April 19, 2019 at 09:33 #1418230
Thank you VTC.
There is a spectacular addition to todays bets that are already on and I have just placed one more bet.
1 40 Newcastle
1.5 Pnt EW -MACHO TOUCH @12/1
Price is starting to be cut but BET365 are currently holding the 12/1.
Had another look at the race today and the team couldn’t let this one go.April 19, 2019 at 10:45 #1418234
LADY KERMIT is as short as 2/5 and the team say you would need to be a bit of a muppet if you backed her at those odds. She was impressive on debut on the polytrack but Archie Watson is a master at having his horses ready to roll at the first time of asking, as such you wont always get a massive improvement from 1st to 2nd run.
She won on polytrack but this is tapeta today and it may not suit as well. Archie has a high strike rate at most tracks especially with 2yos but Newcastle tapeta is the only aw track in the uk that he has never had a winner on and is 0/7 here.
Carrying a penalty and giving weight away here with perhaps not much improvement to come on a track the trainer doesnt win on means that the team are out to get her today. Also Paul Mulrennan is hardly a jockey riding with confidence, no wins in last 2 weeks just 3 wins from 97 rides in 2019 and has never ridden a 2yo for archie watson.
CASSANDRA probably has a better chance she was impressive winning on debut and is likely to improve again though could also be vulnerable under the penalty and the team are keen to take her on in this race.
MIA DIVA is interesting on paper but trainer J Quinn has had 10 runners in the last 2 weeks and they were all unplaced and ran badly so the team will just watch her on debut today for a trainer who does a lot better on the turf than the aw.
Big surprise if PEMMELYN, SIENNA BAY, STARS IN THE NIGHT or NORTHERN GRACE can do anything today.
Faheys MIGHTY SPIRIT would be the horse I fear most and she has a chance here.
MONEYBALL is currently 66/1 but she should outrun those odds and isnt without a chance in this race. She is a January foal, her trainer won this race in 2017 with a debutant and his horses are running well at present. A fast pedigree and she has a chance 66/1 is outrageous.
MACHO TOUCH is the likeliest winner here, Karl Burke does well at the track with 2yos and does get plenty of debutant winners. 70,000 yearling, related to lots of winners, bred to be fast and early, February foal, Ben ‘The bomb’ Curtis onboard.
Looks to have a huge chance here and can turn the heavy odds on favourite over.
Camacho offspring have a good record on tapeta at Newcastle. Has a super sprint entry and Burke can get off the mark with his juveniles today.April 20, 2019 at 12:04 #1418415
P&L = – 22.0 Points
1 25 Kempton
1.5 Point EW- LITTLETON HALL@28/1 (BET365)
This horse may not be popular in the betting or in the racing media but the team have predicted a devastating performance today.April 20, 2019 at 13:33 #1418440
P&L = – 13.0 Points
9 points profit on the race as the sensational LITTLETON HALL almost beats them all. But at 7/1 a place it was better than having the winner. That’s why the team will soon be living the dream.
A couple of evening 2yo races to come.April 20, 2019 at 14:46 #1418448
5 20 Brighton
3 Point WIN-BEIGNET@4/1
5 05 Nottingham
3 Point WIN- MAKING HISTORY@6/4
The team are ready willing and ableApril 21, 2019 at 10:11 #1418979
P&L = – 19.0 Points
2 35 Southwell
3 Point WIN- AMBYFAEIRVINE@8/1
VOID BET IGNORE
CASHED OUTApril 21, 2019 at 11:27 #1419023
I have no choice but to cash out of the original bet as I made a big mistake. For thread purposes the original bet is void and does not stand.
Every 2yo season I will have one horse that is so strong it will get the title of ‘DOUBLE MAXIMUM’ bet. This is the horse. Its somewhat embarrassing that I almost missed it but thankfully I was able to correct my mistake.
I am expecting MYSTIC KNIGHT to win by an extremely wide margin today.
BET OF THE 2019 2YO SEASON
# DOUBLE MAXIMUM BET
2 35 Southwell
6 Pnt WIN-MYSTIC KNIGHT@4/1 (paddy and betfair sportsbook)
The team are striking
DOUBLE MAXIMUM time
Congratulations team we will at last be in profit on the season after this one has run.April 21, 2019 at 14:07 #1419043
# I had written DOUBLE MAXIMUM on the above bet but had written 3 points win. It is of course as a double maximum a 6 point win. I have edited that now. Thought I better post this pre race to avoid confusion after the race.
This is a bet that is so strong it will define an entire season.
It was so close to being a mistake but will turn our to be one of the greatest 2yo punts of all time.
ALL of the morning money is going on 3 horses – CONFRONTATIONAL, AMBYFAEIRVONE and HOLLABECK GIRL.
This does not scare this team in the slightest.
The team ALWAYS state ‘WE DO NOT FOLLOW THE MARKET, THE MARKET SHOULD FOLLOW US’ and that is what sets the team apart.
A DOUBLE MAXI FOR ALL TO SEE
TIMS HORSE MADE KARLS LOOK LIKE A TREE
ARCHIE WATSONS 2YOS UNBEATABLE THEY SAY
THE TEAM KNOW BETTER AND THAT ONE IS A LAY
HOW ABOUT FURTADO, SPENCER AND LOUGHRANES
THEY LOOK MORE LIKE TUGBOATS THAN BULLET TRAINS
SO ALL THAT IS LEFT IS THE ONE FROM EASTERBY
BUT DONT WORRY TEAM FOR THIS IS A BEAST YOU’LL SEE
Tim Easterby has had just one winner from 61 runners in the last 5 years with his aw 2yos.
IN 30 MINUTES THAT WILL BE DOUBLED
THE TEAM ARE READY
As is traditional before a once a season DOUBLE MAXIMUM 2yo bet runs may I ask the team to stand and join with me as we sing the national anthemApril 21, 2019 at 14:28 #1419045
If MYSTIC KNIGHT gets beaten I will quit this forum in shame, I will end this thread on a loss and I will never champion the legend that is Elegant Escape. No explanation I wont be back and will not post again.
If anybody believes that MYSTIC KNIGHT will get beat then you need to pinch yourself and wake up for you are dreaming.
Tell the team I see them in ten.April 22, 2019 at 18:46 #1419157
- Total Posts 1895
Hang in there Spud. I’ve been watching your thread and I think you have a lot of the right thought processes even if the staking plan is running down Chasey Lane a bit. Keep at it.
I’ll send you a PM.
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