZBURG W. FIGGE 272.770
56 myplacelater gb f.ps. 4 ans P1 58 *** A.J. THOMPSON DRC. ELSWORTH 46.190
57 SEA MOON GB M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** KHALID ABDULLAH SIR MR. STOUTE 4.787
58 SLUMBER GB M.PS. 3 ans 56 KHALID ABDULLAH BW. HILLS
59 WORLD DOMINATION USA M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** KHALID ABDULLAH HRA. CECIL 6.019
60 baraan m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** H.H. AGA KHAN JC. ROUGET (S) 53.400
61 DILDAR (IRE) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** H.H. AGA KHAN A.DE ROYER DUPRE 17.100
62 vadamar m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** H.H. AGA KHAN A.DE ROYER DUPRE 44.500
63 CHIEF OF STAFF GB M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** CHEIK MOHAMMED AL MAKTOUM A. FABRE 27.400
64 MANHAJ GB M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** HAMDAN AL MAKTOUM J. HAMMOND (S) 26.500
65 MANJAKANI GB M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** CHEIK MOHAMMED AL MAKTOUM A. FABRE 3.600
66 YASEER IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 HAMDAN AL MAKTOUM MP. TREGONING
67 PLUSHENKO IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 ALLEVAMENTO LA NUOVA SBARRA L. RICCARDI 17.102
68 CARLTON HOUSE USA M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** S.M.R. D’ ANGLETERRE SIR MR. STOUTE 6.258
69 native khan m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** V.I. ARACI EAL. DUNLOP 126.671
70 BEAULIEU (IRE) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** GERARD AUGUSTIN-NORMAND E. LIBAUD (S) 31.100
71 SAINT DESIR (GB) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** GERARD AUGUSTIN-NORMAND E. LELLOUCHE 29.000
72 MOHAWK CHANT (GB) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** MUTEB BIN ABDULLAH A. FABRE 2.400
73 APACHE IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** D.SMITH/MME J.MAGNIER/M.TABOR AP. O’BRIEN 5.015
74 treasure beach gb m.ps. 3 ans P1 56 *** D.SMITH/MME J.MAGNIER/M.TABOR AP. O’BRIEN 86.829
75 prairie star m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** ECURIE WILDENSTEIN E. LELLOUCHE 120.375
76 SANO DI PIETRO (GB) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** ECURIE WILDENSTEIN A.DE ROYER DUPRE 3.400
77 casamento ire m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 270.843
78 dubai prince ire m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 39.940
79 french navy gb m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 76.150
80 genius beast usa m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 38.518
81 LAAJOOJ IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI
82 OCEAN WAR GB M.PS. 3 ans 56 GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI
83 saamidd gb m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 86.168
84 NAKAYAMA KNIGHT JPN M.PS. 3 ans 56 SHINICHI IZUMI Y. NINOMIYA
85 MR CHANCE M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** GERARD LABOUREAU D. SMAGA 12.000
86 regent street (ire) m.ps. 3 ans P1 56 *** M.TABOR/D.SMITH/MME J.MAGNIER AP. O’BRIEN 18.815
87 seville ger m.ps. 3 ans P1 56 *** M.TABOR/D.SMITH/MME J.MAGNIER AP. O’BRIEN 73.859
88 master of hounds usa m.ps. 3 ans P1 56 *** MME SUSAN MAGNIER AP. O’BRIEN 345.036
89 pour moi ire m.ps. 3 ans P1 56 *** MME S. MAGNIER/D. SMITH/M. TA A. FABRE 29.000
90 QUEST FOR PEACE IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** MME SUSAN MAGNIER AP. O’BRIEN 13.250
91 recital m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** MAGNIER/TABOR/SMITH/MORDUKHOV AP. O’BRIEN 154.012
92 roderic o’connor ire m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 *** MAGNIER/TABOR/SMITH/SANGSTER AP. O’BRIEN 234.567
93 touz price m.ps. 3 ans P1 56 *** JURE MARDESIC JM. LEFEBVRE (S) 42.650
94 GIANT STEP IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** MME JOHN MAGNIER/MICHAEL TABO D. WACHMAN 6.900
95 MARKSMANSHIP IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** MME MAGNIER/M.TABOR/D.SMITH AP. O’BRIEN 11.050
96 MEMPHIS TENNESSEE IRE M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** MME MAGNIER/M.TABOR/D.SMITH AP. O’BRIEN 6.480
97 maxios (gb) m.ps. 3 ans P2 56 485 FAMILLE NIARCHOS JE. PEASE 56.000
98 PLANET ELDER (GB) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** FAMILLE NIARCHOS P. BARY (S) 12.000
99 lustre m.ps. 3 ans P1 56 *** AYMARD DE NICOLAY Y.DE NICOLAY 42.050
100 RELIABLE MAN (GB) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** PRIDE RACING CLUB A.DE ROYER DUPRE 12.000
101 ABSOLUTLY YES M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** PAUL SEBAG YM. PORZIER (S) 24.400
102 GENZY M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** MICHAEL WATT JE. PEASE 26.350
103 INOUBLIABLE (GB) M.PS. 3 ans 56 *** WERTHEIMER & FRERE A. FABRE 29.000
104 starformer usa f.ps. 3 ans P1 54,5 *** KHALID ABDULLAH MME C. HEAD-MAAREK 28.900
105 SHARETA (IRE) F.PS. 3 ans 54,5 *** S.A. AGA KHAN A.DE ROYER DUPRE 11.600
106 TESTOSTERONE (IRE) F.PS. 3 ans 54,5 *** ECURIE LA BOETIE P. BARY (S) 18.100
107 ANDROMEDA GALAXY F.PS. 3 ans 54,5 *** ECURIE WILDENSTEIN E. LELLOUCHE 12.000
108 golden lilac ire f.ps. 3 ans P2 54,5 *** GESTUT AMMERLAND A. FABRE 69.000
109 blue bunting usa f.ps. 3 ans P2 54,5 *** GODOLPHIN M. AL ZAROONI 269.450
110 khawlah ire f.ps. 3 ans P2 54,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 1.021.979
111 white moonstone usa f.ps. 3 ans P2 54,5 *** GODOLPHIN S. BIN SUROOR 222.620
112 DALARUA (IRE) F.PS. 3 ans 54,5 *** HARAS DE LA PERELLE S. WATTEL 21.800
113 misty for me ire f.ps. 3 ans P2 54,5 *** M.TABOR/MME J.MAGNIER/D.SMITH AP. O’BRIEN 339.795
114 WONDER OF WONDERS USA F.PS. 3 ans 54,5 *** M.TABOR/MME J.MAGNIER/D.SMITH AP. O’BRIEN 31.040
115 GALIKOVA F.PS. 3 ans 54,5 *** WERTHEIMER & FRERE F. HEAD (S) 37.580
116 INSOUMISE (IRE) F.PS. 3 ans 54,5 WERTHEIMER & FRERE A. FABRE
117 pirika (ire) f.ps. 3 ans P1 54,5 465 TERUYA YOSHIDA A. FABRE 28.000Older horses easy to predict who was entered, but interesting to look at the 3yos.
However, I can’t seem to be able to find any horse entered in the Prix D’Isphahan. Last years one two, Goldikova and Byword not entered? Unless…. do you know if the entries are out yet?
Entries for the Ispahan not out yet, supposed to happen on same day that Arc entries released: Wed 4th May.
To look up races, just go to main website then "Horseracing Professionals" then "Races" and "Races by date and by racecourse". Then choose the date in the top left and click search, and all meetings for that date show up. Click the track (e.g. Longchamp) and the races show up, click the race and see if there are horses entered yet.