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”I do fear Facile Vega but as a clock fan, I can’t ignore the time that Il Etait Temps posted at the DRF.
There’s also some direct-ish comparisons to Gaelic Warrior and to State Man as they both raced on the same day over the same distance with the same weight.
State Man and Il Etait Temps both put their races to bed without too much whip (maybe 3 strikes) which makes Il Etait Temps performance a bit better as the time and distance over his competition was better.
Stateman is now rated 167.
Il Etait Temps posted a time 3 seconds faster than State Man and 5 seconds faster than Gaelic Warrior.
Suppose the fly in the ointment with my times argument is that Facile Vega did beat Il Etait Temps in the race before this latest one. However, that race was on soft ground and the time on the day was virtually the same as Winter Fog’s win (carrying 11lb less). We also know from last year’s bumper that Facile Vega acts well on softer ground. In that race Facile Vega was able to dictate up front without any pressure. Something he won’t get in this race (although we are told a change in tactics is in the offing)
Il Etait Temps has perhaps taken a leap forwards that Vega hasn’t, especially on better ground and is definitely the value pick if it drys up. Danny isn’t shy in beating Townend if he’s got a good horse.
Perhaps Il Etait Temps needs a strong gallop to run in behind, he’ll 100% get that in the supreme.
Also seems a bit of a stretch to be able to turn that last performance around for Facile Vega. Positive vibes are coming from the camp though.”
Cracking post, thanks for the info..
Ferns Lock entered at Gowran Park tomorrow….
Quoting myself..Would think the PTP novice chase at Stratford in May would be on the radar for this one.
I cant be with Chezza’s enthusiasm for Famous Clermont, struggled with jumping last April at Cheltenham. Was pulled up behind Go Go Geronimo that time.
I know they are both doing well in PTP’s, one up North and the other down south.
Definitely looking forward to this more than many other races during the week..Then see whats left standing for Hunter Chase May 4th night at Cheltenham.
Im hopeful that hes young enough to improve a bit, but as above the price is too short to take that chance.
On the day, I suspect it will be bigger.Nothing but sleepless nights await, Landafar.
Famous Clermont is entered at Buckfastleigh this coming Sunday – if he runs, I doubt if he’ll come off the bit, but I also doubt if he’ll be much better than 1/3.
Well I see my dark fancy has been added to the Anti Post lists at 16/1..
Very disappointed, I was looking for 40’s or more.Go Go Geronimo..
Thought he ran very well at last years Hunter Chase night.I’ve had a fiver on Gaelic Warrior winning next year’s champion Hurdle if it makes you feel less silly..
Thats brave..but good luck..
I do feel less silly though, thanks
Its certainly no forgone conclusion that Constitution will win.
Im sure every one is looking for value angles on every horse in the race.
Best to all..Landafar, how is Elegant Escape?
Every escape is elegant when Im on the flight home..
First street must have a sniff, close to State Man in the County..
I was stupid last year, on the train to Cheltenham on the Tuesday morning, I put a silly £6 on Constitution Hill at 9/1 for the 2023 CH…Obviously before the supreme ..
Are there any other silly sods on here..
Im still waiting for my fancy to be added to the anti post lists..
Entries are published end of the month I believe?When Ive put me 10 bob e/w Ill post back on here.
Chezza will be pulling his hair out, thinking..which one..
No mention of Hewick on here, obviously not tied into any lines of form.
Great story for the press though…USA National Winner wins Gold Cup.
For me having BMG anti post, now is the time to wait to for the day, prices will change, some will drift, no value anymore to have a bet.
Its Cheltenham, its fun, there’s fences and there’s shocks..
Not matter how obtuse, theres always angles..
Tricasts, Placepots, Forecast’s and many more markets to play in..
Yea its Cheltenham..and Its Xmas..
