Ratings Method – Dusted Off!

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THURSDAY JULY 31

Goodwood
1.20 Daiquiri Bay 118; Seagolazo 115; Parole d’Oro 113; Ernst Blofeld 111; Magellan Cloud 109; Marhabe Ghaiyyath 108; Best Adventure 108
3.45 Naana’s Sparkle 112; Kinetic Force 109; Fluorescence 109; Getreadytorumble 107; Winchurch 106
5.30 War Socks 103; Principality 103; King Casper 99; Cavalo Nero 98; Point Of Contact 97; Gilet 97

Wolverhampton
6.45 Chutzpah 99; Kitsune Power 98; Further Measure 97; Dancingwithmyself 96
7.15 Barbapapa 117; Dark Thirty 114; Change Sings 112; Willem Twee 111; Fivethousandtoone 111
8.15 Shamrock Bay 99; Sailthiusshipalone 99; Romieu 97; Hickory 97; Lady Of Arabia 96
8.45 Midnight Lion 102; Silent Age 97; Penzance 96; Londoner 93

Galway
4.30 Relieved Of Duties 169; Helvic Dream 162; Gaucher 160; Jesse Evans 160; Jalila Moriviere 159; Addragoole 159

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With the rain today there might be a few non-runners Friday/Saturday so will try and delete any that come out if I get the chance. For all it was wet they seemed to be getting through it and I’m sure it wasn’t “Heavy”.

FRIDAY AUGUST 1
Goodwood
1.20 Kyle Of Lochalsh 123; Tashkhan 119; Mordor 114; Sheradann 112; Zinc White 111
2.30 Lattam 116; Star Anthem 113; Theoryofeverything 112; Arisaig 111; Greek Order 111; Treasure Time 111
4.55 Grecian Legacy 108; War Hawk 104; Munsif 102; Burj Zabeel 101; Bulletin 100; Ride The Thunder 99

SATURDAY AUGUST 2
Goodwood
1.55 Master Builder 123; French Duke 119; Barnso 117; Feigning Madness 115; Danicng In Paris 113; Artistic Star 112
3.05 The X O 121; Seven Questions 116; Hammer The Hammer 113; Drama 112; Alzahir 111; Toca Madera 111; Get It 110
3.45 Fondo Blanco 123; Hallasan 122; Shout 116; Consolidation 115; Montpellier 111; The Fingal Raven 111; Dance In The Storm 111
4.55 Whip Cracker 108; Treasure Time 104; Miletus 104; Alpha Crucis 101; Westerton 101; Longlai 101; Urban Sprawl 101

Newmarket
4.35 Way Of Life 98; Mrs Twig 97; Odin Legacy 96; Houstonn 96; Moon Angel 94

Thirsk
4.05 Bosh 113; Cruyff Turn 106; Rhythm Master 102; Jonny Concrete 100; Eldrickjones 99; It Just Takes Time 98
4.40 Barley 102

Hamilton
7.30 Grandlad 99; Classy Al 90

Galway
3.12 Reverend Hubert 158; So Scottish 153; Baltic Bird 153; Ambitious Fellow 152; Golden Temple 149; Timmy Tuesday 147; Chart Topper 147; Mousey Brown 147

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SUNDAY AUGUST 3

Chester
4.52 Flaming Rib 107; Thunder Roar 104; Palmar Bay 102; Legal Rhythm 100

MONDAY AUGUST 4

Ripon
3.40 Another Investment 100; Fortamour 100; Kodiac Thriller 99; Grant Wood 98

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A quiet week for handicaps this week until Saturday so I’m including the feature race at bRighton every day. The Festival meeting there was one that was always on my calendar when I lived down south, it’s lost a bit of lustre these days but field sizes are good for the first day. The Brighton Mile on Wednesday looks a tight contest.

WEDNESDAY AUGUST 6

Brighton
3.45 Mafnood 82; Lifestyle 80; Man Of La Mancha 80; Al Rufaa 79; Mostawaa 79; Kracking 79; Havana Mojito 79

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Top rated returns for the last couple of months have been dire(9 wins in June and 6 in July), but 2nd rated have been doing the business to the point where we’ve 52 winners from 204 races from top two. Can’t exactly advise ignoring the top rated and taking the second…, but at least suggests the figures are in the right areas.

Racing League meeting at Chepstow and I’ve rated all 7 races. The league format isn’t my cup of tea and has plenty of detractors on here, but it gives competitive racing for decent prize money, everyone’s trying and there’s an open market. That’s a 4-1 victory to the ‘Yes I’ll consider it’ so here goes…

Brighton stage their Challenge Cup which has a £10k prize for the winenr, the contest having been worth £13k to the winner in 1990. A meeting full of competitive racing, but they are doing it on the cheap.

THURSDAY AUGUST 7

Chelmsford
4.00 Magnum Opus 114; Box To Box 114; Sovereign Sea 112; Silent Film 104

Brighton
3.40 Neoma 85; Sugarloaf Lenny 82; Annexation 81

Chepstow
5.30 Tiger Tulip 94; Juan Les Pins 93; Roberto Caro 91; Profit Refused 90; Diamondonthehill 90; King Of Light 90
6.00 Sword 96; Barley 91; Shamrock Bay 89; Gaiety Musical 88
6.30 Streets Of Gold 112; Sondad 111; King’s Lynn 111; El Bodon 108
7.00 Ultramarine 85; Apache Outlaw 85; Arctic Dawn 84; Feel THe Need 83; Be Frank 83; Dapper Gee Gee 83
7.30 Our Planet 102; Blind Beggar 92; Existent 89; Ancient Times 89; Billie Be Quick 88
8.00 Per Contra 102; Miss Dolly Rocker 99; Burren Song 99; Bulldog Spirit 99; Something 98
8.30 Manila Thriller 98; Freddy Robinson 98; Hornsea Bay 97; Qitaal 95; Crowd Quake 95

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A lull on Friday before a burst of qualifying races on Saturday. Meanwhile I’ll switch down the sensitivity of the crap-o-meter in order to get through the ordeal that is Musselburgh Ladies Day!

All runners listed for the Thirsk 1m 4f handicap…, sort that one out!

FRIDAY AUGUST 8

Musselburgh
3.20 Crimson Spirit 91; Bellarchi 91; Individualism 90; Yaaser 88

Brighton
3.30 Honour Your Dreams 86; Spanish Star 86; Another Abbot 84; Ziggy’s Ariel 81

Thirsk
4.13 Mr Alan 103; Paddy The Squire 103; Ribble Vibe 103; Financer 103; Sax Appeal 102; Melek Alreeh 101

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Ambling of subject for a while I’ve been looking at the other publications that were produced by PFA Publications back in the 1970s. Two of them were Field Form and Class Handicapping.

Class Handicapping identified the two ‘Class Horses’ in handicaps of 6 or more runners comparing race weights with those in last two handicaps, the rough principle being that a horse raised in weight is dropped in class and falling in the weights is raised in class. With changes in ratings that’s not always true, but the principle is more or less accurate.

Field Form compared weights in a rather convoluted way to come to a selection. Experimentation proved that the maths was flawed so the method didn’t make sense. However the means of narrowing the field down was useful and it used the weight from it’s closest finish of last 2 races for comparison.

Suffice to say I’ve come up with a combination of the two to refine the selection of Class Horses and I’m having dry run at the oment. If results are satisfactory I may well start a thread on the ‘new method’. Great advantage is that it’s a lot less time consuming than the ratings on this thread, but it does use the betting forecast to narrow selections down so it can’t be caluclated until the evening before rather than the 2 days in advance that I manage with ‘The Compleat Hadnicapper’ Method herein.

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Saturdays’ ratings below, I’m assuming numbers 11 and 12 at Ascot are ressies but it’s not absolutely clear from Racing Post cards. Given that runners get take home pay of £600+ just for turning up I find it surprising that they couldn’t fill all races, but since it’s jammed in between Goodwood and York then maybe not!

SATURDAY AUGUST 9
Ascot
1.35 Nimtiz(R2) 109; Emperor Spirit(R1) 107; Vintage Clarets 106; Dream Composer 106; Seven Questions 102
2.10 La Vita Nova 103; Scottish Anthem 98; Fireblade 98; Artisan Dancer 98
2.45 Insanity 100; Claymore 99; Ocean Of Dreams(R) 99; Night Breeze 96; Houstonn 96
3.20 Hucklesbrook 110; Dyonisos 106; Zayer 103; Milford 99
3.55 Mdawi 94; Team Player 94; Prince Of The Seas 91; Canvas 91
4.30 Golden Mind 108; Urban Lion 107; Cerulean Bay 106; Miss Information 103

Haydock
4.10 Kodi Lion 101; Lord Bertie 97; Legal Reform 96; Gorak 91
5.20 Padishakh 105; Qazaq 99; God Of War 98; Hot Cash 96; Sir Paul Ramsey 96

Newmarket
3.07 Sterling Knight 106; Sea Baaeed 102; Royal Velvet 100; Jumby 99
4.17 Mister Winston 101; The Fingal Raven 100; Transparent 96

Redcar
3.47 Muker 102; Micheala’s Boy 100; Castan 100; Fluorescence 98

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MONDAY AUGUST 11

Windsor
7.10 Chief Mankato 104; Trefor 101; Havanagreattime 100; Bishop’s Crown 99; Inishfallen 98

TUESDAY AUGUST 12

Hamilton
7.10 Wave Rider 92; Immediate Effect 87; Bubbles Wonky 82

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Another does of the Racing League at Windsor tomorrow, and with a host of Class 2 and 3 handicaps in the last couple of weeks they are struggling to fill those races.

THURSDAY AUGUST 14

Windsor
6.30 Emperor Spirit 98; Blue Day 96; King Of Light 95; Rebel Path 92
7.00 Zapphire 95; Hickory 94; Urban Sprawl 94; Jimmy Speaking 94
7.30 First Officer 105; Secret Beach 100; Scottish Anthem 99; Lieber Power 98; Burj Zabeel 98
8.00 Auld Toon Loon 112; Mirabeau 106; Andaleep 99; Claymore 99; Londoner 99

Salisbury
4.35 Orionis 87; Aiming High 86; Chilli Queen 78

FRIDAY AUGUST 15

Newmarket
7.00 Sterling Kinght 98; Mythical Guest 98; Dark Tornado 95; Rhythm Master 95; Mr Chaplin 95

The thread will take a holiday in early September. We are off to London then the South Coast to catch up with family, but I will take the chance to return to one of my old stomping grounds at Ascot Racecourse on September 5th. A walk up the hill from Ascot station that I haven’t taken for 20+ years!

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SATURDAY AUGUST 16

Newbury
2.25 Faustus 97; Star Chorus 94; Glamorous Breeze 91; Lil Guff 91
3.00 Classic 106; Obelix 103; Leadman 103; Documenting 103
5.20 Organ 97; Fort George 96; Night Step 93

Ripon
3.20 Fivethousandtoone 118; Intervention 113; First Folio 110; Abduction 110; Beyond Borders 108

Newmarket
3.45 Moon Angel 97; Orchard Keeper 90; Tralee Girl 90; Tattycoram 89

Perth
6.07 Here Comes Georgie 143; Mighty Tom 140; Evaluation 139; Fiveonefive 138

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Rather belatedly

SUNDAY AUGUST 17

Pontefract
4.12 Dan Tucker 94; Ventura Express 91; Equity Law 89

..and tomorrow…

MONDAY AUGUST 18

Stratford
3.57 Vintage Fizz 146; Jaramillo 138; Arclight 133; War Lord 133

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TUESDAY AUGUST 19

Kempton
4.00 Cadarn 102; Baldomero 97; Dubai Beach 96; Tadreeb 94

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WEDNESDAY AUGUST 20

York
1.50 Kendall Roy 109; Cuban Grey 109; Marty Hopkirk 107; Squealer 106; Vantheman 106; Tatterstall 104
4.10 Spirit Mixer 110; Artistic Star 109; Align The Stars 109; Almuhit 108; Wise Eagle 107; Artisan Dancer 107
4.45 Forager 109; Eclairage 104; Mademoiselle 104; Fantasy Governor 104; Ruby’s Profit 103; Saratoga Special 102

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A busy day on Thursday with second day of the york meeting and a fully subscribed card of Racing League handicaps at Newcastle.

THURSDAY AUGUST 21

York

3.00 Myal 111; Northern Express 110; Aalto 110; Leadman 108; Sisyphean 107
5.20 Royal Velvet 102; Lady Mariko 99; Shallow 97; Perfect Part 94; Bonus Time 94; Eternal Sunshine 94; Mollie Foster 94

Newcastle
6.15 Per Contra 95; Ribble Vibe 95; Flickering Halo 94; Great Bedwyn 93; Freddy Robinson 93
7.15 Oliver Show 118; Dosman 112; Streets Of Gold 112; Sword 110
8.15 Believe The Storm 97; Nikovo 94; Unassuming 94; Crack On Boys 94; Nyman 94
8.45 Leadenhall Street 110; Scarborough Warning 97; Brighton Boy 94; Zubarj 92

Newton Abbot
4.25 Coastguard Station 137; Finest View 136; Jet of Dreams 136; Centara 133

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A decent meeting at Hamilton on Friday with the Lanark Silver Bell and I was pleasantly surprised to find that my Musselburgh membership gives me a ‘freebie’. Three tightly matched handicaps continue a familiar pattern at York.

FRIDAY AUGUST 22

York
1.50 Chillingham 117; Champagne Prince 111; Naqeeb 109; Insanity 109; Asgard’s Captain 109
4.10 Jujubella 98; Callisto Dream 97; Ciara Pearl 95; Blessed Star 95; Roarin’ Success 94
5.20 Miami Matrix 113; Supido 111; Montpellier 111; Fifth Column 111; Knights Gold 111; Dividend 110; We Dare To Dream 110; Impartiality 110; Point Of Contact 110

Hamilton
6.35 Faylaq 118; Spanish Hustle 107; Sportingsilvermine 103; Defiance 102; La Pulga 102
7.05 Far Above Dream 92; Elegant Erin 91; Water Of Leith 91; Lion’s House 90

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Apologies for missing otu yesterday’s ratings. I had calculated them, but was hit by a rather nasty infection that floored me for the last 2 days. Managed to get my Ebor Competition entry in but then went off to bed.

Goodwood is the main meeting today. Plantadream dcomes out well top, but I’ve put a question mark against his figure as he’s not run since last November when finishing behind Bullet Point, the ‘measure horse’ who has zoomed up the ratings. The rating would have been even higher next week as Bullet Point has gone up again!

SUNDAY AUGUST 24

Goodwood
1.50 Plantadream 113?; Organ 102; Linwood 95; Longlai 95
3.00 Get It 112; Flash Harry 110; Alaskan Gold 108
4.45 Ocean Of Dreams 91; Arkinthestars 85; Wise Counsellor 84
5.20 Aggagio 94; Kitty Foyle 94; Deep Water Bay 82

Yarmouth
3.20 Mesaafi 96; Diomed Duke 96; Kinetic Force 92

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