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Supreme Novice Hurdle

Home Forums Archive Topics Cheltenham Archive Cheltenham 2023 Supreme Novice Hurdle

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 118 total)
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  • #1627994
    Jasolong
    Participant
    • Total Posts 604

    On Jet Powered at 25s and 8s. Impressed with his debut and he had them well strung out too. He could have plenty more to come.

    Obviously Facile Vega will be hard to beat but I never got on him when he was a half decent price as I personally thought he would be better suited to the Ballymore and I don’t like backing horses when I’m not 95% sure where they will be running. Couldn’t back at 11/10 now as his bumper form is superb but bumper winners don’t often win the supreme and yes he was super impressive on debut but the sectionals suggest the other horses didn’t want to get close to him rather than him being way too good. I’ve seen horses jump better on hurdling debut than him, aware he could improve in that department but I wouldn’t be wanting yo many negatives about an 11/10 **** this far out

    #1628444
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9513

    Facile Vega didn’t pull away in his race today. Gives the rest some hope.

    #1628461
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    Facile Vega won readily enough by four lengths but the runner up only has an OR of 137 and 141+ wouldn’t be the rating of a 5/4 Supreme favourite in my book.

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    #1628464
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34554

    Vautour beat Western Boy in January by no more than a length but that horse was over 10 lengths behind at Cheltenham in his Supreme novice hurdle
    Agree about the price but Mullins will know Facile Vega will need to be better in March. I also think Cheltenham will suit.

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    #1628471
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    I’d rather be with Marine Nationale on what I’ve seen so far.

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    #1628472
    Avatar photoGladiateur
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    • Total Posts 6541

    Pity you don’t bet each-way, Chezza. I can’t see Marine Nationale being out of the first three.

    #1628478
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    Yes, after Royal Pagaille and Truckers Lodge in the last 24 hours, Chezza has been thinking the same himself, Gladders!

    Chezza stays win only, though!

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    #1628499
    Avatar photobefair
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    • Total Posts 2261

    Thought the performance was efficient, no more, perhaps expectations were too sky-high. On Rte Ruby suggested that his jumping technique put a lot of pressure on his forelegs, which might have implications for any long-term future

    #1628501
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    My expectation, or bar, was that, being 5/4 jolly ante-post for this, he’d clobber an OR 137 beast by ten on the bit.

    He didn’t.

    Still deserves to be favourite but, unless he comes out again and does something spectacular, I could see him being the same price, or even bigger, on the day.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1628506
    Avatar photoCork All Star
    Participant
    • Total Posts 11701

    I am a little more positive about Facile Vega.

    The runner up travelled well and looked like he might make a race of it but the favourite brushed him aside fairly easily. It looked like there was plenty left in the tank as well.

    I backed Jet Powered after he won at Newbury but I am not confident he can beat Facile Vega.

    #1628878
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9513

    Cashed out Firestep. Declared over 2 and a half not the 2 miler.
    Jet Powered staying at 2 miles.

    #1628879
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34554

    Jet Powered running tomorrow at Newbury

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1628884
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6657

    And quai de paris on Sunday

    Should see some movement outside of the fav next 2 days

    #1629053
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    Maybe it was the ground (though he won his Irish Point in the mud) but if you’re wanting to back horses for races like this on the strength of Maiden Hurdle wins you want to be getting a big price because the form might be meaningless.

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    #1629054
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34554

    Facile Vega will be odds on after that

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    #1629055
    Avatar photoBen_Bernanke
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    • Total Posts 2371

    What a turn up! Yeah may well have been the ground given how he folded, but either way that’s not what backers want to see.

    #1629059
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9513

    Nothing like his first run. Probably the ground.

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 118 total)
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