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St Leger 2022

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Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 108 total)
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  • #1601218
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 9535

    Lionel 18-1 ew

    #1601219
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    Funnily enough I backed Lionel win only at 16/1 a week or two ago – looks like I bet under the odds!

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1601224
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    9/2 Westover seems more than fair to me along with 14/1 Changingoftheguard.

    Value Is Everything
    #1601236
    FinalFurlong91
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    You’d think Doncaster would suit a big long striding galloper like westover very well

    #1601238
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    If losing the Irish Derby then Westover is pretty certain to be going to Donny. If winning in Ireland suppose might go for the Arc, but (provided he doesn’t win by a long way) the Leger will still be his best chance of further Group 1 glory… And could go for both.

    Trainer Ralph Beckett is often in good form that time of year and has won the leger before. Westover already has as good a Timeform rating as Simple Verse (including her 3 lb fillies allowance) and is still improving.

    Value Is Everything
    #1602233
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 9535

    Added Eldar Eldorov 18-1 ew

    #1602727
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    “Added Eldar Eldorov 18-1 ew”

    —————-

    Was the Queen’s Vase late off?
    Was this before or after the Queen’s Vase, Mike?

    Value Is Everything
    #1602771
    Mike007
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    Before the off.

    #1602859
    FinalFurlong91
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    Bit naughty placing a bet before the race then claiming the price after the horse won

    Would you have posted the bet had he not got up?

    #1602929
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 9535

    It was a decision close to the off so good idea to watch the race :o)
    I’ve tried my luck similarly before at times, if it don’t work out I cash out so nothing to post.

    #1602935
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    I backed Eldar Eldorov at 500/1 for the St Leger as a yearling, 5,000/1 as a foal and at 50,000/1 when his dam was tested in foal with him.

    I then cashed out/”greened up” after the Queen’s Vase.

    Slipped my mind to mention all this until now.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1602950
    FinalFurlong91
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    How do you cash out though

    For a big loss surely?

    #1602953
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
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    Before they restricted me, Bet365 used to let me cash out for 90% of my stake.

    But the other bookmakers’ terms were dreadful and heavily slanted in their favour mathematically.

    Each to their own, but it wouldn’t be for me as a betting strategy.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

    #1602972
    Mike007
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    “How do you cash out though. For a big loss surely?”

    There can be a loss involved if the horse subsequently drifts, that’s the risk with antepost.

    #1602973
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    • Total Posts 12996

    I would imagine if you back a horse ante post at 14/1 before it runs and it then gets stuffed and is out to say 25/1 the cash-out value would be 10% or even less, with many books not letting you cash out at all.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

    #1603196
    FinalFurlong91
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    That wasmy thinking and experience too ian

    #1603280
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    You could “cash out” on the exchanges even if your back bet is with bookmakers, just by laying it to win the same amount for the Lay as you lose on the Back bet with the bookie. However, once a horse is “injured” or runs poorly the amount of money needed to get your money back laying a horse @ 25/1 is absolutely enormous… and the horse could still win!

    e.g Tuesday was if I remember rightly around 4/1 favourite for the Oaks after the English 1000. Went out in price after Emily Upjohn won the Musidora. Further out when it became apparent she’d run in the Irish 1000… And again after disappointing a little in that race… And then drifted markedly when it seemed she would not recover in time and thought a probable non-runner. I think someone mentioned she touched 20/1. If someone backed Tuesday @ 4/1 and then laid her to get back the full stake @ 20/1 they’d have lost a hell of a lot when she won… Unless they again backed her when evident she was running… In which case they’d in all probability be facing fairly big losses whatever happened.

    Value Is Everything
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