Ginger’s Winners 09

[Gingertipster]

Lonsdale
31 @ 3/1 (betfair) Drill Sergeant

Taking a chance on him staying, with so many question marks about the others.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Gimcrack
31 @ 3/1 (Tote) Orpen Grey
6 @ 37/1 (betfair) Corporal Maddox
3 @ 20/1 Taajub

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

4:05 York
37 @ 2.3/1 (betfair) Mister Mannannan
18 @ 6/1 (PP bog) Singeur

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

3:25 York
8 each way @ 16/1 (PP bog) Barshiba
10 @ 5.2/1 (betfair) Dar Re Mi

The form of the Bell yard make it a good bet to oppose Sariska at very short prices, especially if it remains firm.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:15 York
11 @ 13/1 (betfair) Nimue
21 @ 9/2 Beyond Desire
4 @ 9.5/1 (betfair) Cachamaidee

4:05 York
10 each way @ 8/1 (SJ bog) Flame Of Gibraltar

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Nunthorpe

19 @ 9/1 (Tote) Borderlescott
17 @ 13/2 (FD) Amour Propre
7 @ 33/1 (FD Moorcroft Lad

(The 7/1 on Oddschecker with VC has gone)

Some outstanding value to be had (imo) in this!

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:15 York
15 each way @ 5/1 (tote) Perfect Stride

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:50 York
35 @ 2.4/1 Huntdown
7 @ 18.5/1 Battle Paint
6 @ 26/1 Balcarce Nov

All on betfair

Value Is Everything

[robnorth]

Mark

I agree with you on Balcarce Nov at decent odds. Seems to have found his feet over here judged on Haydock form, and Nad Al Sheba runs suggest this one should be competitive at this level. Always helps to be on one from a ‘low profile’ stable against more publicised types.

Rob

[Gingertipster]

6:25 Salisbury
23 @ 9/2 (SJ bog) Dreemspeed
17 @ 6/1 (L) Raines Cross

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

5:20 Salisbury
38 @ 15/8 King Of Windsor (WH)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

7:30 Salisbury
23 @ 4/1 (T) Aquisition
10 @ 14/1 (C) Shemoli
11 @ 7/2 (B365 bog) Solar Graphite
5 @ 9/1 (C) Sehoy

I know; backing four horses in an eight runner race; but they are all (imo) value.

Value Is Everything

[panasonic]

Thanks for the response, but I know all that. I was just wondering if there is a difference when buying the property.

comparatif simulation taux credit auto

comparatif simulation taux credit auto

[Gingertipster]

3:45 Goodwood
28 @ 100/30 (PP bog) Mudaarah

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Results Part 2 (Unfinished)

2:45 Goodwood
8 ew @ 14/1 Tactic (7/1) 4th
20 @ 5/1 Masterofthehorse (4/1)
-36 points
Both well backed, Tactic not getting the truly run race he needs.

3:25 Goodwood
42 @ 13/8 Main Aim (6/5)
-42 points
Well backed, hit head on stalls and ran poorly, run should be ignored.

4:00 Goodwood
11ew @ 8/1 Mister Mannanan (8/1) 2nd Return 33
9 ew @ 11/1 Bould Mover (14/1)
Stakes 40
-7 points
Odds on favourite found a way through.

5:45 Goodwood
29 @ 3/1 Lowdown (2/1) 1st Return 116
13 @ 9/1 Sheer Force (8/1)
Stakes 42
+74 points
Lowdown well backed, never in trouble in this maiden. Sheer Force looked temperamental in the paddock, finished last.

2:45 Goodwood
11 @ 12/1 Chaperno (4/1)
17 @ 6/1 Dreamspeed (11/2)
-28 points
Chaperno exceptionally well backed, looked dangerous two out but did not look as if he wanted to go through a gap. Dreamspeed never got in to it from a poor draw.

3:25 Goodwood
26 @ 7/2 Paco Boy (7/2) 2nd
15 @ 2.4/1 Ghanaati (2/1) 3rd
-41 points
Surprised the favourite was fast enough. Despite the “warnings” from connections, Rip Van Winkle’s price (short and well backed), suggested there was never any major worries of a poor performance.

5:45 Goodwood
14 @ 9.5/1 Kings Wonder (6/1)
Makaamen non-runner
-14 points
The selection’s high head carriage suggests a temperament problem. Reduced price more to do with non-runners than market support.

2:45 Goodwood
9 @ 14/1 Sugar Free (16/1)
12 @ 10/1 Inexile (8/1) 3rd
-21 points
Inexile ran well, just not good enough. Sugar Free, who disappointed in the paddock, ran poorly.

3:25 Goodwood
33 @ 5/2 Schiaparelli 1st (6/4) Return 115.5
+82.5 points
Extremely well backed, never looked in trouble.

4:00 Goodwood
17 ew @ 5/1 Starfala (9/2)
-34 points
Wanted to cancel my bet before the off, rain made the going too soft.

5:10 Goodwood
18 ew @ 7/2 Laureldean Spirit (9/4) 4th
-36 points
Well backed, did not have enough speed, held up in a slowly run race. Jockey error?

2:10 Goodwood
25 @ 7/2 Crime Scene (4/1)
8 @ 9/2 Drumfire (4/1)
Age Of Reason non-runner
-33 points
Apparently Crime Scene does not act at Goodwood, finished last again. May be I was a bit blinkered with this bet, after his 25/1 success last time.

3:25 Goodwood
12 @ 10/1 Spectait (9/1) 2nd
9 @ 14/1 Webbow (10/1) 4th
5 @ 7/1 Cloudy Start (6/1)
4 @ 59/1 Horatio Carter (40/1)
3 @ 14/1 Dubai Touch (11/1)
-33 points
The winner looked in tremendous shape paddock-side, gleaming coat. Mark Johnston’s inconsistent Laa Rayb somehow managed to get the rail from a poor draw. Producing his one and only good run of the year to beat Spectait. But am I bitter?

4:00 Goodwood
9 ew @ 8/1 Buzzword 2nd (9/2)Return 27
+9 points
Very well backed, not get the best of runs up the inside, but would never have reached the short-priced favourite.

2:30 Goodwood
7 ew @ 18/1 Brief Encounter (16/1)
-14 points
Soft going possibly against Brief Encounter. If you excuse the after-timing, did back Zacinto on-course. Could not believe him going out to 7/2.

3:25 Goodwood
9 ew @ 12/1 High Heeled (8/1)
-18 points
Well backed, got the soft going that suits, but possibly needs further now.

3:45 Goodwood
11 @ 12/1 Sonny Red (9/1)
8 @ 20/1 Biniou (9/1)
10 @ 16/1 Genki (14/1) 1st Return 170
3 @ 10/1 Markab (15/2) 4th
Stakes 32 points
+138 points
Biniou more than halved in price, but it was Genki who won. Went around the Beckhampton yard shortly before Royal Ascot. Genki was the only one his pessimistic trainer Roger Charlton seemed to think had a good chance there. Finished last when trainer in poor form. Back in form and at the right trip (7f last time out the week before) emerged from the mizzle to win.

3:35 Salisbury
23 @ 11/2 Directorship (10/1)
23 @ 11/2 Block Party (5/2)
-46 points
One strong and one weak in the market, neither good enough on the day.

4:05 Salisbury
13ew @ 8/1 Cape Amber (9/2)
-26 points
Very well backed. Should have been good enough for second, but as she can, pulled too hard in front.

1:55 Salisbury
25 @ 7/2 Joe Packet
-25 points

3:40 Salisbury
10 ew @ 7/1 Piquante
-20 points

4:45 Salisbury
20 @ 8/1 Khateeb
14 @ 6/4 Confront
-34 points

2:55 Newbury
17 @ 6/1 Zaaqya
5 ew 25/1 Takafu
5 @ 8/1 Oasis Knight 1st Return 45
Stakes 32 points
+13 points

3:30 Newbury
31 @ 3/1 Sand Vixen 1st Return 124
17 @ 7/1 Excelling
Stakes 48 points
+76 points

2:10 Newbury
13 ew @ 7/1 Blakeys Boy
-26 points

2:35 Newbury
10 @ 16.5/1 Age Of Reason
All The Aces non-runner
-10 points

3:10 Newbury
35 @ 9/4 Evasive
3 @ 17.5/1 Balthazars Gift 1st Return ?
7 @ 13/8 Evasive
Tariq non-runner
Stakes 45 points
+?

4:20 Newbury
50 @ 6/4 Moonline Dancer 1st Return 125
Stakes 50 points
+75 points

Acomb
9 @ 18/1 Sea Lord
19 @ 5.4/1 Elusive Pimpernel 1st Return 121.6
3 @ 10.5/1 Vale Of York
Stakes 31 points
+90.6 points

Voltigeur
18 @ 7/1 Jukebox Jury
26 @ 2.4/1 Alwaary
-44 points

Lonsdale
31 @ 3/1 Drill Sergeant
-31 points

Gimcrack
31 @ 3/1 Orpen Grey
6 @ 37/1 Corporal Maddox
3 @ 20/1 Taajub
-40 points

4:05 York
37 @ 2.3/1 Mister Mannanan
18 @ 6/1 Singeur
-55 points

Chapagne
11 @ 13/1 Nimue
21 @ 9/2 Beyond Desire
4 @ 9.5/1 Cachamaidee
-36 points

Yorkshire Oaks
8 ew @ 16/1 Barshiba
10 @ 5.2/1 Dar Re Mi 1st Return 62
Stakes 26 points
+36 points

4:05 York
10 ew @ 8/1 Flame Of Gibraltar 3rd Return 30
+10 points

2:15 York
15 ew @ 5/1 Perfect Stride
-30 points

2:50 York
35 @ 2.4/1 Huntdown
7 @ 18.5/1 Battle Paint
6 @ 26/1 Balcarce Nov
-48 points

Nunthorpe
19 @ 9/1 Borderlescott 1st Return 190
17 @ 13/2 Amour Propre
7 @ 33/1 Moorcroft Lad
Stakes 43 points
+147 points

5:20 Salisbury
38 @ 15/8 King Of Windsor
-38 points

6:25 Salisbury
23 @ 9/2 Dreamspeed
17 @ 6/1 Raines Cross
-40 points

7:30 Salisbury
23 @ 4/1 Acquisition 1st Return 115
10 @ 14/1 Shemoli
11 @ 7/2 Solar Graphite
5 @ 9/1 Sehoy
Stakes 49 points
+66 points

Not quite finished this, thought better put what I have here as haven’t done a profit /loss for some time. Hopefully get it cracked after Goodwood.[/u]

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Have worked out both the 2:35 and 3:10 at Goodwood, but there does not seem to be much value there. Will look again in the morning.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Still not much value to be had in the 2:35 and 3:10.

Here are my 100% books:

2:35
Urban Poet 13/8, King Of Wands 7/2, Mourilyan 9/2, Oasis Knight 11/1, Victoria Montoya 14/1, Classic Vintage 14/1, Star Of Pompey any price (below 0.05% 2000/1).

Oasis Knight seems the best value there, but can sweat up badly and I want to see whether he’s taken to the visor a second time. So will take a look at him in the paddock before backing him.

3:10
Delegator 20/21, Zacinto 9/4, Cesare 15/1, Mac Love 18/1, Beacon Lodge 22/1, Ordnance Row 80/1, Smokey Oakey 200/1

I make Zacinto, Cesare, Beacon Lodge are all marginal value. Allowing for a margin for error, nothing appeals. Hopefully better to be had on-course.

Is a bet in the 4:20.

4:20
17 each way @ 9/2 (SJ bog) Baltimore Clipper

Although he’s bred for the distance, Magic Lantern showed speed at 7f. Poor draw might be overcome if racing prominently again, but will they want to do that going up in trip? Worth taking on.

Baltimore Clipper is improving and looks the obvious sound each way horse, if getting away faster this time.

Treggoning is in fine form and Ilston Lord may be able to improve a lot from debut.

Hope Sandy Shaw does not win this, ran well enough on debut for a yard that has few debutant winners, could improve dramatically. Saw 59/1 on betfair half an hour ago, was too greedy and put up 69/1, ( Not taken) and within 5 mins was down to 14/1…

Value Is Everything

[Author]

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