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Turners: Koktail Divin 40/1 EW PaddyPower NRNB
Brown Advisory : Croke Park 10/1 Paddy or Sky NRNB
Wild ‘swing’ above
Supreme: Workahead 14/1 B365
Ryanair: Protektorat 10/1 PaddyPower
Stayers: Langer Dan EW 20/1 B365 NRNB
Champion Hurdle. Golden Ace EW (100/1 Bet365)
For clarity my nomination yesterday of Monty’s Star was for Gold Cup…obvious but don’t want to be DQ’d!
I regard ‘early prices’ as an occasional opportunity rather than a serious guideline. They’re usually far shorter than I’d like but at times they offer an opportunity.
Click on horse’s name, then select ‘all history’. That should show all moves from opening quote with dates etc.
Not sure what he was prior to Troytown but as soon as he hit the line I grabbed all the 21 on Exchange. Laid off a week or so later to cover the stake at 17 as I wasn’t sure they’d run here – they were talking about a few hurdle races and on to Aintree so he drifted out on Exchange for a while but i had a hunch they’d try Chepstow again. Happy enough to look at a small profit for zero stake, this one is not exactly a ‘gimme’ .
I had a speculative wager on Pondus for last year’s race but he didn’t make the field. So I backed him for this year’s Cup a few months ago at around 135/1. I also have him as the second leg of an each way double with Ebor winner Sonnyboyliston with the win odds for the double around 870/1. Over the past few months he’s been withdrawn from a warm up race on vet’s advice, ran well a few weeks ago, and has slowly but surely climbed up the Order of Entry, now sitting at 25. He’s entered at Moonee Valley on Saturday so I’m hoping and praying he comes through that ok and that he makes the start at Melbourne this time. Right now I’d be happy to take the Place return from the EW double as the favourite looks very good, but you never know in this game, so I’m staying optimistic.
Takarengo for me. EW for seven or eight places, plus win at bigger on Exchange. Worried about his draw but hoping he can run as well as he did last year.
2005 – an ante post double paying 146/1 on Hardy Eustace at 6 in the Champion Hurdle and Footstepsinthesand at 20 in the 2000G. Thought I was done when Harchibald cruised up but somehow still felt Hardy would do it. Backed both singly as well, so pretty happy with the outcome.
A few years later I’d been following an ex Irish fast horse called Hardstone after a promising run in a Royal Ascot handicap. Took a few losses on him after that but I got on him at 120 on the Exchange for a race at Ayr which he won in the final stride, heart pounding stuff.
John
Jeff….’I’m disappointed that Al Rufaa doesn’t run, but the market vibes were not good in the lead up this week, so it’s not a massive surprise’.
Ditto….and ditto. Soon as I saw he was entered in a 7f race at Ascot (2 October) my warning bell sounded, and the entry (not taken up) for Saturday at Haydock was the final nail. He’s in the Balmoral but my hunch is they’d prefer 7f and good ground or better.
Jeff….re Al Rufaa….what did you make of last Friday’s run at Sandown with regard to the Cambs? I’m in two minds – they’re either going to keep him to 7f races or they’re sharpening him up for a shot at Newmarket. I’m leaning towards the former while feeling he’d do better over a longer distance. But as I often ask myself ‘what do I know?’
