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Looks like Jack Hobbs is all set for the Prince of Wales, and once that’s confirmed 3/1 on Highland Reel could be a nice docket to be sitting on. He has next in the betting Frontiersman already covered, and I can’t see anything else getting near him unless it buckets down. Highland Reel 4/1.
Posted it in my DLAP thread a couple of hours before starting this one. Got the 16’s with both no problems.
Did you have a go MOM ?
Only just seen the thread Botchy
Unfortunately I didn’t play. If I’d have thought about it for a second at the time, I would’ve realised 16s is massive and had a nibble.
As for Gracious Diana, I’ve played her with shutter Speed for the Derby and think 16s for the ribblesdale may just be too big to ignore.
Thankfully, I actually forgot all about GD for the Ribblesdale almost straight after I made that post.
Have no bets for the hardwicke as it’s a play on the day race for me.
Laid off my JH bet @ 3/1 stake some time ago, but still sat on £100 to win £1200.
“We are going for the Hardwicke as a prep for the King George,” said Gosden. Obviously Minding, So mi Dar and the part owners Cloth of Stars being ruled out make the POW an option.
Hopefully Gosden & Mrs Gosden still thinks the original plan is best for the horse, but the other part owner is possibly wanting a runner in the G1. I think it would be a mistake to risk JH over 1M 2F on fast ground especially if Highland Reel goes POW.
Quite certain he will get an entry still for the Hardwicke and hopefully Highland Reel does not ( but doubt it )
I was going to play Dartmouth at 6/1 but was concerned Jack Hobbs might run here.
With that being no concern now and with Highland Reel potentially following Jack Hobbs to the Prince Of Wales, I am now on Dartmouth at 4/1.
The horse won the race last year and he did me a favour already this season when winning satisfactorily on his seasonal debut. He won with more in hand than the bare margin and Ryan Moore said he would have preferred to have something to race with, as the horse is a true battler.
This looks well winnable if the others defect and 4/1 will surely beat SP.
Dartmouth 4/1 looks sure to go close at least.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Personally I’ll be wanting to take Dartmouth on (as short as 11/4 with SkyBet, but 7/2 available) as I think the horse isn’t seen to best effect on a very quick surface; I appreciate he has won on good-firm but they were handicaps off marks of 82 and 89 – races he should have won regardless of ground conditions.
I’m not really enticed by much at the head of the betting and so have looked further down the field. I think both Midterm (33/1 with Paddy Power) and Chemical Charge (40/1 with Bet365) won’t be anywhere near those odds if lining up and so have had a couple of speculative punts at small stakes just in case connections do decide to take their chance although I appreciate they are both more likely to shirk Royal Ascot altogether. The former looks like coming to the boil and a right handed quick ground 12 furlongs looks like what he wants. The latter was never happy in the Aston Park last time and the soft ground was probably to blame as he looked all over the winner previously in the John Porter when seemingly relishing the quick surface. A right handed track and a shorter run in could bring about improvement.
I like three outsiders each way.
Dal Harald 12/1, My Dream Boat 18/1 and Second Step 21/1.Value Is EverythingDartmouth is too short at about an average of 2/1 now.
The Yorkshire Cup he won has worked out woefully.
He will probably strip a lot better now and this is a pretty poor field.
I can’t enthuse about Idaho, who I have seen tipped up. His old sparring partner US Army Ranger is running in the Alexandra, which hardly inspires confidence regarding last year’s Derby.
Dal Harraild was quite impressive last time but I am not sure he beat much and he’s never won twice in a row in his life.
Timeform are very dismissive of Second Set, giving him only two stars out of five. He’s only had two starts for Roger Charlton and won at Goodwood in Listed Class last time. The stable are red hot on 31% 8/26 this last fortnight and there seems worse value in the race.
Chemical Charge is even more slated on one star. His last run was rubbish right enough but that was soft ground in Dartmouth’s race. He’s placed 6 times in a 10 race career and in a hotch potch of a race 40/1 each-way might be a low cost option for some fun.
I did Dartmouth and I think he should run well. A bit skinny at half the odds I took though. Stoute is only 3/31 the last fortnight and a shade less than half his annual average. A couple have run well for him this week but generally they have been going off short enough for a stable not on all cylinders.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I can’t enthuse about Idaho, who I have seen tipped up.
Literally.
Wings Of Desire has a good chance for this. I fancy he is spot on and raring to go in a decent but not overly strong hardwicke.
He was ahead of Dartmouth in last years King George and on bare form that puts him just ahead of Idaho. Both could be much better with age.Idaho is another who has the scope for a lot of improvement, especially after a blow out at Epsom where he wasn’t given a hard time of it.
Wings Of Desire & Idaho e/w
15/2 and 11/2Obvious who wins this! After my daughter was watching Toy Story this morning and one of the characters says “let’s go Idaho”!!!!
I can’t enthuse about Idaho, who I have seen tipped up.
Literally.
I think the opposition was so poor that Idaho lost concentration and fell flat on his tits. The bookies’ invisible trip wire is the other theory for that Leger debacle.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Second Set and My Dream Boat are out.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Idaho for me here, missed the AP prices on him and not going to be backing him at 4’s.
I think Seammie has kept the ride to make amends for the St. Leger, as opposed to Ryan choosing the Queen’s horse.
Second Set was a damned good miler for Luca Cumani a good few years ago Steve
Muntahaa looks the value e/w at 14/1 to me!! Dartmouth is too short for me to bet but has obviously been targetted at this race!
I like three outsiders each way.
Dal Harald 12/1, My Dream Boat 18/1 and Second Step 21/1.Only left with one, Dal Harald each way. On paper not much pace in this race and he’s one who could get a positional advantage.
I’ve now saved on Idaho, even though he may do an Order Of St George.
Want to be against Dartmouth on that ground. Form consistently worse on a firm surface, is that a coincidence?Value Is EverythingAs said earlier, I want to take Dartmouth on and I can’t get behind Idaho as I’m not sure he’s still got his form from last year. I’ve backed Chemical Charge each-way. He will relish the likely strong pace and fast ground so should have a shout. The two to win are Muntahaa and Wings Of Desire. The former is a bit in and out but he’ll relish the conditions and is drawn well so should be handy and we all know he can be a real battler. The latter was 2nd in a King George and basically if he can turn up in similar form he’ll win. He’s priced up as if he’ll come on for the run and that’s the worry.
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