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Its been a struggle finding a race worth analysing, but finally the 12:55 at Lingfield throws up a couple of interesting runners. The top weight Echo Watt is an attractive price @9.8 I have him at 3.7 with his record in higher class races in this sort of ground.
Then there is Ualrightharry who is a crazy price @100 plenty of places in higher class races, clearly amiss pulled up twice, and off for 200 days since, but if anywhere close to where he was previously could run well enough to get a place. 100’s are too temping not to go for the win as well though! 1pt win @ 100 + 1pt place @14
-3 / +65.43
Copper Coin seems to be left out of equations in this, but I think in this field he has a decent chance, as its very hard to find any other kind of form here. 1pt Win @26 & 1pt Place @6.8
There is nothing at all to suggest that Paddleyourowncanoe can win this, I will probably lay but waiting to see how the market develops tomorrow.
Thought Copper Coin might be going well enough at one point, but it wasn’t to be. Paddleyourowncanoe as suspected wasn’t up for this, layed at 5.8 in running.
-1 / +64.43
It seems that all Capricorn Prince needs to do is show up to win this! I wouldn’t normally back at these odds when looking for value, but honestly even @2.9 I think its a value bet.
At a much bigger price, Decora could be interesting in this field, has gone well before after a long break in better company than this. 8.4 to finish in the top 4 is worth a shot.
2pts Win Capricorn Prince @ 2.9
2pts 4 places Decora @ 8.4Way off the mark at the moment
-4 / +60.43
Amber Island could spring a surprise after being written off for the last run on the turf. A bit to prove after a long lay off, but the price is attractive for some of the best form over 7f here. 1pt Win @ 24 1pt 3 Places @ 5.5
Tide Times could be set up nicely for a return to Chasing around a course he obviously enjoys, good jockey booking, and very nice price. 1pt Win @15.5 2pt 3 places @3.55
Tide Times very nearly did the business, 7.1 returned for the place.
+2.1 / +62.53
Findusatgorcombe has the best over profile in the 14:25 @ Wincanton, however you’ve got to go back 2 years to find that form, so I am siding with Kingsmill Gin, a distant 3rd last time out, but not an ideal course and in a better race than this. 1pt win @6.8
I cannot see any reason to think that No Hubs No Hoobs should be expected to win this, I will lay @3.0 if that becomes available.
That was a shame, should have layed No Hubs No Hoobs at 3.9 earlier, but there you go!
-1 / +61.53
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