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Pinatubo retired….have put this link in here and Breeders Cup Mile as next race was undecided…..
Sounds like he’s going to the breeders cup though …
“There are pedigree arguments he would go on soft but he has a beautiful action and if we ran him on bottomless ground it would jeopardise him going to the Breeders’ Cup”
Usual mixed messages again from this team….
Balding reported: “We were delighted with his win in the Joel Stakes and that has set him up perfectly in terms of preparation, three weeks before QIPCO British Champions Day. I think he showed his class in the Joel Stakes, beating some very talented older horses – and beating them well.
“After a bit of trial and error, it’s obvious that a mile is his trip. He has that high cruising speed and excellent turn of foot. We go to QIPCO British Champions Day full of hope and optimism as a Guineas winner who still seems to be in great form, even at the end of a long season.”
Couldnt agree more. Rather confusing.
You would expect he would have a better chance of winning the BC Mile (where Palace Pier appears to not be running – again more trainer mixed massages) as opposed to having a tough dust up with Palace Pier and co here.
Perhaps they wish to emulate Roaring Lion who was an impressive winner in the QEII Mile in 2018.
I don’t know what to think really. David Redvers comments seem to suggest he is going to the BC whether he runs at Ascot or not. I hope they don’t actually now, as it’ll be no better than GS at best and that makes him extremely vulnerable to Palace Pier surely. I really fancy him in the US.
Yeah sorry, I meant if he goes straight to the BC fresh youd think he would have a better chance than having a tough battle with Palace Pier at Ascot and then go to the BC a few weeks after (and possibly face PP again)!
Good job we are not trainers
Im not sure they think it matters to him, he has that Roaring Lion type mentality where they can just keep running him and it doesn’t faze him. I’m more concerned from a betting perspective as I’d really want to back him wherever he runs, but I can’t see him beating Palace Pier on GS or S. So I’ll be completely torn!
I’m not sure David Redvers and Andrew Balding are aligned or even get on. They’ve said different things a few times now and I remember they talked about a heated discussion happened in the decision about the Sussex Stakes.
I remember recently how AB was saying how he had never had a Breeders Cup runner which seems quite crazy
I fancy him a lot more for The Balmoral, but I can’t resist a go on Escobar here at 100’s.
Been a bit disappointing this year, he might not get his ground, and the Balmoral looks more sensible, but he’s jocked up here, and though you can’t read too much into that, it offers a wee bit of encouragement.
Certainly saved his best for here last year, so at that price, seems worth a try.
Escobar 100’s EW
Ground Conditions: “We’re soft, heavy in places and we’re due some light rain showers through the night as we’ve a low pressure system circling just to the north east,” said Stickels. “After tomorrow morning I don’t see anything more than an occasional shower through to the weekend.
“There’s still a lot of moisture in the ground from the meeting we lost the other weekend and I imagine it will be predominantly soft with some heavy ground on the round course.”
It’s going to be a bit softer than I thought then, will add Wonderful Tonight as a saver.
Even So 6/1
Wonderful Tonight 4/1 (Saver)Fillies have a very good record in the QEII, 2 x winners, 3 x 3rds, 2 x 4ths in the last 9 years since it started at Ascot.
Turftrax are reporting that there is currently better ground on the standside than far side so they could easily navigate up the stands rail. Nazeef has the plum draw again if so. I’m going Nazeef for the forecast as Palace Pier looks about as solid as you can get.
Palace Pier – Nazeef Straight Forecast 10/1
Antepost
Century Dream 20/1 EW
The Revenant 8/1 EWHoping palace pier hacks up
Think he could be the best horse in training from what we’ve seen
And is still very unexposed so still improving
Expect him to look beaten at half way then whoosh
Don’t bet that short so happy to watch
I think that Palace Pier is a certainty here, but he’s never been a backable price at any time for me.
I was going to give this a miss, but for interest I’ll take Royal Dornoch ew at 80-1 with Bet365 paying 4 places. It’s hard to justify I know, but worth a few pounds.
I like the look of The Revenent at 11/2. I’ll have a few quid there
but I can’t let the 66/1 4 places for Sir Busker go without
having a punt. He may not quite be up to this class, but he will come thundering
though if he gets some daylight in final furlong and has a decent chance of a place,
and with the ground probably sticky, which won’t bother him, you never know.
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