- This topic has 2,423 replies, 56 voices, and was last updated 9 years, 5 months ago by
.
-
Posts
-
2:35 Kempton
24 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Raya Star (min 8/1) (£30 available)Value Is Everything2:35 Kempton
24 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Raya Star (min 8/1) (£30 available)15 points @ 1.72/1 (betfair) Raya Star (min 1.65/1) (£55 available)
Only 7 runners now but 3 horses still to be placed.
Value Is EverythingLexus Chase
33 points @ 5/1 (VC) Tidal Bay* (min 5/1)Saver:
20 points @ 11/4 (FD) Sir Des Champs (min 11/4)One more main bet to come in this race.
Value Is EverythingLexus Chase
33 points @ 5/1 (VC) Tidal Bay* (min 5/1)Saver:
20 points @ 11/4 (FD) Sir Des Champs (min 11/4)One more main bet to come in this race.
20 points @ 24/1 (betfair) First Lieutenent* (min 18/1) (£25 available)
Value Is EverythingLexus Chase
33 points @ 5/1 (VC) Tidal Bay* (min 5/1)Saver:
20 points @ 11/4 (FD) Sir Des Champs (min 11/4)20 points @ 24/1 (betfair) First Lieutenent* (min 18/1) (£25 available)
Another saver:
2 points @ 59/1 (betfair) China Rock (min 50/1) (£17 available)Value Is EverythingLexus Chase
I was very impressed with
Flemenstar
last time, a top class racehorse. But at 3 miles on stamina sapping going, with other pace setters in there – at 6/4 I am opposing him. 32% 85/40
Sir Des Champs
was outpaced by Flemenstar at 2 1/2 miles, looked like being beaten out of sight at one point but stayed on. 3 miles should suit him a lot more than Flemenstar. At around 11/4 is worthy of at least a saver.
30% 9/4
Don’t shoot me! I’ve backed an 11 year old Timeform squiggle horse.
Tidal Bay
hasn’t done anything wrong this season and from what connections are saying is a happier, better horse this term. Certainly looked that way in the Hennessey. Comes out the best horse at the weights there, better than the Gold Cup favourite. If you told me a year ago I would be backing Tidal Bay to win any race, let alone a Grade 1, I’d have laughed my head off. However, this race may be run to suit.
20% 4/1
Hennessey 4th
First Lieutenent
is the other main bet. It may look to some as if he was outstayed at Newbury; but as I said after the race, he’d done best of those up with a fast pace there. So may be better than finishing positions indicate. If the prominent runners don’t (once again) go off too quickly – could surprise some people. 20-something/1 on betfair is too big to ignore.
7% 13/1
My other saver is Joe’s tip
China Rock
, taken 59/1. First time tongue tie worked the oracle on his final start last season in the Punchestown Gold Cup on similar ground to this. If fit for his reappearance could run far better than his odds indicate. One thing that stopped me from making him a main bet was the fact he may need to race prominently.
3% 33/1
Hidden Cyclone
is improving but needs to find a good deal more to win this. Not proven at this trip either. Prolific winner, but well placed up to now. Even current betfair price of 14/1 doesn’t look generous to me. 4% 25/1
Pandorama
is a good horse at his best, but has been off so long it’s difficult to know what ability he still posesses and if he can show it tomorrow. 1.5% 66/1
Quito De La Roque
didn’t run well at Aintree and even though should be suited by conditions and how the race is run – it’s difficult to see him good enough to actually win. 2% 50/1
Midnight Chase
is a marvelous racehorse, I hope he’s seen in the Grand National this year, that’s his race. Not up to this and may be taken on up front. 0.5% 200/1
Value Is Everything1:25 Leopardstown
32 points each way (fifth) @ 9/2 (WH) Voler La Vedette* (min 4/1)Value Is Everything1:25 Leopardstown
32 points each way (fifth) @ 9/2 (WH) Voler La Vedette* (min 4/1)Good to see I’m not the only one who fancies her
Voler may have been beaten by Zaidpour and Monksland last time out THM, but that was at 2m4f. This trip in this ground is going to be difficult to get for those two if it is a good pace. And when is Voler out of the first three? Even if her conqerors beat her again, who’s going to stop her placing? So Young has beaten nothing, Rigour has one piece of good form a couple of seasons ago and Weapons may not be at his best first time up after a long time on the sidelines. It’s virtually a free win bet.
Value Is Everything2:45 Newbury
28 points @ 8.2/1 (betfair) Ballybough Pat* (min 6/1) (£28 available)Value Is Everything2:10 Newbury
53 points @ 11/4 (Sky) Pete The Feat* (min 5/2)25 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Imperial Circus (min 15/2) (£30 available)
Value Is Everything3:15 Newbury
29 points @ 5/1 (VC) African Gold* (min 5/1)
13 points @ 3/1 (L) Salubrious (min 3/1)
10 points @ 9/2 (L) Backbenscher (min 9/2)Value Is Everything2:45 Newbury
28 points @ 8.2/1 (betfair) Ballybough Pat* (min 6/1) (£28 available)saver:
16 points @ 7/4 (FD) Clondor Kaempfer (min 7/4)Value Is Everything
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.