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St Leger 2022

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Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 108 total)
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  • #1603282
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    The internet is full of cash-out/”green up” Houdini tall stories – back in the real world the biggest bookmakers continue to slant cash-out terms heavily in their favour.

    First rule of the internet – no one ever loses.

    First rule of real life – most of them actually do.

    It’s a hard old game.

    Tbf there’s more honesty and less aftertiming on TRF than at many places.

    It’s one of the things I like about this place.

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    #1604091
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 9549

    Updated…

    Westover 9-4
    Eldar Eldorov 18-1 ew

    #1604098
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6657

    Will westover run now?

    Think he almost won that too well to end up here

    #1604100
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 9549

    He only beat Piz Badle again as i said in other thread so nothing too flash in the formbook with Tuesday running flat. Desert Crown gets the King George verdict over Westover and Westover comes here probably.
    Big opportunity for trainer to get a 2022 classic winner.

    #1604119
    FinalFurlong91
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    I’d agree he’d need to lose his next race to be a likely runner

    In that case I don’t think it’s worth considering backing him now as he will get bigger if he loses next time

    #1604128
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    “He only beat Piz Badle again”

    I think the runner up today has run a lot better than he did at Epsom.

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    #1604186
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Someone connected to Westover’s owners was talking about coming back in trip at some point.

    Doing an “Aidan”; saying Westover has so much speed and would’ve won at a mile and a quarter today.

    Value Is Everything
    #1604187
    Avatar photoGladiateur
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    “… Westover has so much speed and would’ve won at a mile and a quarter today.”

    Yep. But I’d have beaten that lot.

    #1604296
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    I love how now people are scrutinising the form as useless after he’s won as he liked.

    Piz Badile is a good horse + clearly was off it at Epsom, probably down to the track.

    French Claim was mentioned by Twomey a number of times for needing a trip and very much improving for it. I’d say the form isn’t as bad as people are suggesting.

    Tuesday obviously off it a little.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
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    #1604303
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    As previously stated I agree with Jack.

    I think the second and third have probably run close to their OR, Tuesday was below par, but the rating of 120 I would have Westover on for that suggests to me Tuesday would have needed a new career best to beat him.

    As we all surely know, the world has changed.

    We don’t live in a 1m>1m4f>1m6f115yds>2m4f world any more where the Classics are but mere stepping stones to the Gold Cup at four and beyond.

    Yet these races still exist at their current distances.

    The difference in value between a Flat sire and a NH sire is enormous and if there was any chance at all they could pass off Westover as something other than a staying middle distance horse the commercial pressure to take it would be immense.

    Westover looks every inch a St Leger colt to me, but I could see him staying at 1m4f and even trying 1m2f again (Classic Trial winner) at some stage.

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    #1604304
    Mike007
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    I never said the form was useless tbf. He’s confirmed the Epsom Derby form with the unplaced horse and won well. The Arc is another level and I don’t think he is ‘too good’ for this race unless he improves past Desert Crown and beats the middle distance older horses in the King George (if he goes).

    Kingston Hill rated 120 won the St Leger after being 2nd in the Derby, Capri rated 120 won the St Leger after winning the Irish Derby. If there is a golden winning opportunity in a classic then take it I reckon.

    #1604306
    Mike007
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    “In that case I don’t think it’s worth considering backing him now as he will get bigger if he loses next time.”

    It’s a tricky one, as the bookies might put 2 and 2 together and think St Leger has to be the next destination if/when he suffers the King George defeat.

    #1605107
    FinalFurlong91
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    Eldar Eldarov 8/1 for me

    Now iv backed Westover for the King George this bet makes sense

    I may even have a small double as Westover surely won’t run here if he wins the KG

    #1606511
    FinalFurlong91
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    Eldar Eldarov to run in the grand prix de Paris on Thursday

    Piz Badile and El bodegon also lining up

    I’d want him to be winning really to show he has that bit of class as well as stamina required for this

    #1606962
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 9549

    Turned into a sprint in the straight as I suspected it might which wouldn’t have suited.

    I’ve swapped Westover with Changingoftheguard 15-2 for now, as Westover winning the King George at Ascot which now looks likelier will rule him out of this I expect.

    #1607580
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    Eldar Eldorov 10/1
    Drifted a little after losing in France but had everything against him that day. Distance combined with going was too short and a slowly run race which turned into a sprint was never going to help. Train seems happy he has come out of that race okay and stating what we already know that another step up in distance is what the horse needs.

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1608238
    FinalFurlong91
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    Westover has no chance of staying 1m6f if he continues to run that keenly

    He’s 5/1 now but I couldn’t have him at double that personally

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 108 total)
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