Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Greatwood Hurdle 2016
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November 12, 2016 at 17:32 #1272303
Sternrubin and Leocavallo make plenty of appeal and Rossetti has done little wrong, so 50/1 is certainly worth a doubloon or two.
November 12, 2016 at 18:18 #1272311Aye, Graham. Coral were still 40 so I had an EW double with Village Vic – hope springs eternal right enough!
Joe, that was soooooooo near with Vilage Vic, you must have been SCREAMING !!! at the telly.
Even so, that’s one half of a very decent e/w double. I hope at least 16 stand their ground
to give you the best chance. C’mon Song Light, you good thingNovember 13, 2016 at 08:13 #1272387Good man, Bobby. Coincidentally, I just published this on my blog:
It’s always a joy when you think you’ve spotted a plot horse. Often, the joy lasts only until shortly after the off, but anyway, here we go.
A horse called Song Light runs in Sunday’s Greatwood Hurdle, the 2.30 at Cheltenham. On the face of it he has little to recommend him. He’s near the foot of the handicap with 10.3 and, at a glance, has not run for 330 days. His form figures read: 5/375. His trainer, Seamus Mullins is not well known, nor is his young jockey, the 5lb claimer Kevin Jones.
Last time he ran at Cheltenham was two years ago in a Novices Handicap hurdle, where he finished third. Here’s his form comment:
Took time to settle, but really caught the eye out wide nearing the home turn and probably would have given the winner a little more to think about had he launched his challenge earlier. Still improving, there must be an opening for him soon.
He won next time out and has not won again since. But he’s competed in some decent races. In May 2015 he ran 3rd in The Swinton – should have been 2nd had his rider not put up 2lbs overweight (he was beaten a neck for 2nd).
He ran next on the Gerry Fielden at Newbury and was disappointing, always in rear last of 7 behind Sternrubin, who’s fancied for Saturday.
He ran much better next time in The Ladbroke when 5th of 21 to the dead.heaters Sternrubin and Jolly’s Cracked It. Since then – 330 days, he has not been seen…on a jumps track. Two weeks ago he was 3rd of 11 in a Nottingham handicap on the flat, beaten just under two lengths. Here’s his form comment:
Song Light was backed at big odds and stayed on late along the inside, albeit proving no match for the front pair. His run before that was after that long layoff when he was down the field in an all-weather race.
Song Light has talent and he’s only 6. He seems not to have had the best of luck and it looks like he thrives in a big field off a hot pace: he should get both on Sunday. The going will not trouble him. His young claiming jockey knows him very well and, on paper, he is far ftom what he seems.
He looks great value to me at 40/1, though going by his form figures, you’d want to bet him each way. Half a dozen bookies offer that price – have a look at Oddschecker.Good luck.
JoeYou make a good argument.
Ive sacked MODUS myself at 15/2. I’ve heard he’s well fancied too.
November 13, 2016 at 08:48 #1272394Not one to miss a party, backed him ( Song Light ) as well E/W @ 25’s of BFSB
Thanks for pointing that one out Joe
November 13, 2016 at 14:21 #1272487Winter Escape has the best chance, but at the prices Modus looks a cracking each way bet @ around 7/1.
Also backed Sternrubin for the win just in case they let him dictate.Value Is EverythingNovember 13, 2016 at 14:39 #1272495Song Light travelled like a dream. Obviously just lacks that finishing kick and will probably always be an EW horse
November 13, 2016 at 14:39 #1272496If only Coden could’ve got the rail up the home straight.
Value Is EverythingNovember 13, 2016 at 14:40 #1272497Joe !!!!!!…that’s as exciting as it gets. I really thought Song Light was going
to do it, maybe could have jumped the last a little better, but that’s being very
pernickety. He ran a great race and 3rd will do for me, thanks for the tipNovember 13, 2016 at 15:22 #1272506Agree with you Ginger was on Modus at 14s put up earlier in thread made a mistake 2out as well gutted
November 13, 2016 at 15:25 #1272508Just Wow, superb stuff Joe.
When i back these big priced ones i always leave a little lay up on BF so if it comes a close second i’m not too pi~~ed off.
Got matched at 2.02 to the win part of the bet.
Amazing stuff on that one Joe seriously.
Thanks for sharing
November 13, 2016 at 15:34 #1272509Well done, Botchy – laying a 25/1 chance at 1/1 – that’s the way to do it :)
Thanks, Graham. Shame it didn’t quite come off but it’s been a lot of fun since Friday, especially watching a horse travel like a champion hurdler coming to to the last!
Am hoping Bobby backed it EW: not for the first time, he posted it before I did.
November 13, 2016 at 15:38 #1272510Thank you Joe
Yeah, each way, always nice to get a return from a 40-1 shot, and very happy with that.
November 13, 2016 at 15:39 #1272512Tidy each way double Joe TOP STUFF !!!
November 13, 2016 at 15:53 #1272516Thanks, Raymo.
That’s good news, Bobby. Very glad to hear it
November 13, 2016 at 22:00 #1272551Apologies Bobby, I’ve got a lot to thank Joe for with his copy blog on Song Light,
I had a punt as I clocked that, but I’ve just had a look through the thread again
and I see that you put him up as well. The pair of you are great at pulling these
rabbits out the hatNovember 13, 2016 at 23:56 #1272576lol, don’t be daft Graham, I missed a couple on the BetVic thread yesterday………….it’s a good sign though, means that there’s plenty of people contributing to the discussion, can’t argue with that.
I’ve a lot to be thankful for to Song Light, can’t believe I made a good profit on the race, and turned things around for me over the 3 days. The Friday and Saturday had been woeful for me.
November 14, 2016 at 01:55 #1272586Glad you turned it round Bobby. I was having a pretty barren spell myself until
Gentleman Jon and Thomas Brown last weekend, and then (with a little help from
my friends) Song Light and Buywise e/w and a decent bet on Some Invitation this
weekend, have helped me claw my way back out the mire.I’m glad the jumps are here, I was floundering at the tail end of the flat, but
I must admit I’ve been shaken by the number of tragedies there have been over the
last couple of weeks. I can’t recall such a start to the jumps and I found myself
hardly able to watch when Le Reve brought down 3 on Saturday, although thankfully
they all got up. Simonsig today just about did me in. Lets hope for better times
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