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D16:10 Although not a handicap, I had some success using the same system on this Listed and higher races over timber so giving it a go on the flat. I really think that Manaccan could be even money here, so taking 3.3, I also think that Union Court is on the up, and could be a danger 9.6 is generous so 1pt on each of these.
+1.3 / +41.3
Enthused in the 14:15 @ Epsom, is for sure a horse who either turns up or stays firmly at home, but in a race which hardly seems full of horses suited to conditions I think its worth a 1pt win bet @29. I don’t think a place or E/W is really worth is as he’s probably going win or be dead last!
Thibault is probably the most likely on form, and I have him at odds of 2.7 so will go 1pt win @ the 5.1 available.
-2 / +39.3
Ive been a bit busy of late, had a little look today, teh only one I fancy for a bit of value is Arclight in the last race at Catterick. Seems to have been completely overlooked in the market and could be competitive in the conditions.
1pt 3 places @5
-1 / +38.3
Pontefract specialist Flint Hill seems overpriced in the 15:05 race to me. Has some decent opposition but I have him as a 5/2 shot in this, so I will take 1pt @8.6 and 2pts for 3 places @ 2.44
+10.48 / +48.78 overall
The 15:45 at Leicester doesn’t have much in terms of standout form, but I would rate the in form Haveoneryerself as having as much chance as anything else in the race, so 19.5 for then win and 5.2 for top 3 is too generous not to have a go at. 1pt on each.
-2 / +46.78
No time for a long explanation, but in terms of value Oscula in the 15:00 at Newmarket 1pt win 2pt 3 places
-3 / -40.78
M13:35 Not the most inspiring of races, but the top weight Tommy G seems over priced to me @7.6 I have him as half that price in this 1pt Win
-1 / +39.78
Not had too much time to properly look, and when I have there hasn’t been much that I fancy.
I do like Dakota Gold in the 15:30 at Doncaster today, should have the beating of the rest in the conditions I have him as a 2/1 shot in this, so will take 4.7 as a bit of value. 1pt win
+3.7 / +43.48
R16:50 The 2 that head the market certainly deserve to, but neither represent any value with some definite dark horses in the race. I do like a potential lay bet on Politics though. Will see what the prices are like tomorrow, will be looking for around 7’s or less.
It looks like a value bet now on Highjacked @7 so 1pt win. Politics doesn’t look as short as I would like for the lay.
R17:25 Very open race, I like Slainte Math if the odds are 8+
C14:10 Shesadabber seems overpriced to me with a good record on tough courses, and will have no problems in the soft ground. 1pt win @14 and 1pt place @3.95 Mrs Bagerman is a good lay bet @ 16.5
So close!!!
Mrs Bagerman a very distant 11th as well
+2.95 on the day.
+45.43 overall
N15:15 I have Turntable at 3/1 so I am more than happy to take 8 on BF 1pt win. Frantak looks easy to oppose, hard to see him getting the distance in these conditions 1pt Lay.
+9 / +54.43
Monty’s Award seems to be completely out of favour in the 15:58 at Huntingdon, but this is a weak race Barely Famous is a Threat but short enough.
1pt Win @ 14.5
2pts 3 places @ 3.35+18.2 / +72.63
The 15:05 at Redcar seems quite on open race, Yorkshire Lady is an attractive price, but there are a number of unknowns, it wouldn’t surprise me to see anyone of 5 or 6 of these win. 10 is good odds though so 1pt win, and 1pt place at 2.64 (3 places)
Given how open I think this is I am laying the fav @2.92, seems way too short for me.
Race void, so I guess we will never know
D14:39 Biggles is rightly the favourite but plenty short enough, for a bit of value Air To Air could go well here, and @ 15 for the win and 3.4 3 places, I have had 1pt on each. Daniel Muscutt is in the saddle and has a great record at Doncaster, so also a bonus. Drifted significantly, gone another point on 3 places @ 5.5
K14:18 Top Weight Kaizer is way too big a price in my opinion, quite an open race, he likes it around here and ground conditions will suit 1pt @ 7.8
W13:50 Red Happy could be a dark horse, conditions will suit, a little bit dismissed as only been running in small fields so far, but could step up here, I have him as a 7/1 shot so happy to take 16 1pt win 1pt place @ 4.1
Well that was disappointing
-6 / +66.63
Well its been slim pickings this week!
I can’t see how World Without Love can be as short as 6/5 in the 15:20 @ Newcastle. 1pt Lay
Glamorous Force looks like good value @ 8.8 in the 18:00 at Wolverhampton. Not particularly easy to catch right but should be competitive in this. 1pt Win
EV’s / +66.63
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