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More to come on the French Derby tomorrow, but now that really had better be it for tonight.
Value Is Everything2:35 Epsom
68 points @ 5/2 (generally) Veracious (min 9/4)
20 points @ 9/2 (betfair) Awsometank (min 9/2)
16 points @ 6/1 (betfair) Nyaleti (min 11/2)Value Is EverythingJust looking at the 2:35 Epsom, Istabraq; but don’t think I’ll play. Thought about Veracious, might have needed the run on reappearance, but imo didn’t find much under pressure and now tongue tied for the first time… Awesometank also in new headgear, cheek pieces; struggled to beat Anna Nerium last time… And too many runners here want to race up with the pace. Some that can’t get there won’t run to form and/or will go too fast and set it up for a closer… Nyaleti has imo just as good form as the favourite, but what happened last time out? And he’s one that goes from at or near the front. But the closers Bella Regazza and (to a degree) Anna Nerium may need good or softer to be at their bests. Therefore, I’ll probably file it in the too difficult tray… at least until after the first race time is known – seeing if it’s still over-watered goodish ground.
Arrrrgh! You idiot Ginge! Worked the pace out right, then in the end went against Ana’ because thought the ground would be against her. Prominent runner Awesometank ran much better than position suggests, doing by far the best of prominent runners and will probably be under-estimated next time; particularly if allowed time to get over this hard race.
Value Is EverythingGround firming up:
22% Telecaster 7/2 (5/1 available)
18% Broome 9/2 (6/1 available)
14% Sir Dragonet 6/1
14% Anthony Van Dyck 6/1 (available @ 9/1)
8% Madhmoon 12/1
7.25% Circus Maximus 13/1
6.5% Bangkok 15/1
4.75% Japan 20/1
2.25% Line Of Duty 40/1
1.5% Norway 66/1
1% Sovereign 100/1 (available @ 179/1)
0.75% Humanitarian 132/1
0 Hiroshima Worse than 2000/1Value Is Everything2019 Derby:
21 points @ 25/1 Quorto
27 points @ 25/1 Too Darn Hot
25 points @ 14/1 Anthony Van Dyk
LAY 10 points @ 5.6/1 Too Darn Hot
64 points @ 5/1 (L) Telecaster (min 9/2)
57 points @ 5.6/1 (betfair) Broome (min 5/1)
18 points @ 5.6/1 (betfair) Broome (min 9/2)
6 points @ 159/1 (betfair) Sovereign (min 129/1)
Another:
12 points @ 8.8/1 (betfair) Anthony Van Dyck (min 7/1)Value Is Everything2019 Derby:
21 points @ 25/1 Quorto
27 points @ 25/1 Too Darn Hot
25 points @ 14/1 Anthony Van Dyk
LAY 10 points @ 5.6/1 Too Darn Hot
64 points @ 5/1 (L) Telecaster (min 9/2)
57 points @ 5.6/1 (betfair) Broome (min 5/1)
18 points @ 5.6/1 (betfair) Broome (min 9/2)
6 points @ 159/1 (betfair) Sovereign (min 129/1)
Another:
12 points @ 8.8/1 (betfair) Anthony Van Dyck (min 7/1)
LAY 10 points @ 3/1 (betfair) Sir Dragonet (min 4/1)Value Is EverythingI was thinking the same, Baynet.
Time will come when it doesn’t happen and we get a blank day. So please take that in to account in staking.
Am really kicking myself for not backing Ana Nerium though.
Value Is EverythingPrix Du Jockey Club – Sunday:
31 points @ 10/1 (B365) Surfman (min 17/2)
28 points @ 12/1 (B365) Sottsass (min 11/1)
saver:
12 points @ 9/1 (B365) Slalom (min 9/1)Value Is EverythingPrix Du Jockey Club – Sunday:
31 points @ 10/1 (B365) Surfman (min 17/2)
28 points @ 12/1 (B365) Sottsass (min 11/1)
savers:
12 points @ 9/1 (B365) Slalom (min 9/1)
44 points @ 13/8 (PP) Persian King (min 6/4)Value Is EverythingMorning GT
What do you use for your French race form study it’s a shame race passes don’t cover those races?
Timeform don’t seem to produce an official race pass on French racing, Baynet. But if looking up a horse you know is in the race (typing in the horse’s name) you’ll see “entries 1” (or however many entries the horse has). Click entries and there’ll be a Prix Du Jockey Club button (or whatever race the horse is entered in). Press that and you’ll get all the runners in one spot (a race pass).
This also works when occasionally “Big Race Entries” sometimes doesn’t show the race I’m looking for (usually when ante-post races are in transition to a day of race situation).
Hope that helps.
Value Is Everything
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