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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

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Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 3,447 total)
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  • in reply to: Musidora 2024 #1694345
    ham
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    Fav into 1.6-1.7, has to be a lay for me at that price, id be backing at 6/5 but shes way too short now having only ran 10 days ago, mayfair would be my idea of an e/w angle, but ill stick with the lay

    in reply to: French 2000 Guineas 2024 #1694116
    ham
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    Ah mike come on now, he was given a howler, not entirely ryans fault, but he was trapped and bumped at every stage, proper line through that moment

    Wouldnt be forgiving COT in the british version as easily

    But i do feel henry had a howler there

    Probably worth keeping note of which of aidens 3yo’s are winning first time out, everythings looked like needing a run, there doing well to be winning a FTO

    in reply to: French 1000 Guineas 2024 #1694115
    ham
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    Well done stilvi, couldnt have her myself atall,

    Glad i was laying the fav as my two never really looked like winning at any stage, albeit i think buick gave her a very good ride

    Funny start for the 3 year olds, alot of 2 year old formlines going wayward

    in reply to: French 1000 Guineas 2024 #1694075
    ham
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    For anyone struggling to find out what the ground is between the RP saying soft and some sites saying very soft

    Its proper FIRM currently, good to firm in places

    in reply to: French 1000 Guineas 2024 #1694000
    ham
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    Im with you mike (only 7/2 though) 4th gave it a noce boost also today, id have her 2/1- 15/8 personally

    French racing notoriously tricky, id be lying if i said i wasnt worried about the rouget horse, i am, but on form and price she has to be a straight lay and if she does it she does it

    Ill save on folgaria as i feel shes overpriced currently

    in reply to: Dee Stakes 2024 #1693609
    ham
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    Well it wasnt spot on ginge lol he didnt have by far and away the best 2yo form, correct regarding jrb though, good shout AP well done,as expected on jrb though, i can thank hugh taylor for getting to lay him at such a ahort price (i was laying last night when he was still 11/4 which is annoying) but just kept going

    GW, completely blew the entire race, i still firmly believe hes the best of these, slowly away, lost the rail, uncomfortable wide, just one theyd like to run again

    The hughes horse ran a fair bit above what i thought, was considering a place lay glad i got out of that

    Thankfully had the saver on capulet as i said earlier but bittersweet, lucky winner

    Harsh rule 4 on the rag aswell, so capulet never returned the entire stake

    in reply to: Dee Stakes 2024 #1693584
    ham
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    Ap, i wouldnt say capulet has by far the best group race placing, not sure theres much in it through diego velasquez

    Gods window has drifted out to such a nice price that hes a rock solid e/w bet now imo, which i didnt forsee happening, fairly well backed him 3.5s upto 4.5s in singles but out to 5.0- 5.5 on the e/w market for a few quid, id be surprised if hes not atleast good enough to finish second

    Hugh taylors tipped the fav which is a big help to any GW backers also, getting a far bigger price than his actual chance

    Turning into a big bet now

    in reply to: Dee Stakes 2024 #1693573
    ham
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    Lol jac, id say jayarbee will only shorten given who owns him, or who technically owns him (not whos listed) theyll be plenty of money about for him all day

    in reply to: Dee Stakes 2024 #1693553
    ham
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    Gods window for me @9/4, laying the same horse for the same reason as ginge + i dont like the formline

    No secret about how undercooked aidens are first out for the season, capulet could really improve here, i may save on him, i think he shoulc be slighlty shorter than 9/2

    in reply to: 1000 Guineas 2024 #1693067
    ham
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    Jesus, any other jockey than spencer on board and tamfana wins that

    Wd winners

    in reply to: 1000 Guineas 2024 #1693056
    ham
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    Star music to finish in the top 4 @15-16s
    Small play on at 200s

    Darnation e/w @39/40s

    Main bet on fallen angel, out to 6s e/w + is a joke, borderline stupidity whoevers laying that

    in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2024 #1692823
    ham
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    Out to 28s ff, insanity, couldnt have had him myself as i said above, but he was obviously extremely well thought of at home, not usually a yard where one goes a walk in the market and does thay

    in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2024 #1692815
    ham
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    Got one right and one completely wrong lol

    That was impressive

    As said above not surprised cot was beaten

    in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2024 #1692804
    ham
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    Alyanaabi w/o COT & rosallion is 4/1, which will do me fine

    Im laying the fav at the current price, not a massive lay, but i do feel theres enough in here to take him on and an OR of 125 at 2 probably flatters him as of now, wouldnt be the least bit surprised if he finished 3rd behind rose & ghost/alya

    Do not like the godolphin horse, laying him to 3 places, no clue were the 109 ratings came from

    in reply to: Punchestown 2024 #1692448
    ham
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    Had a decent first two days, im wary of it being 3, slightly stitious not quite superstitious,

    But you have to be laying teahupoo, at odds on, HBTL or monkfish should win

    Have to be laying coko in the xc at 2.2-2.5, far too short, plenty in there

    Id be with blood destiny in the handicap chase

    Timeless piece @50/1 e/w in the opener

    Anna bunina at 18s later in the card

    And probably the best of the paddy mullins bumper chances of the week in port joulain, who, i wont be laying, could be backing, if the price holds, wouldnt be surprised if he went odds on,

    Also, no ones actually surprised GDC got beaten? The gold cup trip and track hes unbeatable on at his best, absolutely unbeatable, arguably ever (not aftertiming this ive said it multiple times the last few months in here) FOS will beat him everytime round a right handed good ground tight track, will get obliterated in the gold cup though

    Side note, F2F, short priced behind GDC for next years GC, really? Based off what, ive started laying that and ill continue to do that until they meet, F2F wont be winning a gold cup anytime soon, give your heads a wobble. Sheesh.

    Good luck ladies and gents

    in reply to: Grand National 2024 #1690217
    ham
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    Shrewed indeed peter, as panda boy will win if he gets round, congrats btw

    Delta work an e/w price, havent heard elliott speak like this in a while, last time would be tigers 2nd xc at chelt

    in reply to: Liverpool Hurdle 2024 #1690214
    ham
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    Monkfish should have been in the stayers which he would have won, he’ll win this though, hewick should be fav imo hes worth an ew

Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 3,447 total)