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Expecting entries soon, but couple of firms already got a few priced up…..
https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/irish-grand-national/winner
Of those quoted, I’d be interested in two of them, at this stage anyway, Screaming Colours, and Time To Get Up.
Screaming Colours looks more of an EW type, but with that in mind, the current 25’s looks fair.
Time To Get Up looks to have a big chance in The Kim Muir, but also holds an entry in The Midlands National. I’d be very interested in him here, even if he ran well at Cheltenham, he’d be very high on the shortlist, and I’d be sure he’ll get an entry. I’d be less keen should he come here via Uttoxeter.
There’s a few I’m looking to see get an entry, namely…..
Andy Dufresne
Janidil
Lord Royal
Ontheropes
School Boy Hours
Stones and RosesI’d be very keen on Stones and Roses, but realistically, time is running out for him to qualify, while same applies to School Boy Hours. He’d have to run well at Naas next week, and it does look a strong renewal of The Leinster National. My fancy for that race is Lord Royal, and I’m hoping he can advertise his claims there.
Andy Dufresne looks like he wants stepping up to me, but I’m not convinced connections would agree with that.
That leaves me with Janidil and Ontheropes. Providing all is well with the pair of them, they’d make plenty of appeal right now.
Early Shortlist
Janidil
Ontheropes
Time To Get UpI saw a quote from Paul Nolan saying he was considering running latest exhibition here
Yes i heard it mentioned ff91. Also thought he might end up in a Powers GC though.
Tom Mullins has said Cheltenham is too much hassle and Court Maid is going here. Now off 152 for a mare she’s not especially well treated, but she is proven over a marathon trip and at the track. Hopefully teh ground will be decent and that’s perfect for her. Cheltenham came too soon and a line can be put through that.
the issue is obviously 152 is a hefty mark, but it’s the plan and she’s 25/1.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Time To Get Up now a short priced favourite for Uttoxeter, but I just get the feeling he’ll head here.
I’ll watch for the Decs on Thursday for Uttoxeter, as I might just take that 14’s. I think we might just see him here.
Time To Get Up heads for Uttoxeter right enough, so this must look unlikely.
I thought that Dallas Des Pictons was a real eyecatcher at Cheltenham, and I’d be very interested in him now. Right on to the shortlist.
I was quite sure Minella Times was going to come here, but the money coming in for him in the Grand National seems to suggest otherwise. Has anything been said/hinted about his target? JP already has a very strong hand for Aintree, I just wonder if he’ll send one or two here instead?
Entries…….
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/182/fairyhouse/2021-04-05/780946
Pleased to see Time To Get Up amongst the entries, but surely unlikely that he’ll run.
He’s the only one of the early shortlist to get an entry, so time for another look.
The De Bromhead horses all likely to be popular, and his Latest Exhibition heads the market. I can’t argue with that, though Spyglass Hill looks equally interesting.
Usual strong entry….
Tiger Roll – I was definitely among the doubters, and I was comfortable that his best days were behind him. Not a bit of it, and he was a joy to watch last week. If this is seriously the plan, then being the best horse in the field, it would be stupid to dismiss. Maybe not one for Antepost though, with The Aintree Bowl being suggested as his next run. 16’s
Acapella Bourgeois – 7lbs higher for his third here two years back, but I can see this being the target, Mullins really takes this seriously, and he’s in decent firm. Definitely worth considering 16’s
Galvin – Long time favourite of mine, who’s more than capable of landing this. He’s always looked like a Graded horse to me, and he finally delivered last week. More than good enough to take this, even off the revised mark, but I get the feeling that Aintree will be the long term plan, and winning this wouldn’t help his chances. Huge player if this is the plan 16’s
Pencilfulloflead – Very promising novice, who looks to have a very big future. Probably has a number of spring options, but just has to be taken seriously, and this race looks ideal 16’s
Champagne Classic – A proper favourite, smashing horse, but he’s been frustrating to follow, being so injury prone. Impossible to recommend Antepost, not that that tends to stop me, but should he live up on the day, he is very definitely one to consider. With a run under his belt, I would’ve been particularly keen 25’s
Escaria Ten – Very progressive type, who’ll surely have a massive 2021/22. Not sure if this is part of their long term plan, but I think he’ll turn out to be very, very good 16’s
Off You Go – Put him up as one to follow tail end of last year, and had to watch as he won at Leopardstown in a very hot race. Won’t want to make that mistake again, and I’d have no hesitation recommending here stepping up in trip 16’s
Lord Royal – Bit of a disappointment at Cheltenham, but he’s surely better than that, and maybe worth a second chance. He’s got a couple of runs that would give him a chance here. There is no way he’ll be a price like this if he goes 33’s
The Long Mile – Going the right way, and I’m hoping the right way leads him to Aintree, but I’ve a feeling that this is where he’ll end up. Not out of it, but has to step up 33’s
Longhouse Poet – I really like his profile for this, and he’s very high on the shortlist. Very obvious contender, having taken care of Run Wild Fred and The Big Dog when last seen in December, and massive player off a lenient looking mark. He’s got to better than that, and looks way ahead of the handicapper 14’s
Koshari – Doesn’t look the most obvious, and flipping in The Coral Cup wouldn’t scream “Irish National”, but I’m no convinced that this won’t be considered for him. Interesting entry, and I’ll be watching the market, as I’m itching to chance that 33’s
Ten Ten – Notebook horse of mine, who’s finally going the right way, and has a big prize in him. Not certain to get in, and this might be too soon, but a smart horse at best.
Sempo – He’s caught the eye more than once this winter, and I don’t think we’ve seen the best of him over fences. Fight to get in, but looks a horse to consider this Spring, wherever he goes 33’s
That takes it down to 60 on the list. I’ll stick with Time To Get Up for now, but I’ll be looking for another Antepost for sure, given the doubts around his participation.
All the above considered.
Champagne Classic would be bet if I knew he was fit, while Galvin and Escaria Ten might not have this as priority. Likewise Tiger Roll.
I’ll leave alone for now, but….
Acapella Bourgeois
Koshari
Longhouse Poet
Pencilfulloflead….all particularly interesting.
That’s fortunate that Denise Foster has the same mentality as Gordon Elliot by having over twenty horses declared!!!
Like quite a few of these
My shortlist of 4 would be
Latest exhibition
Longhouse poet
Run wild fred
SempoI will back a combination of those depending on price/what turns up
I’m convinced sempo is a plot job and will improve dramatically when money is applied
Shortlist for me is long.
The one i’ve made a case for already and would be interested in still is Court Maid.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Yeah, my shortlist a wee bit out of control too Jack. I’ve a bit of cheek calling it a shortlist.
Time To Get Up was obviously an unlikely one, and that was confirmed by Frank Berry today. No regrets though, as I was more comfortable having him covered with a small bet.
I’ve had a small bet also on Koshari. He would surely be in the “unlikely” category along with Time To Get Up, but if he did go, I could see him being popular. Every intention to top up, if he survives tomorrow’s declaration stage, and he gets no other entries.
I’ve had a bigger bet on Ten Ten. 25’s is big, and I’ve had a decent swing at it. I can see him getting gambled, and should that be the case, I’ll make sure I get my stakes back on the race. That’s the plan. Hopefully it’ll work out, but it’s never that easy.
Koshari 33’s EW 5 Places
Ten Ten 25’s
Time To Get Up 14’sAugusta Gold is interesting in the Randox colours, and definitely agree that Escaria Ten is going to be winning big races at some point.
I don’t remember a year where so many unexposed novices are looking likely to go.. Makes me slightly less sure on my Court Maid selection as she’s not clearly well handicapped, as much as she’s solid.
Espanito Bello is another i think has potential, his jumping was terrible when beaten by Coko Beach last time. He still managed to look a massive threat until ballooning the last and losing all chance. Gets 3pds now, is less exposed and is 25s vs 14s.
I’ll await tomorrow, managed to narrow the field down to about 50 of potential runners.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!No real shock to see Koshari and Time To Get Up pulled, and really all about Ten Ten getting punted for me now.
I’ll no doubt add a couple more, but today’s forfeit stage didn’t help, as I was hoping Champagne Classic wouldn’t be ready. He stands his ground though, and he’d have to be covered.
I’m hoping that School Boy Hours doesn’t sneak in, but I think he might just make it. He’ll give me an equally big problem, as will fellow JP Runners, Off You Go, and Top Moon.
I’m seriously considering Off You Go, and Top Moon just now, as I can see them being significantly shorter. The sudden step up in trip for Top Moon the other day, didn’t go unnoticed either.
Walk Away will be Henry de Bromhead’s only runner if Balko des Flos goes to Aintree as expected. He’s my first bet. Been off since his hard fall in the Munster National, obviously fragile and trip is an unknown but his pedigree gives some grounds for optimism and he was going ok before he fell that time. He’s 40s at present.
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