Quick Amends

[Nathan Hughes]

Hi Bill. either I missed it(blaming painkillers ) or It wasn’t fc fav on the Monday night when I check but ATR changed it when the early prices came out this morning perhaps? I have noticed that especially on a Friday night that some of the next days races don’t have f/cast but best odds available instead.

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[billion]

If you missed it

Nathan

then you did well and so keep taking the pills.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Nathan Hughes]

Thur

6.20 Wolverhampton – Mayoman(6)1LTO 7/4

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[Nathan Hughes]

Thur

6.20 Wolverhampton – Mayoman(6)1LTO 7/4

Running total

+14.00

Fri

5.00 Brighton – Stamford Blue(4)1LTO
5.10 Musselburgh – Dubawi King(6)1LTO 11/4
4.50 Lingfield – Paphos(2)1LTO evens
4.35 Kilbeggan – Gentleman Jeff(5)bf 4/7
5.05 Kilbeggan – Boragh Princess(4)1LTO 5/1

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[billion]

‘morning

Nathan

,

I also got both PAPHOS and STAMFORD BLUE (do not do Irish racing) but then I checked your posted selections and missed DUBAWI KING which is 3fv Racing Post and 2fv Odds Checker and so went back to ATR and once again their prices have been wiped and replaced with latest market prices.

I think the only way anyone can succeed is to do as you have been and remain constant to the one chosen source being your overnight betting forecast or should anyone choose the RP to keep faith with that one method.

I think it is well documented that my preference is to the Odds Checker early market but as I have always maintained it is for the individual to decide what they are comfortable with.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Nathan Hughes]

Nothing runs smoothly does it Bill.

I’m happy to keep the rules I’ve set myself because even for example if I ran though the morning and done the selections and leave out Dubawi King there would still be a possibility he could start fav. Likewise Stamford Blue is the selection on morning price but could drifted and Wooden King becomes fav. If by waiting too close to the off you also would lose out on best odds guaranteed which I think is a key tool for the backer.

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[billion]

Exactly my point

Nathan

.

Remaining constant to your own specific choice of market is always advised and who can argue for change when you are in profit.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Nathan Hughes]

5.00 Brighton – Stamford Blue(4)1LTO
5.10 Musselburgh – Dubawi King(6)1LTO 11/4
4.50 Lingfield – Paphos(2)1LTO evens

1st SP 9/4

4.35 Kilbeggan – Gentleman Jeff(5)bf 4/7

1st SP 9/10

5.05 Kilbeggan – Boragh Princess(4)1LTO 5/1

Running total

+12.65

Sat

3.10 Leopardstown – Hujaylea(6)1LTO 8/1
4.30 Leopardstown – La Chassotte(6)1LTO 13/2
4.25 Stratford – Rebel Dancer(5)1LTO 5/2
5.30 Stratford – Whereveryougoigo(3)1LTO 4/6
9.20 Wolverhampton – Carlton Scroop(3)1LTO 7/4

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[Nathan Hughes]

3.10 Leopardstown – Hujaylea(6)1LTO 8/1

1ST

4.30 Leopardstown – La Chassotte(6)1LTO 13/2
4.25 Stratford – Rebel Dancer(5)1LTO 5/2
5.30 Stratford – Whereveryougoigo(3)1LTO 4/6
9.20 Wolverhampton – Carlton Scroop(3)1LTO 7/4

Running total

+16.65

Sun

1.50 Worcester – Frosted Grape(4)1LTO 11/10
3.10 York – Sunnyside Tom(7)1LTO 5/2
5.00 Fontwell – Play a Cord(6)1LTO 5/1

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[billion]

Seeing your Leopardstown winner yesterday

Nathan

perhaps I should consider Irish racing.

All todays selection were favourites with Odds Checker at the time I looked being the complimentary system check I am running.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Nathan Hughes]

I find the Irish forecast/prices more unreliable but that helps i suppose when they win at 8’s. La Chassotte went off at 9/1 six fav or thereabouts and finished the strongest but had to go around the wide outside to finish 3rd, slightly unlucky with that one.

Might have to change the name of system to quick follow up rather than quick amends as the majority run under 1LTO process.

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[Nathan Hughes]

1.50 Worcester – Frosted Grape(4)1LTO 11/10
3.10 York – Sunnyside Tom(7)1LTO 5/2
5.00 Fontwell – Play a Cord(6)1LTO 5/1

Running total

+13.65

Mon

4.30 Newton Abbot – Tignello(5)bf 2/1
5.30 Newton Abbot – Am I Blue(5)1LTO 8/11
5.50 Newcastle – Clumber Place(7)1LTO 5/1

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[Nathan Hughes]

4.30 Newton Abbot – Tignello(5)bf 2/1

N/R

5.30 Newton Abbot – Am I Blue(5)1LTO 8/11

1ST SP 5/6

5.50 Newcastle – Clumber Place(7)1LTO 5/1

N/R

Running total

+14.48

3.20 Lingfield – Red Oleander(7)bf
2.25 Sedgefield – Sassanian(7)bf 5/4
3.35 Sedgefield – Isle of Inishmore(7)1LTO 6/4
5.20 Sedgefield – Moon Melody(2)1LTO 7/4

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[Nathan Hughes]

3.20 Lingfield – Red Oleander(7)bf

1st 5/4

2.25 Sedgefield – Sassanian(7)bf 5/4

1st

3.35 Sedgefield – Isle of Inishmore(7)1LTO 6/4
5.20 Sedgefield – Moon Melody(2)1LTO 7/4

Running total

+14.98

Wed

4.40 Uttoxeter – Moulin de la Croix(2)1LTO 7/2

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[billion]

The begger fell over

For once serendipity worked in my favour, having bet Frosted Grape LTO I decided to leave the race alone.

I know, when running a system you should never bring your own judgement into play and so I broke the golden rule but at least I never bet against the system.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Nathan Hughes]

When I was going through the cards Frosted Grape was also in the running for selection as bf within 7 days and thought he would be forecasted fav. Never mind though, shame about Moulin de la Croix falling as it looked to be an intriguing finish on the cards.

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[Nathan Hughes]

4.40 Uttoxeter – Moulin de la Croix(2)1LTO 7/2

Running total

+13.98

Thur

5.45 Kempton – True to Form(6)1LTO 1/2
5.05 Bath – Kinigi(6)1LTO 3/1

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