NH horses to follow 2013-14

[TheBluesBrother]

Down Royal 1/11/2013

:
So after I adjusted the speed figure for

The King Of Brega

due to the quick conditions I ended up with a figure of

118

which puts him approx

24lbs

ahead of his official mark of

94

, the official handicapper this morning must be spitting feathers after only putting him up

13lbs

for his

Thurles

win.

The handicapper put up

The King Of Brega

by

23lbs

to a new official mark of

117

, that’s

36lbs

in two runs

[thehorsesmouth]

Another one for Gigginstown,

Wrath Of Titans

, runs in the bumper at Thurles today. He’s move from Gordon Elliott to Dessie Hughes since finishing second to Moyle Park in the Land Rover and will be interesting to see how he goes today. I’d like to think he’ll win well and have taken 4/5.

[thehorsesmouth]

Wrath Of Titans

was made to work hard but got the job done thankfully. Looks to have a good attitude.

_______________________________________________________________

This weekend’s racing in Ireland is the best on these shores so far this season imo. So many promising horses declared to run with a few confirmed "top top" ones.

NAAS SATURDAY

Diakali runs in a Grade 3 two mile 4 yo hurdle. He’s a likable horse who battleswell, be interesting to see if he can concede weight to his three rivals here, particularly Mr Fiftyone who won easily in Fairyhouse on Wednesday.

Turnandgo runs in the third race, a two mile maiden hurdle, and he’s the one I’m most looking forward to tomorrow. There are some promising horses up against him, such as The Tullow Tank, but he should win. Irish Racing have made an error with his forecast price of 5/2 imo, doubt he’ll be that sort of price.

The 2.00 is a beginners’ chase of 2m 3f, featuring Road To Riches, You Must Know Me, Golanbrook, Operating among others. Plenty of winners sure to come out of this race.

There could be a good clash in the bumper with Noel Meade’s Gigginstown-owned Wounded Warrior (a full brother to Sword Of Destiny) up against Shaneshill representing Willie Mullins and the Wylies. Irish Racing have both forecast at 6/1, strongly doubt that will happen.

NAVAN SUNDAY

The second racecould be a cracker, even with only four runners. No disrespect to King Of The Picts but I think this is a match between Very Wood and Minella Foru. Given that IR have the former at 13/20 and the latter at 5/1 I know which one I’d be backing. If Minella Foru is 5/1 I’ll eat my hat. And then I’ll back him. I reckon Very Wood will be fav alright but there won’t be that much of a difference between them.

Rule The World takes on the evergreen Captain Cee Bee over 2m 4f in the Lismullen Hurdle. Captain Cee Bee was impressive last time out but I’d be hoping Rule The World, a live outsider for the World Hurdle, will continue on an upward curve and take this.

Flemenstar returns in the Fortria, which he won last year. There are only three horses in opposition: Days Hotel, Realt Mór and Rubert.

The two mile beginners’ chase, like the beginners’ on the Naas card, should produce winners galore. Marlbrook was hugely impressive winning his maiden hurdle in March and he has a big reputation. It’s impossible to know how good he is. Some Tikket has shown excellent form left handed and is a horse I’m hoping could become Grade 1 material. Throw in Minsk, Princeton Plains and Miley Shah and we’ve a serious race. If Some Tikket is 6/1 (Irish Racing) then he’ll do for me, although I’d be afraid of Marlbrook who could be anything.

LIMERICK SUNDAY

The only horse who interests me here is The Paparazzi Kid in the 2m 3f beginners’ chase. He’s forecast at 7/1 which would be Christmas come early.

[thehorsesmouth]

Wrath Of Titans

was made to work hard but got the job done thankfully. Looks to have a good attitude.

_______________________________________________________________

This weekend’s racing in Ireland is the best on these shores so far this season imo. So many promising horses declared to run with a few confirmed "top top" ones.

NAAS SATURDAY

Diakali runs in a Grade 3 two mile 4 yo hurdle. He’s a likable horse who battleswell, be interesting to see if he can concede weight to his three rivals here, particularly Mr Fiftyone who won easily in Fairyhouse on Wednesday.

Turnandgo runs in the third race, a two mile maiden hurdle, and he’s the one I’m most looking forward to tomorrow. There are some promising horses up against him, such as The Tullow Tank, but he should win. Irish Racing have made an error with his forecast price of 5/2 imo, doubt he’ll be that sort of price.

The 2.00 is a beginners’ chase of 2m 3f, featuring Road To Riches, You Must Know Me, Golanbrook, Operating among others. Plenty of winners sure to come out of this race.

There could be a good clash in the bumper with Noel Meade’s Gigginstown-owned Wounded Warrior (a full brother to Sword Of Destiny) up against Shaneshill representing Willie Mullins and the Wylies. Irish Racing have both forecast at 6/1, strongly doubt that will happen.

NAVAN SUNDAY

The second racecould be a cracker, even with only four runners. No disrespect to King Of The Picts but I think this is a match between Very Wood and Minella Foru. Given that IR have the former at 13/20 and the latter at 5/1 I know which one I’d be backing. If Minella Foru is 5/1 I’ll eat my hat. And then I’ll back him. I reckon Very Wood will be fav alright but there won’t be that much of a difference between them.

Rule The World takes on the evergreen Captain Cee Bee over 2m 4f in the Lismullen Hurdle. Captain Cee Bee was impressive last time out but I’d be hoping Rule The World, a live outsider for the World Hurdle, will continue on an upward curve and take this.

Flemenstar returns in the Fortria, which he won last year. There are only three horses in opposition: Days Hotel, Realt Mór and Rubert.

The two mile beginners’ chase, like the beginners’ on the Naas card, should produce winners galore. Marlbrook was hugely impressive winning his maiden hurdle in March and he has a big reputation. It’s impossible to know how good he is. Some Tikket has shown excellent form left handed and is a horse I’m hoping could become Grade 1 material. Throw in Minsk, Princeton Plains and Miley Shah and we’ve a serious race. If Some Tikket is 6/1 (Irish Racing) then he’ll do for me, although I’d be afraid of Marlbrook who could be anything.

LIMERICK SUNDAY

The only horse who interests me here is The Paparazzi Kid in the 2m 3f beginners’ chase. He’s forecast at 7/1 which would be Christmas come early.

7/1 was Hans Christian Andersen stuff, went off 9/10 and won easily.

[TheBluesBrother]

The performance that caught my eye yesterday was

Next Sensation

who ran in the 1.45 at

Newcastle

.

Put up

13lbs

for his win at

Plumpton

to a new mark of

118

he simply routed the field, I had his performance yesterday on the clock

11lbs

ahead of his official handicap of

118

on

129

, he can be assessed even higher.

The going allowance for Newcastle was

+0.02s/f

(good)

[thehorsesmouth]

Middling card at Fairyhouse tomorrow but a few nice horses running all the same.

Gordon Elliott’s

Cause Of Causes

runs in a Grade B handicap chase worth over thirty grand. His runs over fences have been well below what he’s done over hurdles but he’s been flying home at the finish in a number of these races if you know what I mean. Not sure when his day will come but it’s likely there will be

a

day.

Some Tikket

and

Foxrock

go head to head in a 2m 5f beginners’ chase. I had a right cut at Some Tikket last time out but he fell at the last when challenging for the lead. The Shepherd King won that day and he goes in the same race as Cause Of Causes. Foxrock is a really likable animal, last seen staying on strongly over 2m 3f behind Road To Riches. Both will be 3m chasers in time I would think, should be a good race tomorrow. Willie Mullins’

Touch The Eden

will probably be popular with punters, last season finishing fourth behind Bright New Dawn.

The most interesting runner on the card is

Flat Out

, who was last seen taking a fall when going very well in a Grade 1 novice chase at Leopardstown in January 2011. I’d given up hope on seeing him again so it was a nice surprise to see his name on the card. He runs in a 2m handicap hurdle where

Captain Cee Bee

is top weight.

There’s a couple of interesting ones in the 2m 4f handicap hurdle too.

Presenting Beara

improved for the step up in trip when winning in a photo last time at Punchestown, while

Líon Na Bearnaí

‘s hurdle rating is some 45 lbs below his chase rating

[thehorsesmouth]

Here’s the declarations for Sunday’s Grade 3 Juvenila Hurdle and the three Grade 1’s.

FAIRYHOUSE, Sunday, 1st December 2013 Listing generated on 29-NOV-13 at 10:43
(12:10) 325A Bar One Racing Juvenile 3-Y-O H’dle (Grade 3) €17,875.00 ( 2m – 3yo )[MAX 25]
No Horse Owner Trainer Rider Wgt
1

Authorative

Miss Rita Shah (POBrady) . 10,09
2

Clarcam

(FR) Gigginstown House Stud (GElliott) Davy Russell(T) 10,09
3

Diesel Ten

Miss Rita Shah (POBrady) Mark Bolger 10,09
4

Elishpour

Barry Connell (AJMartin) . 10,09
5

Gerdago

Raymond Doyle (KJCondon) Bryan Cooper(T) 10,09
6

Noble Inn

(FR) M.J. Mulvaney (WPMullins) Paul Townend 10,09
7

Sin Miedo

John Harrington (MrsJHarrington) .(C) 10,09
8

Analifet

(FR) Gigginstown House Stud (WPMullins) RWalsh 10,06

FAIRYHOUSE, Sunday, 1st December 2013 Listing generated on 29-NOV-13 at 10:43
(12:40) 325B Bar One Racing Royal Bond Novice H’dle (Grade 1) €48,750.00 ( 2m – 4yo+ )[MAX 25]
No Horse Owner Trainer Rider Wgt
1

Gilt Shadow

David Gordon Roberts (SRBCrawford) MrSCrawford 11,10
2

Somethingwonderful

(116) Gigginstown House Stud (DTHughes) Bryan Cooper 11,10
3

The Tullow Tank

(135) Barry Connell (PFenton) Danny Mullins 11,10
4

Alonso

(SPA) Andrea Wylie (WPMullins) . 11,07
5

Arctic Fire

(GER)(135) Wicklow Bloodstock Limited (WPMullins) .(H) 11,07
6

Minella Foru

(135) John P. McManus (EPHarty) . 11,07
7

Mr Fiftyone

(132) David Bobbett (MrsJHarrington) Barry Geraghty 11,07
8

Renneti

(FR) Mrs S Ricci (WPMullins) . 11,07
9

Very Wood

(FR)(135) Gigginstown House Stud (NMeade) Davy Russell 11,07
10

Gambling Girl

(133) River Racing Partnership (MrsJHarrington) Robbie Power 11,00

FAIRYHOUSE, Sunday, 1st December 2013 Listing generated on 29-NOV-13 at 10:43
(1:10) 325C Bar One Racing Drinmore Novice S’chase (Grade 1) €48,750.00 ( 2m 4f – 4yo+ )[MAX 18]
No Horse Owner Trainer Rider Wgt
1

Art Of Logistics

(138) Munnelly Support Services Ltd (DTHughes) Bryan Cooper 11,10
2

Carlingford Lough

(150) John P. McManus (JEKiely) APMcCoy 11,10
3

Clar Na Mionn

(131) Sean O’Brien (VTO’Brien) APHeskin 11,10
4

Don Cossack

(GER)(147) Gigginstown House Stud (GElliott) Davy Russell 11,10
5

Road To Riches

Gigginstown House Stud (NMeade) . 11,10
6

Sizing Rio

(145) Ann & Alan Potts Partnership (Hde Bromhead) AELynch 11,10

FAIRYHOUSE, Sunday, 1st December 2013 Listing generated on 29-NOV-13 at 10:43
(2:15) 325D Bar One Racing Hatton’s Grace H’dle (Grade 1) €52,000.00 ( 2m 4f – 4yo+ )[MAX 25]
No Horse Owner Trainer Rider Wgt
1

Dedigout

(150) Gigginstown House Stud (AJMartin) Bryan Cooper(T) 11,10
2

Jezki

(161) John P. McManus (MrsJHarrington) . 11,10
3

Rule The World

(GB)(152) Gigginstown House Stud (MFMorris) Davy Russell 11,10
4

Zaidpour

(FR)(155) Mrs S Ricci (WPMullins) .(C) 11,10
5

Diakali

(FR)(145) Wicklow Bloodstock Limited (WPMullins) .(H) 11,06

[stilvi]

Some Tikket

and

Foxrock

go head to head in a 2m 5f beginners’ chase. I had a right cut at Some Tikket last time out but he fell at the last when challenging for the lead. The Shepherd King won that day and he goes in the same race as Cause Of Causes. Foxrock is a really likable animal, last seen staying on strongly over 2m 3f behind Road To Riches. Both will be 3m chasers in time I would think, should be a good race tomorrow. Willie Mullins’

Touch The Eden

will probably be popular with punters, last season finishing fourth behind Bright New Dawn.

See Foxrock priced up around 7/4. Personally, I wouldn’t touch it at 4/1. I like the horse but consistently running over the wrong trip and being ridden for pace by a 7lb claimer.

[thehorsesmouth]

Agree Stilvi, nice horse but too short in the betting and I’d have concerns about the ground too.

It’s hard to see any value in that race. I like Some Tikket but have reservations about the ground and going right handed.

Any of those or the likes of Touch The Eden, Operating, Mullanaghoe River or Rye Martini cold realistically win. Not even tempted to back anything each way, what with 17 runners and 3 places, looks a race to avoid altogether!

[stilvi]

A really average ride yet again. As with The Tullow Tank the horse has got both jockey and punters out of trouble. Decent jock would have won that with relative comfort. As it is the horse has had a harder race than should have been required.

[thehorsesmouth]

Felix Yonger

takes on

Trifolium

in a four runner novice chase at Navan tomorrow.

Faugheen

declared elsewhere on the card, not much opposition to him however.

[thehorsesmouth]

NAVAN SATURDAY

12.15 Maiden Hurdle

JP McManus has no fewer than seven horses entered in this, expect to see four or five held up for late runs The market is likely to revolve around Willie Mullins’ newcomer

Vautour

and the Dessie Hughes horse,

Lieutenant Colonel

. These Ricci / Gigginstown head to heads are becoming more regular and it’s an interesting sideshow to the racing itself. Lieutenant Colonel showed a good attitude to gain a narrow win in a Punchestown bumper for which there were a number of horses well fancied. There’s been good word for Vautour though and I’d give him the nod.

Irish Racing website forecast prices: Vautour 5/2, Lieutenant Colonel 5/1… No chance, suspect Vautour in particular will be a lot shorter.

12.45 Mares’ Maiden Hurdle

Could be another on for Mullins here, this time for Gigginstown.

Urticaire

won five bumpers in France and will probably be favourite. Aidan O’Brien runs Beach Of Falesa, who’s rated 98 on the flat so will no doubt be popular.

IR: Beach Of Falesa 5/2, Urticaire 4/1… Urticaire definitely too big here.

1.15 Novice Hurdle

Faugheen

runs here and I’ll be gutted if he gets beaten, actually I’ll be disappointed if he doesn’t win easily – I think he’s an exceptional talent. He’ll probably be very short

Empire Of Dirt

looks the main opposition. He ran well behind Apache Stronghold at the same venue two weeks ago.

No forecast prices for the rest of the card yet…

2.20 Novice Chase

A small field here, three of which are trained by WP Mullins. The Paparazzi Kid and Passage Vendome are decent horses but this is likely to go to either

Felix Yonger

or

Trifolium

. I thought the latter could be an Arkle horse last season, he had his problems but was very impressive on his reappearance. However, Felix Yonger beat a very good horse in Defy Logic at Punchestown and I’m a big fan. My fancy for the Jewson, I hope he wins tomorrow.

3.30 Bumper

Sizing Brisbane

was hot favourite when getting turned over at Punchestown in February, he could be worth giving another chance.

[stilvi]

NAVAN SATURDAY

12.15 Maiden Hurdle

JP McManus has no fewer than seven horses entered in this, expect to see four or five held up for late runs The market is likely to revolve around Willie Mullins’ newcomer

Vautour

and the Dessie Hughes horse,

Lieutenant Colonel

. These Ricci / Gigginstown head to heads are becoming more regular and it’s an interesting sideshow to the racing itself. Lieutenant Colonel showed a good attitude to gain a narrow win in a Punchestown bumper for which there were a number of horses well fancied. There’s been good word for Vautour though and I’d give him the nod.

Irish Racing website forecast prices: Vautour 5/2, Lieutenant Colonel 5/1… No chance, suspect Vautour in particular will be a lot shorter.

Rather more runners than I would ideally like to see but I will be keeping an eye on Noble Endeavour who cost a few Euros and is a full brother to the promising but ill-fated Benign Dictator from the family of Mole Board. Perhaps a surprise given the pedigree that he isn’t starting off in a bumper.

[thehorsesmouth]

I’ll keep an eye on him Stilvi… 27 runners

Faugheen 1/2, don’t expect that to last long!

Double with Felix Yonger pays 6/4.

Felix is 4/6 which is probably about right, I wouldn’t have him any bigger though. I think Faugheen should be 1/4 so the double appeals as I don’t want to lump on a 1/2 shot.

[thehorsesmouth]

Faugheen 1/3 now already.

[thehorsesmouth]

NAVAN SATURDAY

12.15 Maiden Hurdle

JP McManus has no fewer than seven horses entered in this, expect to see four or five held up for late runs The market is likely to revolve around Willie Mullins’ newcomer

Vautour

and the Dessie Hughes horse,

Lieutenant Colonel

. These Ricci / Gigginstown head to heads are becoming more regular and it’s an interesting sideshow to the racing itself. Lieutenant Colonel showed a good attitude to gain a narrow win in a Punchestown bumper for which there were a number of horses well fancied. There’s been good word for Vautour though and I’d give him the nod.

Irish Racing website forecast prices: Vautour 5/2, Lieutenant Colonel 5/1… No chance, suspect Vautour in particular will be a lot shorter.

12.45 Mares’ Maiden Hurdle

Could be another on for Mullins here, this time for Gigginstown.

Urticaire

won five bumpers in France and will probably be favourite. Aidan O’Brien runs Beach Of Falesa, who’s rated 98 on the flat so will no doubt be popular.

IR: Beach Of Falesa 5/2, Urticaire 4/1… Urticaire definitely too big here.

1.15 Novice Hurdle

Faugheen

runs here and I’ll be gutted if he gets beaten, actually I’ll be disappointed if he doesn’t win easily – I think he’s an exceptional talent. He’ll probably be very short

Empire Of Dirt

looks the main opposition. He ran well behind Apache Stronghold at the same venue two weeks ago.

No forecast prices for the rest of the card yet…

Still needs to improve his jumping but it was an improvement on the first day and he looks to have a massive engine. Very happy with him. Empire Of Dirt was a good second.

2.20 Novice Chase

A small field here, three of which are trained by WP Mullins. The Paparazzi Kid and Passage Vendome are decent horses but this is likely to go to either

Felix Yonger

or

Trifolium

. I thought the latter could be an Arkle horse last season, he had his problems but was very impressive on his reappearance. However, Felix Yonger beat a very good horse in Defy Logic at Punchestown and I’m a big fan. My fancy for the Jewson, I hope he wins tomorrow.

3.30 Bumper

Sizing Brisbane

was hot favourite when getting turned over at Punchestown in February, he could be worth giving another chance.

[thehorsesmouth]

I’ll keep an eye on him Stilvi… 27 runners

Faugheen 1/2, don’t expect that to last long!

Double with Felix Yonger pays 6/4.

Felix is 4/6 which is probably about right, I wouldn’t have him any bigger though. I think Faugheen should be 1/4 so the double appeals as I don’t want to lump on a 1/2 shot.

SP’s of 1/9 and 1/2, I got the value and the win

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