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Nothing major stands out tomorrow.
With the better ground i will have a few plays in the Grade B hurdle
True Self 20/1, out again quickly after Fairyhouse, i woudln’t rule out more improvement from her with better ground and after having had her first run since January. She isn’t a star, but is decent mare in her own right. She’s quite small and i think she will be better once getting a sounder surface.
Probably end up back 2 or 3 in the race, but she’s the one that stands out to me.Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I don’t think Killultagh Vic gave his true running at Cheltenham,
if he’s back on song I think he has a big chance here in the Gold Cup. He’s best
priced 13/2, but like Kev I took the last remaining 10s with Boylesports last night.
(I did put him up at that price in Pat’s ante post thread yesterday)I think Bellshill has a touch of class about him, but I can’t believe that his last
run won’t have left it’s mark. At decent odds, and with a chance of a place at 66/1,
I think Sizing Granite is worth a few quid e/w. He won well at Newbury after
his wind op, and was running on well enough behind Politologue and Min over 2m4f in the
Melling Chase to suggest that this upped distance for the first time might might just eke
a bit more out of him.I like the 3mile novice chase, nice field. I like Invitation Only at 14/1 EW. And at 40/1 EW I will give Dounikos another chance.
Un De Sceaux appeals strongly as an EW. Douvan could get his legs mixed up again and Min had a hard race last time. Un De Sceaux might well be good enough to beat them anyway assuming the ground remains on the easy side. Ran too free at Cheltenham and should be much better suited by the shorter trip in that respect.
Slightly worrying though is it not joe, that doctor phoenix looked to be making a race of it regardless of townends comments, of course that could mean one of a few things, UDS never ran his race, below form or age catching up with him, or doctor phoenix has improved no end to be a mid 160s animal, which i dont think is the case, ill be very, very disappointed if douvan doesnt win this with min in a 5+ length 2nd
If either of the old boys get close, ittl be disappointing, as much as i LOVE uds
Fair point, ham, though I’d say 20f on heavy is probably stretching the horse anyway stamina wise. Showers forecast tomorrow should help him. I wouldn’t want it getting any faster than yielding. He gives himself hard races but -touch wood – seems to have a constitution that can handle it and the Mullins horses seem trained to stand up to a busy time toward the season’s end.
Two in the handicap hurdle I’ve played are Light That 20s & Golden Spear 12s.
Light That second in the race last year off the same mark and I like that Donagh Myler is up for the ride.
Golden Spear got close to Top Othe Ra off 127 when TOR was rated 118, he’s now rated mid 130s. 129 fair, ran well in his prep last month and with a decent claimer up he should run well.
Good luck Kev, especially with Light That, I backed him in it last year, and he ran a decent race.
Good luck Graham with Sizing Granite, added a few myself at 100’s, once General Principle wasn’t going.
The nice big handicap today. Western Boy EW @ 14’s and Housesofparliament EW @ 25’s.
Standing dish this time of year Western Boy and should really of won the Irish Lincoln on the flat on his last run.
With 6 places on offer Housesofparliament is worth a saver. Never had good ground since Galway last year and when 3rd in the St. Leger
Could be absolutely chucked in with a claimer on board today.
GL all
Done some small multiples today. Gone for:
3:40 – Enniskillen @ 13/8
4:20 – Getabird @ 11/10
4:55 – Top Ten @ 10/1
5:30 – Douvan @ 1/1
6:05 – Commander Of Fleet @ 7/2
6:40 – Monalee @ 2/1
7:15 – Barrington Court @ 6/1 (NAP)Good luck all
4.20 Whiskey Sour @ 20/1
4.55 Bunk Off Early @ 14/1
5.30 Un De Sceaux @ 6/1
6.05 Seeyouinvinnys @ 10/1
6.40 Jury Duty @ 14/1What a week of racing we have ahead of us.
Like Enniskillen in the first.
Think Sharjah e/w is a decent shout as he’ll be getting better ground than he’s had before; just hope they didn’t ruin him at Fiaryhouse.
Nessun Dorma e/w at 18/1 in the Handicap Hurdle. Was travelling well behind Low Sun in Fairyhouse and just ran out of steam before falling at the last. He stays on a mark of 132 whereas Low Sun has gone up 8 lbs. Nessun Dorma also ran really well in his few runs last summer on good ground and I have a feeling that it was just too sticky for him at Fairyhouse.
Douvan at Evens for the Champion Chase
Think Positive in the Land Rover Bumper at 4/1
Gonna oppose Al Boum Photo and Monalee in the Novice Chase. Like Rathvinden e/w at 10/1; he’s a 9 year old Novice Chaser having his 11th run over fences; when he has stayed up he has never finished outside of the top 3 and he has done it on all types of ground. 10/1 is huge, I think.
Barrington Court in the last at 6/1
Best of luck, chaps
The handicap is a minefield mainly due to the better ground…there will be a few springers in it i think.
I am going to take a flyer on True Self– I think the better ground will suit her, as shes quite a small mare…at the rescheduled fairyhouse meeting she was in the process of running a fair race, after having been off since January. I think the even better ground here will help her and shes off a nice low weight. No doubt, she hasn’t fantastic form currently but she’s worth a go for me.
The Novice Hurdle is very difficult to weigh up for me. I want to take Getabird on as Giggy/Elliot will do their utmost to disturb his easy lead, and if they can do that, he might end up more like the Cheltenham Getabird. The problem i have is i haven’t a clue what to take him on with. I suppose i could just lay him and have the field vs him, but i can envisage something catching him like Melon last year.
The Champion Chase is very interesting. Probably not a betting race, but i can see UDS being ridden very prominently, setting a nice pace for Douvan and Min. I actually favour the latter as i know what level he can still run to compared to Douvan. The fast pace over 2m is what MIn needs, and his run at Cheltenham was very good, beaten by a superstar. Douvan could well be Altior level, i believe he was, but there’s no certainty he still is. UDS for me on the better going will be caught with a furlong or so to go. If anything is to spring a suprise i think it might be Ordinary World to place.
The Novice Chase is another conundrum. Monalee will appreciate the better ground and easier course, but for me he’s slightly better over shorter. Shattered Love appreciates softer going, but that’s negated by the step back up to 3m. Al Boum Photo, on his form you’d think he appreciates softer going, but he’s only raced on better once. The trip would also be a question mark. For me, the over priced horse is Jury Duty.
The bumpers are watching briefs- Think Positive will be interesting to watch, bare form is nothing, but from Hedger to Mullins?
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Fantastic days racing ahead, the Champion chase in particular could be quite the spectacle and rather than taking a strong view on it i’ve decided to let them run and hope it’s as good as i think it could be, in some of the other races i have had a little go.
4.20
I think Getabird isn’t going to get things all his way today, surely Elliott won’t let it happen? With that and the quicker ground in mind i think he’ll get turned over but by who?
Sharjah, Mengli Khan and Paloma blue all interested me in one way or another but i missed 20’s on Sharjah and think the 14’s is getting a bit short now, the other 2 are 2 horses i really like, Mengli ran a cracker at Cheltenham and arrives here fresher than some others but could find one or 2 too good, Paloma blue is learning how to race bit by bit and if he drifts a little bit to about 6/1 i might have a go but at the minute he’s a no bet but could be a serious chaser next year.
The one i have backed having originally felt might be kept for the Galway hurdle is Whiskey sour. Ran a lovely race in the county and sliced through the field like a very good horse only to find a few longshots too tough to pass on the run in. I think 143 is a very workable mark for this boy and if Willie wanted he could pick up a handicap like todays 4.55 for that 35k so running him here he surely gives him half a chance of picking up the extra 24k for winning this.4.55
An absolute minefield and Mullins topweight Lagostovegas catches the eye straight away but topweight for a mare in a field like this i think will be too tough.
I’ve backed 2 against the field.
Ben Dundee won earlier in the season around Punchestown like a horse with 2 stone in hand off a mark of 120, ran 2 ok races afterwards before running rather disappointingly his 2 most recent runs. He travelled well for a long way in the county but looked like he didn’t pick up in the swamp. Apparently going very nicely at home and has a tongue tie added today, hoping Davy rides him mid-div rather than out the back as we know he stays a bit further.
Ivanovic Gorbatov is my other, “is this guy joking?” i hear you ask!? I certainly am not, he’s been hating the ground all winter and finally gets half decent conditions today, is down to a workable mark and trainer has taken out another potentially well handicapped horse from the race as he knows this boy will go close
I just hope the rain we have further down the country doesn’t make it up that far until after the race
6.40
Monalee far and away the best of these i suspect and 5/2 seems a very good price. I’m nearly getting concerned it’s too good of a price
If i can get a market without him and Dounikos is still a silly price i think he could be worth a little punt, plenty more to come from him than what we’ve seen.Just for some interest betting wise I have backed a few each way today
LIKE THAT 22/1 GRAND PARTNER 22/1 and LOW SUN 12/1
INVITATION ONLY 14/1
MENGHLI KHAN 4/1
TIPPINGAWAYNOW 28/1
DOCTOR PHEONIX 11/1
Good Luck Guys
It is more of a watching brief for me but hey there are some great races to watch What an exciting week ahead. I hope the Champion Chase will prove one of the highlights of the season. If only Altior was there for a Douvan/Min/Special Tiara/Ordinary World rematch with Un de Sceaux and Dr Phoenix thrown into the mix. If Douvan wins this well then a clash next season with Altior would surely be one to savour whatever the race distance.
I do love these end-of-season trainers championship battles. I must admit I’ve got my prize money spreadsheeet ready to go to keep track of developments. Taking best available odds (taken from the Racing Post racecards) and assuming all horses finish in expected order based on these odds, my calculator says Willie would pass Gordon’s earnings by Race 5 on Wednesday!!
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