Ginger's Winners

[Gingertipster]

Windsor worked out as perfectly as Naas.

Value Is Everything

[MTOTO88]

Well done GT. You’re flying after your holiday

[MTOTO88]

Unlucky with your Magna Grecia bet. Do we take the 5/4 or wait for the market to establish?

[Gingertipster]

Hold your bets on the Irish 2000 for the moment, Mtoto.

Value Is Everything

[MTOTO88]

Ok, will do, thanks

[Gingertipster]

20p Rule 4 but a 117.8 points profit on the race today.

Value Is Everything

[Baynet]

you’re in top form GT !

[Gingertipster]

Ante-post bets yet to be included in totals:

Irish 2000 Guineas:
128 points @ 4/5 (WH) Magna Grecia (min 4/6)

2019 Oaks:
23 points @ 25/1 Hermosa
LAY 11 points @ 27/1 (betfair) Hermosa (min 28/1)
36 points @ 14/1 (B365) Iridessa (min 11/1)
4 points @ 25/1 (PP) Hermosa (min 20/1)
LAY 12 points @ 4/1 (betfair) Pink Dogwood (min 11/2)

2019 Derby:
21 points @ 25/1 Quorto
27 points @ 25/1 Too Darn Hot
25 points @ 14/1 Anthony Van Dyk
LAY 10 points @ 5.6/1 Too Darn Hot

2019 Queen Anne:
25 points @ 20/1 Century Dream

Commonwealth Cup:
27 points @ 16/1 Ten Sovereigns

St Leger:
27 points @ 14/1 Broome

Since Last Update Race By Race Profit/Loss
Cheshire Oaks +243 Mehdaayih
Chester Vase -97
Huxley +241 Morando
Aston Park -99
Lockinge +289 Mustashry
Sole Power +222 Soffia
Lacken +95 So Perfect
Hamilton +117.8 Dream Of Dreams

Since Last Update:
Stakes 813
Return 1824.8
Profit +1011.8

2019 Stakes: 3059
2019 Return: 5014.36
2019 Profit: +1955.36 points

Total Stakes: 19,654
Total Return: 25,580.78
Total Profit: +5,926.78 points
Profit On Stakes: +30.16%

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

No possible bets tomorrow, there is a listed race at Ayr Wednesday but looks listed in name only so doubt I’ll put up bets until Wednesday evening for Thursday’s Sandown and possibly Goodwood.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

…But there is one for Royal Ascot:

Coronation Stakes:
55 points @ 5/1 (WH) Qabala (min 9/2)

Value Is Everything

[LostSoldier3]

“Coronation Stakes:
55 points @ 5/1 (WH) Qabala (min 9/2)”

Agreed! I was looking at this race a couple of days ago when the news RE: Hermosa’s future targets came through – ending up cutting both Qabala and Jubiloso for the firm. Surely the race cuts up a great deal with the likes of Hermosa, Commes, Maqsad, Lady Kaya, Fairyland, Skitter Scatter and others running elsewhere. This looks the obvious target for Qabala and she’ll start 5/2f I expect.

Each-way could be the play, though? Jubiloso produced some sexual sectionals and would have the Guineas horses in trouble with a run, I suspect.

Well done on your recent success by the way, Gingertipster. I am roundly mocked in the office for looking at TRF but I do keep an eye on your thread. You’re up there with the likes of Hugh Taylor as far as your winrate and sense of value goes. It’s all the more impressive in your case as you are often betting into strong Saturday markets on the morning of the race – and you’ve been doing it for years!

[Gingertipster]

Before I came on this thread I’d just posted similar sentiments on the Coronation Stakes thread regarding Jubiloso, LS. Pretty certain she’ll end up a miler, but is she a certain runner yet? Considering how Stoutey looks after his three year olds until they’re well and truly ready… Suppose being second fav for this it’s likely she’ll turn up. Although bred for a mile, Jubilosa travelled extremely well at 7f at Newbury and raced at the head or disputing it. Was ok on debut racing mid-div, but that was 6f. Pretty certain she’ll end up a miler, but is there a danger for an inexperienced filly of over-racing over a mile in the the Royal Ascot atmosphere? If you had a market on the Jersey what price would she be? That said – even with those question marks – if coming here Jubilosa could well be challenging Qabala for favouritism… and expect her to be the better filly by season’s end.

You know my way of betting…
Backing “Qabala each way” – with very few exceptions imo win only is far better value than each way (even at big prices). Can see the 5/1 being money back second or third angle; however… Taking a fifth win odds means I’ve either put more money on or halved my win stake… Which doesn’t seem as good value when there’s a chance the horse does not run! Amount of money needed with ew also often prevents backing another horse for a good profit (whichever horse wins). In all probability (unless shortening dramatically) I’ll be putting a saver and probably more on Jubilosa nearer off time. Will keep an eye on the market, seeing if needing to get on earlier.

Thanks for your very kind words about my betting, LS. Just waiting for the inevitable losing run. Nice to hear from you again, particularly being someone in the biz of odds compiling.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Ascot Gold Cup:
40 points @ 10/1 (B365) Dee Ex Bee (min 8/1)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Irish 1000 Guineas:
33 points @ 14/1 (L) Pretty Pollyanna (min 11/1)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

^ Sometimes you don’t believe a horse will stay and yet the price is worth taking the chance.

Value Is Everything

[Baynet]

Michael bell Stable nearly had a six timer yesterday as well

[Gingertipster]

Irish 1000 Guineas:
33 points @ 14/1 (L) Pretty Pollyanna (min 11/1)
30 points @ 10/1 (PP) East (min 17/2)

Value Is Everything

[Author]

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