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Greatwood Hurdle 2016

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  • #1270605
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15106

    Had another look at this race, and if enough money about next week, then might do a book on it, especially as there’s still a good few in there that I like, not least Romain De Senam. I have parted with more cash though, and it’s on his stablemate Tommy Silver, who I think is too big at 33’s.

    #1271258
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15106

    With my original picks not making it, I’m happy to see Tommy Silver stand his ground, and hopeful of a run for my money. Sternrubin, one of my favourite horses in training, is still big I reckon at 12’s, and considering him as well.

    Ch’Tibello, with a run under his belt, could also be dangerous.

    #1271411
    Avatar photobotchy1
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    • Total Posts 6195

    Original bet a N/R so had a bit on John Constable e/w @ 25’s. Hoping for the Williams double :wacko:

    #1271426
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6330

    Well after due deliberation I have backed THREE in this…

    BRAIN POWER 12/1 was pretty tenderly handled last year and I think they think a fair bit of this horse and even with nearly top weight I feel that it could be a fair bit better than this!!

    TOMMY SILVER 25/1 and with Nicholls taking the ones I really fancied for this I had to back this one.

    THUNDER SHEIKH 50/1 ran some nice races last season and has had a run to get him ready for this and is a big price maybe too big.

    Good Luck :good: :good:

    #1271442
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6114

    There’s a decent race in Mad Jack Mytton. If he runs I’ll back him.

    #1271530
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6330

    MJM is an old fave of mine Joe but to be honest I have given up on him!!
    He ran great behind Solstice Star at Cheltenham last year then has ran some shockers since and I think I backed him every time!!

    If he wins I will be pulling my hair out if I had any left!!

    #1271646
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6114

    He’ll win, then, Raymo!

    I’ve added Consul De Thaix for a small bet after Nic Doggett of Timeform made a reasonable case for him at the price – 33s

    #1271969
    lionroars
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    • Total Posts 167

    ITS LEONCAVALLO FOR AT 10/1 RAN REALLY WELL 1ST RUN BACK. ONLY PROBLEM IS NOT SURE ABOUT THE JOCKEY. BUT DOES CLAIM 5LB SO I CAN HOPE

    #1271970
    Avatar photoKris
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    • Total Posts 1468

    Chtibello at 12-1 and Hargam 20-1 for me, with Hargam each way.

    #1272018
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    Really should leave this alone now, but with Tommy Silver not going, I’ve added Song Light at 40’s to go with Sternrubin.

    #1272026
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    Good man, Bobby. Coincidentally, I just published this on my blog:

    It’s always a joy when you think you’ve spotted a plot horse. Often, the joy lasts only until shortly after the off, but anyway, here we go.

    
A horse called Song Light runs in Sunday’s Greatwood Hurdle, the 2.30 at Cheltenham. On the face of it he has little to recommend him. He’s near the foot of the handicap with 10.3 and, at a glance, has not run for 330 days. His form figures read: 5/375. His trainer, Seamus Mullins is not well known, nor is his young jockey, the 5lb claimer Kevin Jones.

    
Last time he ran at Cheltenham was two years ago in a Novices Handicap hurdle, where he finished third. Here’s his form comment:

    Took time to settle, but really caught the eye out wide nearing the home turn and probably would have given the winner a little more to think about had he launched his challenge earlier. Still improving, there must be an opening for him soon.

    
He won next time out and has not won again since. But he’s competed in some decent races. In May 2015 he ran 3rd in The Swinton – should have been 2nd had his rider not put up 2lbs overweight (he was beaten a neck for 2nd).

    
He ran next on the Gerry Fielden at Newbury and was disappointing, always in rear last of 7 behind Sternrubin, who’s fancied for Saturday.

    He ran much better next time in The Ladbroke when 5th of 21 to the dead.heaters Sternrubin and Jolly’s Cracked It. Since then – 330 days, he has not been seen…on a jumps track. Two weeks ago he was 3rd of 11 in a Nottingham handicap on the flat, beaten just under two lengths. Here’s his form comment:

    
Song Light was backed at big odds and stayed on late along the inside, albeit proving no match for the front pair.

His run before that was after that long layoff when he was down the field in an all-weather race.

    Song Light has talent and he’s only 6. He seems not to have had the best of luck and it looks like he thrives in a big field off a hot pace: he should get both on Sunday. The going will not trouble him. His young claiming jockey knows him very well and, on paper, he is far ftom what he seems.

    He looks great value to me at 40/1, though going by his form figures, you’d want to bet him each way. Half a dozen bookies offer that price – have a look at Oddschecker.

    Good luck.
    
Joe

    #1272033
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    Have taken 12/1 about A Hare Breath.

    #1272037
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15106

    Brilliant Joe, that’s a good omen. After Tommy Silver didn’t make it, spent a good while today looking for a backup, and I’ve went for him off the back of the reasons you’ve outlined a lot more comprehensively than I tried to. Good luck :good:

    #1272101
    Avatar photoBigG
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    • Total Posts 13329

    Thanks for that Joe, it does look like he’s been laid out for this. I’m quite keen on
    Ch’Tibello, and have had a punt on him at 11s, but I’ll also have a small e/w on Song Light,
    even a place would be very worthwhile. I checked the markets, and only Coral (who I can’t bet
    with) and RaceBets still go 40s at this time. I tried to place £10 e/w with RB, but all I’m
    getting is “we cannot accept this bet”. I’ll give then another try in the morning and if they
    still won’t take it I’ll take 33s elsewhere. Laziness on my part as there’s a coral betting shop
    not much more than a 1/2 mile from me, but I grudge giving them my cash. Well spotted :good:

    #1272126
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6114

    Thanks, Graham. I’ll add Leoncavallo too and that’s me done. Good luck all

    #1272178
    Avatar photoBigG
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    • Total Posts 13329

    Joe, RaceBets took the bet this morning at 40s…..fingers crossed :good:

    #1272216
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6114

    Aye, Graham. Coral were still 40 so I had an EW double with Village Vic – hope springs eternal right enough!

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