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16 May Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>2.40 Worcester Fifth Generation PU/16 @ 11/1<br>2.40 Worcester Caesarean Hunter 6/16 @ 10/1<br>2.50 Fakenham Ulusaba PU/9 @ 6/1<br>3.10 Worcester El Bandito 1/10 @ 7/2 – 7.00 on Betfair!<br>3.30 Ripon Enchanted 1/15 @ 8/1 – 15.00 on Betfair!<br>3.30 Ripon Dispol Katie 6/15 @ 6/1<br>3.40 Worcester It´s Definite 3/13 @ 5/2<br>3.55 Fakenham Dardanus 7/8 @ 16/1
May<br>18 winners from 122 selections – SR 14.75%<br>LSP: 47.83  LSO: 63.25  LBF: 130.65 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 111.83  SSO: 141.25  SBF: 250.28 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>33 winners from 227 selections – SR 14.54%<br>LSP: 65.83  LSO: 92.50  LBF: 206.61 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 171.83  SSO: 222.00  SBF: 437.43 (after 5% commission)<br><br>Would you believe it I backed EnchantMENT in the 3.30 instead of EnchantED! Luckily I was listening to WillHill Radio and realised my mistake when they flagged it up – got my bet on the right one just in the nick of time! I suppose the other bet was covered by avoiding Red Fort yesterday!
So another profitable day on the horses but where was all your positive energy for the footie this afternoon, heh??? Ironic that we should have all the chances and hit the woodwork twice, only for Brighton’s sole meaningful effort to result in a goal by Carpenter!
YOU’LL JUST HAVE TO TRY HARDER ON THURSDAY NIGHT !!!
Rich
PS Just to clarify, the new filter does not employ Massey or any other rating system, it is entirely statistical.<br>
Another weekday, another six selections…..
Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>3.00 Wolverhampton Royal Exposure 10/1<br>3.10 Bath Illusive 10/1<br>3.20 Newton Abbot Davoski 8/1<br>4.50 Newton Abbot My Sharp Grey 14/1<br>6.20 Musselburgh Joely Green 9/2<br>7.05 Windsor Vantage 6/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
Hi Rich
The system is churning out the winners at decent prices and all credit to you for that. I’m a little intrigued, to say the least, that it comes up with Royal Exposure who has been off the course for over 3 years.
I’ve been looking at racing systems for longer than I care to remember and this selection has me baffled – well, nearly baffled. There’s only one criteria specific to the horse that could apply but I won’t mention it here in case it puts your secrecy in jeopardy. Of course there could be other criteria such as trainer/jockey/grade at work in the system and I certainly don’t want to start a series of posts trying to guess what criteria you use.<br>Fascinating stuff…..I hope it wins.
Hi Artemis
It wouldn’t be the first horse ever to win at a price after a long lay off, but at the end of the day it’s all about taking the rough with the smooth, if you want to back big priced winners you have to expect a few donkeys along the way too. It might win, it might get tailed off! It wouldn’t be the first horse on this thread to do that either! But the system says it is a qualifier and I have to listen to that – I think from memory (I will confirm later) the longest lay-off for a system winner in the last year was 1300 days!
Rich
17 May Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>3.00 Wolverhampton Royal Exposure 4/6 @ 7/1<br>3.10 Bath Illusive 2/18 @ 12/1<br>3.20 Newton Abbot Davoski 5/8 @ 10/1<br>4.50 Newton Abbot My Sharp Grey 9/18 @ 12/1<br>6.20 Musselburgh Joely Green 2/8 @ 9/2<br>7.05 Windsor Vantage 5/9 @ 4/1
May<br>18 winners from 128 selections – SR 14.06%<br>LSP: 41.83  LSO: 57.25  LBF: 124.65 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 105.83  SSO: 135.25  SBF: 244.28 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>33 winners from 233 selections – SR 14.16%<br>LSP: 59.83  LSO: 86.50  LBF: 200.61 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 165.83  SSO: 216.00  SBF: 431.43 (after 5% commission)<br><br>How unlucky have we been just lately? First Clarinch Claymore on Saturday and then yet more photo-finish heartache today as our 12/1 shot found winning illusive (sorry!), finishing like a train only to go down by a head after the 33/1 winner carried him left close home (didn’t actually see the race so don’t know how serious) – there was a Steward’s but unfortunately no change to the result (there never is these days!).
Royal Exposure failed after the lay-off, although there was plenty of money for it so I couldn’t have been the only one who rated its chances! I have checked and previous winners include 18 that had been off for more than 200 days, most notably Shooting Light @ 33/1 in the Aon Chase after a lay-off of 415 days, and two other 33/1 shots after 318 & 271 days – but the longest absence was a 5/1 shot winning after 626 days, not 1300 as I thought earlier!
On to tomorrow then,
Rich<br>
And just for a change, six more for today…..
Stake Plan bets 2 points<br>2.40 Goodwood Quiet Storm 20/1<br>3.15 Goodwood Hatch 12/1<br>4.00 Beverley Ma Yahab 7/1<br>4.10 Redcar Tyzack 9/2<br>5.05 Beverley Winslow Boy 14/1<br>8.00 Towcester Red Alert Man 12/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
Sorry started these on Monday…………..told you I was the kiss of death…………ROLL ON TOMORROW:biggrin: A good winning day, I can feel it in me bones 3pts stakes for me, thats £30 a nag.
Paul
18 May Stake Plan bets 2 points<br>2.40 Goodwood Quiet Storm 16/18 @ 16/1<br>3.15 Goodwood Hatch 13/18 @ 16/1<br>4.00 Beverley Ma Yahab 3/11 @ 8/1<br>4.10 Redcar Tyzack 7/11 @ 15/2<br>5.05 Beverley Winslow Boy 4/13 @ 14/1<br>8.00 Towcester Red Alert Man NR
May<br>18 winners from 133 selections – SR 13.53%<br>LSP: 36.83  LSO: 52.25  LBF: 119.65 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 95.83  SSO: 125.25  SBF: 234.28 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>33 winners from 238 selections – SR 13.87%<br>LSP: 54.83  LSO: 81.50  LBF: 195.61 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 155.83  SSO: 206.00  SBF: 421.43 (after 5% commission)<br><br>Can’t help feeling that £10 a point is too much for the staking plan approach Padman, but each to his own I guess!
Recently we’ve suffered a couple of bad luck stories but today it was just bad horses, no excuses offered.
On the plus side I have found another filter which is almost as good as the one I found on Saturday, and I’ll be employing it from now on – although I really think I’ve exhausted all avenues now but you never know!
Rich<br>
And guess how many there are today!……
Stake Plan bets 3 points<br>4.20 Goodwood Secret Place 10/1<br>4.45 Kelso Copplestone 20/1<br>6.00 Folkestone Leatherback 7/1<br>7.15 Sedgefield Sharp Hand 13/2<br>8.15 Sedgefield Scotmail Lad 8/1<br>8.45 Sedgefield Amber Moss 10/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
I’ve started posting this on the Masey forum, where I was asked to supply some historic data, so I thought I might as well post it here as well……
OK here’s all the historic data up to last Friday (the 14th) – have only been posting since April 13th so the rest you’ll have to take on trust. The black is the original system performance, the blue is the system with a couple of filters applied that I have developed recently, and the red is all 20/1 plus winners.
May 2003<br>18 winners from 174 selections – SR 10.34%<br>LSP: 34.38  LSO: 61.28<br>18 winners from 143 selections – SR 12.59%<br>LSP: 65.38  LSO: 92.28<br>Kilcaskin Gold 25/1, Bible Box 33/1 & Tango Royal 25/1
June 2003<br>12 winners from 153 selections – SR 7.84%<br>LSP: 19.75  LSO: 48.50<br>11 winners from 125 selections – SR 8.80%<br>LSP: 38.75  LSO: 67.00<br>Bay Of Islands 33/1 & Caribbean Coral 20/1
July 2003<br>25 winners from 145 selections – SR 17.24%<br>LSP: 86.00  LSO: 110.25<br>23 winners from 116 selections – SR 19.83%<br>LSP: 96.50  LSO: 119.25<br>Alexander Star 20/1 DHT
August 2003 :o <br>10 winners from 123 selections – SR 8.13%<br>LSP: -29.00  LSO: -19.67<br>8 winners from 89 selections – SR 8.99%<br>LSP: -9.50  LSO: -1.17<br>Vandal 25/1
September 2003<br>15 winners from 108 selections – SR 13.89%<br>LSP: 43.33  LSO: 62.33<br>14 winners from 86 selections – SR 16.28%<br>LSP: 59.33  LSO: 77.83<br>Quito 20/1
October 2003<br>18 winners from 82 selections – SR 21.95%<br>LSP: 49.33  LSO: 61.75<br>18 winners from 76 selections – SR 23.68%<br>LSP: 55.33  LSO: 67.75
November 2003<br>23 winners from 163 selections – SR 14.11%<br>LSP: 28.58  LSO: 46.49<br>23 winners from 156 selections – SR 14.74%<br>LSP: 33.58  LSO: 53.49<br>Bond Playboy 25/1
December 2003<br>22 winners from 150 selections – SR 14.67%<br>LSP: 71.00  LSO: 97.00<br>22 winners from 142 selections – SR 15.49%<br>LSP: 79.00  LSO: 105.00<br>Star Councel 33/1 & Victory Gunner 20/1
January 2004<br>30 winners from 153 selections – SR 19.61%<br>LSP: 129.88  LSO: 163.08<br>30 winners from 150 selections – SR 20.00%<br>LSP: 132.88  LSO: 166.08<br>Mistanoora 20/1 & Idaho D´Ox 25/1
February 2004<br>15 winners from 129 selections – SR 11.63%<br>LSP: 24.25  LSO: 44.16<br>15 winners from 125 selections – SR 12.00%<br>LSP: 28.25  LSO: 48.16<br>Shooting Light 33/1
March 2004<br>28 winners from 152 selections – SR 18.42%<br>LSP: 137.75  LSO: 171.08<br>28 winners from 147 selections – SR 19.05%<br>LSP: 142.75  LSO: 176.08<br>Maximize 40/1 & Made In Japan 20/1
April 2004<br>27 winners from 187 selections – SR 14.44%<br>LSP: 62.75  LSO: 89.75<br>27 winners from 174 selections – SR 15.52%<br>LSP: 75.75  LSO: 102.75<br>Zoltano 20/1
May 2004<br>14 winners from 100 selections – SR 14.00%<br>LSP: 38.83  LSO: 52.00<br>14 winners from 90 selections – SR 15.56%<br>LSP: 48.83  LSO: 62.00<br>Moayed 25/1
Overall<br>257 winners from 1819 selections – SR 14.13%<br>LSP: 696.83  LSO: 990.00<br>251 winners from 1619 selections – SR 15.50%<br>LSP: 848.83  LSO: 1136.50
19 May Stake Plan bets 3 points<br>4.20 Goodwood Secret Place 1/12 @ 6/1 – 9.00 on Betfair!<br>4.45 Kelso Copplestone 3/8 @ 25/1<br>6.00 Folkestone Leatherback PU/11 @ 15/2<br>7.15 Sedgefield Sharp Hand 5/7 @ 10/3<br>8.15 Sedgefield Scotmail Lad NR<br>8.45 Sedgefield Amber Moss PU/9 @ 16/1
May<br>19 winners from 138 selections – SR 13.77%<br>LSP: 38.83  LSO: 54.75  LBF: 123.25 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 101.83  SSO: 133.00  SBF: 245.08 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>34 winners from 243 selections – SR 13.99%<br>LSP: 56.83  LSO: 84.00  LBF: 199.21 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 161.83  SSO: 213.50  SBF: 432.23 (after 5% commission)<br><br>And it all started so well with Secret Place winning easily and Copplestone getting remarkably close to the classy Davids Lad at a price, but the rest were most disappointing, I guess this is our ‘barron’ spell but still picking up a few so not as bad as it could be.
Rich<br>
And now for a really difficult question – guess how many there are today!?
And let’s have some proper positive energy this time for Swindon at Brighton tonight please – I mean directing it at the back of the Brighton net rather than at the magnetic forcefield accross their goal line that was so much in evidence on Sunday!
Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>2.10 Goodwood Reveillez 8/1<br>3.25 Newcastle Dance Light 20/1<br>3.35 Wetherby Red Ark 8/1<br>4.45 Wetherby Grangewick Flight 7/2<br>8.05 Kelso Kock De La Vesvre 4/1<br>9.05 Kelso Hirvine 10/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
20 May Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>2.10 Goodwood Reveillez 5/12 @ 7/1<br>3.25 Newcastle Dance Light 7/9 @ 8/1<br>3.35 Wetherby Red Ark NR<br>4.45 Wetherby Grangewick Flight 4/5 @ 6/1<br>8.05 Kelso Kock De La Vesvre 2/6 @ 7/2<br>9.05 Kelso Hirvine 2/10 @ 7/1
May<br>19 winners from 143 selections – SR 13.29%<br>LSP: 33.83  LSO: 49.75  LBF: 118.25 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 96.83  SSO: 128.00  SBF: 240.08 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>34 winners from 248 selections – SR 13.71%<br>LSP: 51.83  LSO: 79.00  LBF: 194.21 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 156.83  SSO: 208.50  SBF: 427.23 (after 5% commission)<br><br>Seconditis today, undoubtedly the most inauspicious period since I started posting.
And even more desperate at Brighton, totally dominated the second game even more than the first, conceded the equaliser 10 seconds from time and lost on penalties. It doesn’t get any worse than this. Not good. :angry:
Rich<br>
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