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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Hatter

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Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 129 total)
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  • in reply to: Did I miss it? #361047
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    If there was Billion thats 2 of us :(
    Not been able to get in (without a huge delay) for a few days so gave up – will catch up hopefully next few days

    in reply to: VDW Staking for Billion (Part 2) #360867
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Not sure where this going VDW wise
    Seems a bit of a challenge match

    in reply to: VDW + Staking for Billion #359943
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Oh & another thing as per Mr Colombo

    Why stop at 13 – unlucky for some ?

    in reply to: VDW + Staking for Billion #359942
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Thanks to both George & Formath
    & me thicko mate Billion for following it (his words btw)

    Cheers to Formath for running the system
    & Georges patient explanations in the face of blanks staring back.
    I do believe it is actually sinking in slowly & hope that i will have enough funds left to try it out one day :D

    We wait for that winner to double confirm the ‘process’

    All the best

    Then we can move on to mixing with the staircase at Bills request
    Once i have unravelled Mr E’s latest grenade about removing some of the steps

    in reply to: Kind of "Majestic" #359939
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    As i thought – mine got turned over yesterday – proves i got some idea though :)

    Todays from my end is Sandown 5.05 Grumeti 11/4
    I wouldn’t be confident about it & personally only consider if it went above 5/1. One of my new ‘angles’

    Betting for "fun" ?
    A wise old stager once told me "Theres nothing funny about losing money" & i am learning the concept at last :D

    in reply to: Kind of "Majestic" #359747
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Another one Billion :D

    What concerns me about all the "old systems" is why they are still not running

    Anyway for your majestic delectation i will source an offering based on your criteria minus the in-profit info. (Who knows – as they never say)
    I would actually be against it but for the purposes of the game

    2.40 Yarmouth Whitby Jet 9/4

    Btw Nahrain is Pro-bet today

    Best of luck

    in reply to: Tipster suggestions #359629
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    No probs Matron – delete if inappropriate
    It may be that it will lead onto a pay per tip system – just something i fell across a few weeks ago & keeping an eye on.
    I never turn down a profit :D

    I don’t like Summer jumpimg or Irish racing – just seem to throw up too many unexpected results – then again so does today
    100/1 wow
    Trainer had 4 in race – why ?
    & none of them had reached the podium in last 6 runs – call the stewards :D

    As i hinted at earlier Billion – i don’t rate any of the tipsters :wink: + agree with Mr E

    The Chuckypud experiment took me back over 20 years or more – jeez that long i been looking for the magic system :(
    Never did find the Holy Grail then & does not look like Chucky did either

    My take on them is that if they were any good then they would be making a living from it & not writing for papers

    I tried all sorts of combos thru the RP / Sporting Life to no avail.
    If 8 out of the 13 picked the same one then surely it must win. Nope !!

    But then again i didn’t try it with the staircase
    But don’t think that would give you the prices you need

    in reply to: Tipster suggestions #359563
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Hi Billion

    Struggling a bit meself & need to get me betting boots back on & sorted.
    Don’t really know what is allowed to be put on here
    Don’t really like to rate others either btw

    This fella seems to have a sense of humour & relatively good success rate – that will stop now i suggest :D
    http://www.ratingreport.blogspot.com

    All the best

    in reply to: system trial #359560
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Good luck with your system Liketowin

    That Cadmium pulled you round a bit

    :)

    in reply to: VDW + Staking for Billion #359559
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Hi all

    Had a few days away due to new Mrs Hat prefers me to spend time with her on her kids hols.
    Back to the fray of staking – think i followed whats been said.
    What i have seen so far is purely VDW recently – correct me if i am wrong pls.

    So i m going to guess at Formaths plan for today
    We have an aim of £55 based on the £1 stake start.
    We will be betting £10 & our bank is now reduced to £145

    I don’t think we are playing on the staircase just yet & wonder how it would have fitted in as per my old posts.
    We’d be looking at a heavier debit in my opinion to try to recover & only 3 steps left to do it

    Just to confuse the issue what will happen when we have a winner – (or if) :D
    According to George (i think) VDW then had a cunning (complicated) plan to add a new formula – (eek) to reduce stakes as our aim & stakes are moving farther away gradually.
    We started off trying to get a 6/4 shot & are now up to 9/2 to profit.
    Or are we just staving off the days as was said when it can’t work unless we have a high strike rate.

    As to your comment about Timeform selections Billion
    I had my fingers burnt many times in my younger days following their tips so reluctant to chance them again

    Anyways – food for thought :wink:

    in reply to: VDW + Staking for Billion #357506
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Ok
    I got a bit bored sooner than i thought :lol:
    No sooner do i come up with some replies, i see we have 2 new theories to test out :o
    Will come back to them when given time to run a bit

    Going back to the VDW i think i can see where Billion & myself are getting confused
    & possibly many others over the years :cry:

    Thank you to those who have posted & am not sure if its chinese whispers as i said before or we need someone on our shoulder to ask rather than try to guess at what we think the author is saying.

    This is my main point from reading through the posts – interpretation of how things are presented.

    In Georges case – top man for trying to explain it.
    I think you were only trying to show VDW & not how to incorporate the staircase into it.
    You say the point is to win a point per bet (which i think everyone gets) but then its gets lost straightaway when you say that in theory have lost 10 points after 4 losing bets.
    Stakes do not in my opinion equate to points as it is dependant on the price on which is available. Unless they were all even money shots. Your stakes might be .5pt, .25pt etc depending on the price.
    So we can’t go forward on that angle until resolved.

    Its the same when i run it against Formaths Casino plan post. Thanks for trying to explain btw
    Dependant again on price i think.
    & when i look at the Mccoy example

    The strategy of selection, odds & staking i beleieve are intertwined & was glad to see you using an example of 5/1 or higher as i think this allows a certain amount of leeway.
    The selections though do have to have a reasonable strike rate.

    Thats my brain busted now :D

    in reply to: Billion’s Crutch….. #357156
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Mixed bag with my set :lol:
    Got Logans price after slow start
    Sibby poor
    Apprentice jocks handy – but only if they remember where the finishing line is. So no place for the cuz :(

    in reply to: Old Friends #357155
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    WD on cracking the staircase Billion

    Maybe take a cple of your examples on today :)

    in reply to: VDW + Staking for Billion #357154
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Ok
    Some serious replies to wade thru
    Will print off & if totally bored over weekend will try to get me heed round the mullarky :D

    Cheers all

    in reply to: VDW + Staking for Billion #357004
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Sort of what i heard before as George says.
    At those strike rates i wouldn’t be worried about using any staking system :D

    Ok
    Let me have a go at seeing if i got the Billion thingy.
    We are aiming for a target per race or point maybe – example £10
    We use a staircase 4×1, then 4×2, then 4×3 if all else fails

    Assumption is start with a few losers to get ball unrolling
    Use 5/1 & 2/1 as test prices alternatively
    Bet 1 – £2 at 5/1 – lost
    Bet 2 – now we need to win a tenner plus lost £2 (Bet 1 stake)
    So £6 at 2/1 to win the £12 – lost
    Bet 3 – need to win £10 plus £8 (2 losing stakes)
    So £3.50 at 5/1 – lost
    Or
    Are we looking to win an additional £10 every race ? It has to be or we don’t have a staircase :wink: Thinking out loud here :shock:
    Bet 4 – need a £10 plus 3 losing stakes (£11.50)
    So £11 at 2/1 – lost

    So start again
    Bet 1 – to win £10 – £2 at 5/1 – lost
    Bet 2 – to win £22 – £11 at 2/1 – lost
    Bet 3 – to win £43 – £9 at 5/1 – lost
    Bet 4 – to win £62 – £31 at 2/1 – lost

    Bet 5 – 2nd rung on staircase – how to use it ?
    To win £103 + a second tenner = £113
    Or use £20 to back the next 4 selections until in profit

    So unless i know where we are trying to go will leave it hanging there :roll:

    in reply to: Billion’s Crutch….. #356996
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Hi E

    Had nearly half the field between us & never got a place :(
    Sorry to hear you stopping
    Been a good bit of banter

    Chuck a cple at you before you go as not often put mine up
    Sibenek to place & Logans run if price goes above 5’s
    Cousin Maggs in tother

    in reply to: Old Friends #356804
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Fazza for me too
    Looking for a good price

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 129 total)