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Oh sorry about that Maxilon, you never seem to get any luck with your selections (horses and poker lol)!
Profit 14pts
Running Up Bank 122.25ptsCan i stop now before it all goes badly wrong?
2:50A Aside from some small tickles at pricestupid prices a horse I do think has a chance is Orientor. Hes clearly not the force of old, but it was a good effort from him last time and conditions suit today so a good run could be on the cards and his price makes him worth a nibble imo. Hogmaneigh and Green Manalishi could be the two to beat.
1pt ew Orientor @ 22-1
3:25A I´m a sucker for layer friendly unraced maiden races and the logical play is probably to lay the front two win and place but instead I´ve gone for a small bet on Arctic Cape and Crystal Rock at 38 and 50s as they are capable of running well based on breeding (though the betting is a better indicator and says they wont)
Cheeky sod.
I’m told if you get the right subway to live in and a warm blanket, it’s not a bad life. Howard Lederer did it! 
Good luck with the maidens.
As a replacement for my cruelly withdrawn certainty:
4.35 Ascot Mutadarrej. Needs cut and a trip. Pace in the race which will suit this late runner. A twicer – good run expected in sequence. Blinkered first time and J Dunlop is in blinding form. 26 currently available. Will be saving on Noojoom, but none of this one’s relatives have ever won at 1m 4f and it worries me.
Well done with Noojoom Max. Like you I had doubts about stamina on pedigree and gave back a far too big a chunk of my winnings in running as she led on the bridle 2f out.
Cheers lads, very kind.
You had to back the horse on it’s franked Newbury run and red hot connections, but stamina was a big issue and like you, DJ, I didn’t make a great deal.
I’ve been impressed with Pat Dobbs too; slightly disappointing that he’s been jocked off Il Warrd on Wednesday.
Here we go…
Lennox Stakes. Royal Oath Stable won this in 2000 with subsequent QE II winner, Observatory. Hunt Cup winner and G2 placed since blinkered. Fast improving sort, Statesbound, (off to California) and potentially better class. Only Asset is faster on TS ratings. The 3-y-o’s are proving a mixed bunch and I would rather back the solid horses from the Hunt cup over this years Jersey. Could not have Tariq with an enemy’s dough.(13/2)
4.35 Night Hour A more speculative continuation of a hopefully excellent day for Johnny G. Not much to find with the Perrett horse on the Epsom form. Third run back after a break, (injury – promising, well touted ex-Tregoning animal). Conditions fine and a good price expected. Cumani’s animal is niggling at me though, so I’ll have a rare place bet to cover. (12/1)
5.40 Wovoka Well handicapped multiple winner on a roll from a red hot stable. Top jockey on board and tons of speed to run at from off the pace. Will come down the wide outside. Once this one hits form, it stays there until the handicapper stops the train. (10/1)
Goodwood today…
2.15 – Tabadul 1pt e/w (16/1) – 2nd in this race last year, seems to like the Course and should run much better than previous run on the unfavoured soft.
3.25 – Dunelight 2pts e/w (14/1) – Highly impressive win here in listed race in June. Would have been much closer to Cesare in last race had it not been for Echo of Light twice bumping him. If he gets in front he’ll take some catching.
5.40 – Press the Button 1pt e/w – Improving runs recently. Enjoys the course and well drawn to run well.
And some ambitious e/w money on Enodoc (50/1) in the 4.00 and Big Robert (50/1) in the 2.50,
Tuesday 31st
TRANQUIL TIGER Goodwood 2.50
Lightly raced, improvement likely. Although R Hughes picks Raincoat as his ride. So thats two positives.
1pt e/w 12/1 blsq
Prominent early but well beaten.
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KASUMI Goodwood 5.40
Running well this term. May figure at a big price.
1pt e/w 16/1 gen.
Led from 3fs out, headed last 50yards, 2nd.
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Bank = 115.8pts
P/L = +15.8ptsGood place from DJ Gas and a good place, (unlucky, really), from Heffo.
A horrible – and very expensive – day for me, best forgotten. Tomorrow’s Pricestupids:
2.50 Il Warrd. Currently considered the best Kingsdown 2-y-o. Highly impressive at Ascot. Stable has recently won this race with Ekraar and the great Sir Percy. Marcus Tregoning’s old boss WR Hern won it with top rated 2-y-o Alhaarth in 1995. (Including this horse the stable have run five colts in twelve years and three have won). A respected ratings site has this top rated. At 6/1 this is the best bet of the meeting.
5.10 Lille Ida. Tregoning again. Stable won this three times in three years at the turn of the Millennium. Trainer is fond of her and states she has “improved markedly” for her debut and that she is a “smart filly in the making”. That will do for me. A shortish one at 4/1.
I will backing Raffaas in the BGC Handicap – along with ten other horses.
(This fascinating race is worth it’s own competition!)Good luck.
Btw, Heffo, apologies for the apparent short prices infesting the last post. Please feel free to make a dig about favourite backing.
(Need a day of the obvious after yesterday).
No prob with 4/1 or 6/1 shots Max
. There have been a few tips on this thread at prices like 5/4 7/4 etc. Sort of defeats the purpose of this thread imo. I’m not against backing a winner at any price mind you but these sort of selections look a bit out of place.
Not that it upsets me or anything, not a crisis like say being under 20ft of water.Not sure if this is allowed lol but….
2:50 Goodwood
On Betfair Rio De Lat Plata is 1-3 to place. Worth a 3pt lay at that price in my book because with only 2 places I dont think thats a fair price its far too short.
4.00 Aegean Prince. Someone cannot read a formbook. I’ve just taken 190 on a horse that beat the brilliant Zaham at Sandown. The colt is out of the handicap, granted, but it’s no 190 chance.
Reasoning: He’s drawn 17 from a stable who have won this before and was unlucky on the last visit to Goodwood when well fancied over track and trip. (9/2 – Spotlight overlooks this entirely). He travelled well throughout the race, appearing to handle the track until being blocked in his run. He acts on any ground except heavy. Stable is in reasonable form. His draw gets better the more the ground dries.
The odds are against a shock win, but that price was far too big. Stupid almost.
I’m also going to back Halicarnassus in this race at 40 if I can get it, (backed tonight at shorter, small). On balance, I would not be surprised to see the Johnston horse, Hearthstead Maison, hack up off top weight. His form with Aqaleem is proving top notch and his handicap form was boosted yesterday by Man of Vision, (same stable as Halicarnassus). Johnston has an excellent track record in the race and the stable enjoyed a back to form double today.I can’t let a Tregoning runner at the Glorious meeting go unbacked so a few quid will be thrown in Rayhani’s direction. He appears fancied.
However, it’s not going well for either the stable or my good self. Il Warrd ran inexplicably badly in the Vintage, (though the colt wouldn’t have won) and Lille Ida was a total disappointment for everyone concerned,(heavily backed).
To top it all Dwyer rode an uninspired race on the well backed Raffaas and the Scouse jockey continues his losing run for the yard. Time to give Pat Dobbs more chances?
Good luck.
Good luck Max, my flukey run has well and truly ended lol.
Daily Profit -1pt
Running Up Bank 119.25pts7:30 Sandown — Jeremy Noseda’s horses are in good form at the moment and I like the chances of Ballroom Dancer in this race. He was all out to win his maiden last time but the form of that race has worked out well including the performance of the horse he only just beat ( Medicea Sidera ) who went on to finish 6th from a poor draw in a decent hcap at the July Newmarket meeting off a mark of 79 and then won a maiden race at Newmarket.
A lot of the horses in this race look exposed or hcapd to their limit and racing off a mark of 80, I think the lightly raced Ballroom Dancer has a good chance at odds of 8/1 and likes to race prominently which suits Sandown.
The favorite is the Stoute trained Jamboretta who has scope for improvement but is no value imo.
I’m told if you get the right subway to live in and a warm blanket, it’s not a bad life. Howard Lederer did it! 
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