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I would love him to go for the Arkle so as to hold up the price on CCB. LR has no chance in that race based on today’s performance. Needs to go for the 3 miler to stand a chance of winning at the Festival.
If Master Minded gets beaten on Saturday then Kalahari King will be the new fav.
When he gets beaten
Like you said…….
I guess I had that coming
People often think that Newbury is an easy flat track that suits speed horses. Completely wrong. The long straights give stayers – who may struggle over that particular trip elsewhere – the chance to find their stride.
I have followed Harry Tricker’s progress for a while. Only because I saw him (get beat) in a novice hurdle at Fontwell a few years back, & I tend to look out for the few NH horses I’ve actually seen in the flesh.
My problem with him; is that for the year or so prior to the Greatwood, he had seemed exposed as a OR120-125 handicapper. He’s won a couple of OK races off OR121 & OR122, but has been beaten several times off marks in the 120’s. He’s now off OR138. The Cheltenham race he was 2nd in was a different level, but that’s the only piece of form in his career that gives him a chance here. He may have just improved vastly, if so, great for them. I was thinking he was a OR130 horse at best.
Cheekpieces
VPU hasn’t the speed for 2m nowadays
, and has 19l to find with Masterminded anyway. I can’t believe for one second that PN would send the favourite out that unfit.
Good job it’s 2m1f on a galloping track then with cut in the ground and a strong pace will be set by FTR making it a near enough 2m3f+ test
19l to find? You’re referring to form from 2 years ago. MM has regressed a stone since then and won’t be fit tomorrow.
Obviously MM can win but the prices suggest he’s about 5 times more likely to win than VPU. This simply isn’t true.
I think Voy Por Ustedes at 3/1 looks one of the bets of the season, personally.
Agreed. Should be favourite.
Astonishing that people are backing LR for the Arkle. A 3 miler whose trainer says will go for the 3 miler at Cheltenham, and who has so little to beat over 2m this weekend that it would prove nothing, and so even if he was redirected to the Arkle we would have little idea as to whether he was really a ‘proper’ 2 miler. Even
if
he hacks up at the weekend and even
if
he did go for the Arkle I still think 8/1 would be about right. Anyone who has taken less than 16/1 for the Arkle needs their head looking at imo.
Like I said . . . .
Legend!
I better watch my back!You’d have to be in front of me to worry about your back
Astonishing that people are backing LR for the Arkle. A 3 miler whose trainer says will go for the 3 miler at Cheltenham, and who has so little to beat over 2m this weekend that it would prove nothing, and so even if he was redirected to the Arkle we would have little idea as to whether he was really a ‘proper’ 2 miler. Even
if
he hacks up at the weekend and even
if
he did go for the Arkle I still think 8/1 would be about right. Anyone who has taken less than 16/1 for the Arkle needs their head looking at imo.
Like I said . . . .
If Master Minded gets beaten on Saturday then Kalahari King will be the new fav.
When he gets beaten
Astonishing that people are backing LR for the Arkle. A 3 miler whose trainer says will go for the 3 miler at Cheltenham, and who has so little to beat over 2m this weekend that it would prove nothing, and so even if he was redirected to the Arkle we would have little idea as to whether he was really a ‘proper’ 2 miler. Even
if
he hacks up at the weekend and even
if
he did go for the Arkle I still think 8/1 would be about right. Anyone who has taken less than 16/1 for the Arkle needs their head looking at imo.
There’s little chance of Joncol going for the Ryanair and even if he did there’s very little chance of him winning.
I have PoS @ 16s and 14s and still think he is the value at 10s
Both are inexperienced and both are pretty short prices really imo. GMOOH looks badly handicapped too.
Get Me Out Of Here is unbeaten, progressive and will handle conditions, but Jonjo O’Neill’s form has to be a concern. If Born Again’s victory at the weekend was a sign that the yard is finding it’s feet then he’s definitely a contender – 12/1 is a fair price at this point in time.
With Mamlook perhaps saving his best for Ascot, Manyriverstocross being better over further, Ronaldo Des Mottes preferring better ground and Blue Bajan remaining a touch high in the weights, I’m left with
Spirit River
.
On his run behind Get Me Out Of Here in November it could be argued that two miles around Newbury isn’t to his liking, but he was in front early enough at Cheltenham to make me think that speed isn’t an issue. He goes in the ground, travels strongly, can apparently quicken and has the potential to be a good deal better than his current mark.
Spirit River
2 point win @ 6/1
Get Me Out Of Here
1 point each-way @ 12/1
CCB is the one.
People will have only just stopped drooling over Dunguib’s Supreme win and then just as the Dunguib droolers think they can stop drooling, they’ll have to drool again over CCB’s Arkle win.
It’s going to be special.
It’s going to end three out.
Yes the race will be over 3 out when he starts to streak clear for a 12 length success
