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National Hunt Chase 2021

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Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 126 total)
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  • #1514802
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16034

    This has to be a serious target for Escaria Ten.

    Decent run today at Thurles, and seriously considered him at 50’s before the off. Didn’t get a sniff of it during the race, as Bet365 withdrew him in running, and then missed the 33’s as well, other than in a few multis I had built.

    If I want him in a single now, he’s best priced 20’s.

    I think that’s a fair price still, but I’m trying my hardest not to have too many here. Seriously thinking about it though. I’d like a decent NRNB price though.

    #1514935
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Bit of a stretch (in more ways than one) but I’ve added Chantry House for this at 25/1. It’s no secret that this season’s novice chasers are a fine bunch and, given his below par effort the last day, it might be fair to think Shishkin, Envoi Allen, Monkfish and now Allart might want to be avoided.

    While almost doubling the trip of last year’s Supreme third may be unheard-of, his class may be enough to see him home under a coaxing Derek O’Connor ride.

    #1514940
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3940

    Wow Tom that’s certainly outside the box lol.

    Not only is he a massive price to end up here, he’s a massive price to be a competitive given Nicky’s sketchy record with chasers over a long trip (don’t have the figures in front of me, but remember it being highlighted for Ok Corral’s participation).

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1514945
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    It certainly is Jack, although when you weigh up where his best chance of winning might be given the four novice chase options, this may well be it. On the flip side of that of course this may be his least likely destination, although at 25/1 I don’t mind tossing a couple of coppers at it :unsure:

    #1515217
    Avatar photoGladiateur
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6694

    Surely If The Cap Fits has to go here after today’s performance? Looked like he wants 6 miles plus, even given the caveat that he was on a relatively speedy track.

    Waiting for him to be priced up.

    #1516643
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9601

    Cashed out Latest Exhibition. May lose the cash out option when it goes NRNB so had to make a decision.

    #1516676
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Still having crazy thoughts about Chantry House ending up here. Could really see him doing a Minella Rocco, ending up at Ascot for the Reynoldstown and steaming home late before letting Derek lob along on him over the further trip in March. Am I mad?

    #1516685
    PigsInBlankets
    Participant
    • Total Posts 94

    6s available on Latest Exhibition NRNB Mike, which seems a fair price; can see him being shorter if he goes in this.

    #1516692
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9601

    Cheers PIB but having to cash out at 25s, thinking he will more likely go RSA,and on Galvin at 14s. All these things considered I’m in no rush to back him at that price.

    #1516702
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6658

    Hed beat galvin out of sight if turning up i reckon

    6s nrnb is probably twice what he should be

    #1516705
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9601

    Out of sight in a NH Chase against an Elliott hotpot? That’s a bold statement. :-)

    #1516711
    FrankieMac
    Participant
    • Total Posts 187

    Not much doubt in my mind that LE is the better horse. Whether Galvin is better suited to the trip and style of running the NHC provides is another matter.

    I think there’s value in a 6/1 NRNB price but I’m not interested in tying up money now to find out.

    #1516716
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9601

    I think Galvin is being underestimated a little bit. He ran Imperial Aura to 3 and a quarter lengths in a speed contest and that horse is currently a 163 horse with a possibility to go even higher after Cheltenham. With the promise of a trip that is going to suit (don’t see why the trainer has put him away for this if not), then whoever beats an on form Galvin would have to run to a high number for a NH Chase.

    #1516718
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6658

    The way galvin travelled and ran in that 2m4f handicap is what gives me huge doubts about him in this

    Id be dubious about him settling well enough to stay the 3m6f

    Can see him overacing early and something outstaying him

    Be interesting to see what mullins is going to run

    #1516721
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9601

    Tbf he’s run over 3 miles since then and he wasn’t stopping. Will see if anything of grade 1 calibre turns up.

    #1516723
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6658

    Patrick does like to steal a potential RSA runner

    #1517046
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    Dickie Diver 33/1. Great comeback run staying on nicely and jumping pretty well for debuting in a handicap. He has the backform that if he’s targeted here he’d be a short price. JP likes one in this and he doesn’t have much else for it.

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 126 total)
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