- This topic has 131 replies, 15 voices, and was last updated 11 years, 4 months ago by
.
- Posts
Kim Muir
For a race I love I haven’t got a clue about this years renewal…Yet!
Merry King
looks the right sort for this type of race though.
Day 4.
Triumph hurdle
.
Possibly the toughest race of the whole meeting to get a handle on Ante-Post and I’m not convinced we’ve even seen the winner out yet……….Calling Nicky Henderson!!
County hurdle
,
For as much as
River Maigue
dissapointed in the Lanzarote,I saw enough to suggest a race like this is right up his street.I dont think he’ll be seen beyond 2miles again either.
Rolling star
looks like he’d be better suited to this race rather than the Champion hurdle too.
Selection,
River Maigue
e/w 16/1,
Rolling star
e/w 12/1.
Albert Bartlett 3m Hurdle
Some good judges rate this
Kings Palace
as banker material at 4/1 and you can see why,he typifies the old fashioned way Martin Pipe would train them and that was go like the clappers.What impresses with this fellow is his tenacity,he stretches out at the gallop and attacks every hurdle,he moves like
Make a stand
and jumps like
Run for free
.I would be concerned about his action on very soft ground.It will take a good one to get passed this ‘Kings theatre’horse but I can see
Faugheen
8/1,doing just that so long as he doesn’t try to take the Pipe horse on that would be the Irish horses downfall as he can settle just off his lead and come late up the hill.
Briar Hill
7/1 will get this trip stood on his head but I still believe the ‘Neptune’ is the right race for him.Let the musical chairs begin.
Selection,
Faugheen
, e/w 8/1.
Wishing you a late Happy New Year Gord!
Trust that you are well? I’ve been checking in with a keen eye over past few months, however, having spent the early part of the National Hunt season on the other side of the world I have been somewhat out of the loop and haven’t really had the time to contribute.
So first things first, best of luck with the third episode of the Cheltenham Wagers Thread, I’m pretty sure that you’ll be assembling a strong hand to play with at the festival once again.
More importantly, between us we obviously have a huge interest in a certain horse going for the Champion Hurdle this year. Two runs into the season, a potential run before the festival next month, are things going to plan in your opinion? I see that he has drifted out to 4/1 this week, not that a small drift in the market concerns me and I expect further movement this weekend.
Apart form the Tent my AP’ing has been somewhat non existent this year because of my trip down under, however, I am interested in the following and I’m hovering over the bet button as we speak, always interested to get your thoughts:-
Arkle – Rock On Ruby (12/1) – Missed the 14/1 boat last week. Am I missing something with this horse, he appears to be slipping completely under the radar. My opinion is that the Arkle doesn’t exactly look ‘top class’ this year and Ruby’s form at Cheltenham speaks for itself.
Neptune – Apache Stronghold (16/1) Bit of a stab this, but caught his last race in Ireland and was visually very impressive. Future chaser for sure but the form of that race seems reasonable and I’m not convinced about Briar Hill (agree that Faugheen will take the Albert Bartlett route).
Mossey Joe – Foxhunters (10/1) – Haven’t heard much about this horse since the spring, however, IMO, should he take his chance this lad is NAP material. Anybody have any news?
Lastly, I see that you have put up Tiger Cliff for the Supreme. I’m looking forward to his debut, any idea when this is being lined up for?
Cheers OLAS
Olas, big fan of Apache Stronghold too.
Word of caution if you’re going to bet him, and you hadn’t heard, he won’t be running before Festival, as he was sore apparently.
As the clock strikes 13,59 seven days precisely pass since the inception of this thread and it reaches its 1000th view.You can set your clock to TAPK’s ramblings as every piece of Sh*t that dribbles down my chin gets a 1000 views per week…….Legendary Writer aswell as Legendary judge of horseflesh,I am a multi Legend,Unbelievable but true!
OLAS good to see you back from your
wasted
journey supporting what I can only describe as a bunch of homesick mamby pambys who spend the majority of their time searching for a Little red Ball.
Our horse
I use that word lightly as I spotted him first but you got the bloody 66/1!!
is exactly where I want him to be,he’s strengthened physically since you last saw him,he’s learned to settle,he’s matured mentally and the energy he once spent fretting about his jumping has also improved.He still has the necessary improvement in him to overcomeThe New One
around Cheltenham and cometh the day he will get up the hill.I’ve said all year the official Handicapper was wrong about their respective ratings and as per usual I turned out right,trouble is all things being equal there really is very little between these 2 potential Champions of 2m at hurdling so every little bit of ground lost running wide,errors at hurdles or being hampered will cost both dearly.I hope both horses get to Cheltenham in tip top condition as they are special the pair of them.Should we lose fairly and squarely by the shortest of margins……Again!!
May I suggest taking the 25/1 with Bet365 thatMy Tent or yours
wins next years Arkle.’TNO’ wont live with him over fences!No doubt you will get a bigger price from the same Bookmaker as me you jammy Git!
Good Luck with your Ante-Post wagers mate and keep posting.Gord i see you put up HOLLYWELL who was a winner for me in peryemps last year.In handicap chase race i don’t think HOLLYWELL jumps fences that well saw early races over fences not all that i say.
Also on pertemps hurdle this year what chance you give GRAND VISION.Was behind Boston Bob and Birdinsi Breeze at festival a few years ago but if you look hurdle race before that he won a strong hurdle race.He made his return on saturday and was 2nd a good performance that was.And 2years ago Tizzard wanted to run him in Pertemps instead of Albert Bartlett.If goes for race this year think he go close.
Gold Cup
The big one every year and this years no different.
Bobs Worth
again is a worthy fav and he ticks every box,2/1 tells you that.I saw 5/1 after Haydock and was definitely tempted.I have a 100% Lay record on here and can think of plenty other 2/1 chances that will keep that record in tact.Bobs worth isn’t one of them! I know back to back Gold cup victories are rare but this fellow is more than capable of breaking that hoodoo.So why am I staying loyal to a horse who just cant get past him? Simply because I believe he still can.
First Lieutenant
has met his adversary 3 times now and has lost all 3 battles but never in a Gold cup at a course that suits both.I still watch their RSA Clash and still maintain Mouses big raw recruit wouldn’t settle,to be beaten barely 2 length suggests these 2 were closely matched and on good ground both ran to their best.What the following seasons Hennessey proved was Bobs Worth was a proper Gold cup horse,I felt First Lieutenant ran a shade flat that day but still ran well.Whilst Bob went on to Gold victory and confirmed all his previous form was reliable,First Lieutenant was supposed to take in the easier option of the Ryanair but Cue Card put a stop to that with more Speed.This seasons Lexus though showed again that both Bob and the Lieutenant are serious horses and are still pretty closely matched,how on earth the official handicapper makes Bob a 13lb better horse beggars belief.To beat Bob in this years Blue riband will require a masterful ride from Bryan Cooper and that means committing early,he has the chance to take a length off Bob at every fence such is the accuracy of his jumping and if he can somehow jump the last with a 3 length lead he’ll just about hang on from a horse who will have hit a flat spot five out and been rousted along from that point,should Bob make a mistake from there on in he is beatable.I still maintain on good ground
Cue Card
is the joker in the pack but on really Soft ground I’d say the same about
Silviniaco conti
.Nothing else Wins!
Selection,
First Lieutenant
, 20’s down to e/w 12/1.
Foxhunters
Hoping
Beshabar
10/1 gets there for this as he’s a big beauty with an engine to match,trouble is injury has curtailed the promise of this fellow before.
Conditionals hurdle
I’ve got my eye on the appropriately named
Pay the King
for this even though
Home run
beat him last time out I reckon the Paul Nicholls horse will improve the most.
Selection,
Pay the King
e/w 20/1.
Grand Annual
Another race I love to study for and already I believe this years winner will come from one of those who contested last years race.
Alderwood
25/1,
Kid Cassidy
,33/1 and
Petit Robin
,25/1 all have the form to be players in this,all are lightly raced too but comparing last years marks to their current ratings I can see
Petit Robin
coming out on top this year.
Selection,
Petit Robin
, e/w 25/1 and
Kid Cassidy
, e/w 33/1.
I’ve heard that Beshabar has been retired but can’t see anything on the trainers site to confirm it.
I’ve heard that Beshabar has been retired but can’t see anything on the trainers site to confirm it.
I’ve asked the question to
Beshabars
former owners Middleham Park but they sold him off last May,apparently he’s still at Tim Vaughans yard but whether he’s actually finally retired through re-occuring injury I dont know.Interesting though he is as short as 8/1 in places for the Foxhunters.
Gord: What do you think of Alderwood for the QM Chase? Has excellent place opportunity in a strange year, his festival form is outstanding! With the champ somewhat under the weather and SDG suspect at the course anything could happen, I’ve backed worse 33/1 pokes
Gord: What do you think of Alderwood for the QM Chase? Has excellent place opportunity in a strange year, his festival form is outstanding! With the champ somewhat under the weather and SDG suspect at the course anything could happen, I’ve backed worse 33/1 pokes
I’d have thought connections would go for a repeat Grand Annual win where he’d have to have a big chance off 149? He comfortably accounted for Kid Cassidy of levels and that horse is now rated 156.
is exactly where I want him to be,he’s strengthened physically since you last saw him,he’s learned to settle,he’s matured mentally and the energy he once spent fretting about his jumping has also improved.He still has the necessary improvement in him to overcome
Good Luck with your Ante-Post wagers mate and keep posting.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.