Gingers (Flat) Winners 2010

[Gingertipster]

Working on it Corm, had computer problems.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:45 Goodwood
-23 Film Score
-18 Dandino

2nd

-41 points
Dandino well backed but just failed to get up in a photo finish. Film Score sadly suffered a fatal injury.

3:25 Goodwood
-14 Balthazar’s Gift
-20 Dalghar

3rd

-6 Riggins
-40 points
Dalghar well backed, possibly went for home too soon.

4:00 Goodwood
-26 Mayson
-20 Lord Of The Stars
-46 points
Mayson a steamer, came in to 11/2 from 9/1, fate of all good

each way

shots,

4th

. Raced on the wrong side.

4:35 Goodwood
-17 Truism

3rd

-18 My Kingdom
-8 Benanddonner

4th

-12 Satwa Laird

2nd

-2 Key Of Cyprus
-1 Highly Regal
-58 points
2nd, 3rd and 4th, it gets worse….

Days Deficit -185 points

3:25 Goodwood
-28 Premio Loco

3rd

-10 points Dream Eater
-8 Premio Loco (win bet)
-46 points
Robbed by a non-runner, making 7 runners each way.

4:00 Goodwood
-15 Sea Of Heartbreak
-18 Sour Mash
-12 Contract Caterer

3rd

-8 Berling
-53 points
Sea Of Heartbreak amiss, Sour Mash pulled too hard, Contract 3rd, Berling dog. What made it worse was I took a little bit of 66/1 Mataaleb too, 2nd.

Then Mortitia won, who I’d made a note of running with promise before Meehan returned to form. Unbacked.

5:10 Goodwood
-22 Seasonal Cross (2 bets)
-9 Agony And Ecstasy
14 @ 2.45/1

Dance East 1st

Return 48.30
+3.3 points profit
A winner! But only a saver, thanks for holding on Ryan (short head).

5:45 Goodwood
-28 Layline
-13 Manassus
-8 Thebes
-49 points
Although the main two were well backed, wished I was not on. Layline in particular looked dodgy in the paddock, sweating up and restless, temperamental? Wrong bets, poorly worked out.

Days Deficit -144.7 points

2:45 Goodwood
-20 Tropical Treat
-22 Astrophysical Jet

3rd

-8 Starfish Bay
-7 Group Therapy

2nd

-9 Triple Aspect UR
-66 points
Thought the old boy Borderlescott was on the downgrade, but market confidence said otherwise. It’s possible there was a golden highway developing on the third quarter of the track. Most winners coming from that section. Both Group Therapy and Astrophysical “poorly drawn”? American Starfish Bay is usually a front runner and slowly away (no bell). Tropical Treat well backed found her way blocked, couldn’t recover. Triple Aspect had every chance when saddle slipped and unseated rider in final furlong.

3:25 Goodwood
-30 Tactic
-24 Age Of Aquarius
6 @ 10/1

Illustrious Blue 1st

Return 66 points.
+6 points
Tactic looked the worst in the paddock, not surprised he drifted, went lame in race. Age Of Aquarius backed at 6/4 shortened to 4/6 (20% difference) before suffering bad injury in the race. Illustrious Blue well backed, got me out of trouble.

4:00 Goodwood
-30 Polly’s Mark

2nd

-10 Motrice

3rd

-10 Rosika

4th

-5 Myplacelater
-55 points
Everything but the winner. Got the short priced favourite beaten, and a 16/1 outsider wins. What makes it worse is Eastern Aria drifted to a price my 100% book tells me it’s value, yet did not back it.

4:35 Goodwood
-8 Dubawi Gulf 2nd
-13 Electra Star
-10 Fenella Fudge

3rd

-15 Opera Dancer

4th

7 @ 6.6/1

Kalahaag 1st

Return 53.2 points
+0.20 points
Main bet Opera Dancer would’ve done better with a clear run, but probably not have won. Electra Star clear paddock pick and well backed yet disappointed. Filled first 4 places.

Days Deficit -114.8 points

Too many bets on horses only marginal value.

2:10 Goodwood
-23 Manighar
Cavalryman non-runner
15 @ 8.6/1

Redwood

(after Cavalryman came out)

1st

Return 144 points
+106 points
A main bet that wins! Good job Cavalryman came out. Winner franks Harbinger’s Hardwicke form.

4:00 Goodwood
-32 Marine Commando
-8 The Paddyman

2nd

-5 Satin Love
-45 points
Fahy had brought a big team down for Goodwood and most, if not all ran poorly. Not taking enough notice of trainers in form.

5:15 Goodwood
-25 Golden Stream

2nd

-18 Puff
-3 Strictly Dancing
-46 points
Golden Stream 6/1 to 9/2 and Puff 7/1 to 4/1 well backed. Former losing out by under a length. Winner Tropical Paradise might not have acted on the ground had they not watered. However, was another in my 100% book at one stage a backable price that went unbacked.

Did have Sea Lord (not on the thread) but little more than a saver.

Days Profit 15 points

2:30 Goodwood
-17 Desert Myth

2nd

Sea Lord non-runner.
17 @ 7/1

Critical Moment 1st

Return 106.25 (incl.R4)
+72.25 points
Went in again on the two horses when Sea Lord came out, but did not have time to put it up. Ironic after such a bad week, get a winner when the second would’ve paid just as well. Even allowing for the non-runner both came in for good support; starting at 7/2 and 3/1.

3:05 Goodwood
-17 Strawberrydaqueri
-20 Stacelita

2nd

-37 points
Another near(ish) miss second. Though Midday idled and a very worthy winner. Stacelita drifted from my early price, where as Strawberry shortened. Both first two gone on to win other Group 1’s since, third here Antara following Stacelita home in France.

3:40 Goodwood
-18 Enact
-15 Genki
-8 Kaldoun Kingdom
-5 Prime Exhibit
-3 Prohibit

3rd

-2 Castles In The Air
-2 Parisian Pyramid
-6 Palace Moon
-59 points
What made it worse was another saver on the

second

Jonny Mudball. Far too many bets on those only marginal value. Main two bets well backed.

4:15 Goodwood
-38 Captain Bertie

2nd

-38 points
Captain beaten in a photo, came in from 11/4 to 2/1, stood out in condition in the paddock. Where as winner Pausanias as low as Evens in the morning, out to 3/1; although a grand stamp of animal looked burly and must be a fine prospect to defy fitness.

Days Deficit -61.75

Goodwood Festival Deficit 491.25 points

One of the worst weeks betting in my life!
It’s easy to think with all those seconds I was just “unlucky”, probably partly true. But there’s more to it than that.
Being too tired to study so many races. Studying, travelling 50 miles to Goodwood, getting through the crowds, getting back, studying……. Takes it out of you, especially with diabetes. Decided I must make an effort to get fitter if I’m to do five days next year. Trying to study when eyes are closing, you’re bound to make mistakes. Cutting corners is not the way to go.
Much better to concentrate on big value and leave the marginal stuff alone.
Not putting enough emphasis on trainers in form. Only backed one Hannon winner, and that just a saver. Made too many out of form (at Goodwood) trainers the main bet.
Made some poorly drawn horses main bets instead of savers and well drawn ones savers and not main bets.

Up to date results to come.
It does get better.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

3:00 Salisbury
-28 Liberty Cap
-28 points
8 runners actually turned up. But the each way bet finished 4th. One who usually raced fairly prominently, slowly away and did not look happy.

3:35 Salisbury
-26 Be A Devil
-24 White Devil
-50 points
Backing temperamental horses for main bets is dodgy.

4:05 Salisbury
-24 Mudaarah

3rd

-15 Fattanah
10 @ 3/1

Alsace Lorraine

1st

Return 29.5 points (incl R4)
-19.5 points
Mudaarah a little unlucky, having to wait to get out as the pace was quickening, finishing fast. Unfortunately, by the time of the withdrawls Lorraine shortened to an unbackable price.

Days Deficit 97.5 points

2:30 Salisbury
-24 Fastada
-24 points
Fastada had shown promise, but looked a poor specimen in the paddock, small and slightly dip-backed. Little scope for improvement. Even so, should’ve done better than 13th of 14.

3:05 Salisbury
17 points each way @ 5/1 Danehill Sunset

3rd

Return 34 points
+0 points
So called well backed in to 7/2, but in reality bookies worked to 124% in an 8 runner maiden race. “Come racing” they say.

3:40 Salisbury
-19 Silent Act

3rd

-7 Calatrava Cape

2nd

16 points @ 17/2

Aktia

1st

Return 152 points
+110 points
Satisfying result, first three home at good prices. Thought the second (saver) won passing the post.

4:15 Salisbury
-23 Dream Eater
-6 Secrecy

3rd

30 @ 3.6/1

Sea Lord

1st

Return 138 points
+79 points
Must learn not to back Dream Eater, his win/run ratio poor. Still, another photo finish going my way.

Days Profit 165 points

3:10 Newbury
Mountain Hiker non-runner
24 @ 5.6/1

Kansai Spirit 1st

Return 131.52 (incl R4)
+107.52
Concerned when Kansai Spirit failed to race prominently, but Buick knew what he was doing. Mountain Hiker was fairly well behaved in the paddock this time, but again rejected the stalls. May be wants a racecourse where going in to stalls is on the way back to stables.

3:45 Newbury
-41 Hooray
14 @ 10/1

Electric Waves 1st

Return 150 points
+99 points
Hooray was slowly away and never looked happy on softer ground, but Electric Waves won well.

Days Profit 206.52 points

Pity computer problems meant I could not get on here with Saturdays bets, sorry aftertiming. Shakespearean, no it’s not a story. Godolphin horse the main bet in the Hungerford, the other two betting races won by little more than savers; Sans Frontiers and Sharedah.

2:50 York
-17 Midas Touch

2nd

-5 Harris Tweed
39 @ 9/4

Rewilding 1st

Return 126.75 points
+65.75 points
Rewilding backed in to 6/4 impressive, no doubt helped by what seemed an overly strong pace. He’s also a light-framed horse who may not take quick races that well. Midas Touch up with the pace, doing better than distances suggest. Hence an ante-post bet.

3:25 York
-16 Cavalryman
-14 Jackkalberry
-12 Cutlass Bay
21 points @ 2/1

Rip Van Winkle 1st

Return 63 points
+0 points
Cavalryman another good each way bet well backed, 33/1 in to 14/1 finished 4th. May do better back up in trip. Rip Van Winkle did not need to be at his very best to win. Strangely not travelling as well as normal despite upped in trip.

Days Profit 65.75 points

2:15 York
-24 King Of Wands

3rd

-18 Samuel

2nd

-7 Electrolyser

4th

-49 points
Official going made me think it would be too firm for winner Opinion Poll. Though in the end went out to a backable price (not that I did). Samuel ran well, but a high head carriage suggests a little temperament and might not be the easiest to win with. All three horses well backed, 3/1 from 9/2, 11/2 from 8/1 and 9/2 from 6/1.

2:50 York
-20 Crown Prosecutor

2nd

-20 points
Sprinting is Crown Prosecutor’s game Looked the winner until close home. Travelled well and has the physical attributes of one who will train on well. Had I known he’d be my only bet would’ve backed each way.

3:25 York
-18 Martyr
-13 Elyaaadi
-8 Dangerous Midge
-1 Desert Sea
-40 points
All 4 very well backed, 6.8/1 in to 9/2, 11/1 to 9/1, 19/1 to 11/1 and 39/1 to 22/1. None anywhere near good enough. Overly strong pace playing its part.

Days Deficit 110 points

A day that did not work out, but all bets were good value and I believe well thought out.

1:45 York
-7 Remotelinx
-9 Cape To Rio
-5 Reckless Reward
34 points @ 5/2

Wootten Bassett 1st

Return 119 points
+64 points
Winner exceptionally well backed, in to 5/4.

2:15 York
-52 points Maqaasid
-6 Perfect Tribute
4 @ 18/1

Hooray 1st

Return 76 points
+14 points
Hooray had been my main bet on her last two starts, still, a winner is a winner. Well ridden, making the running.18/1 in to 11/1, although beginning to think it’s more down to poor prices given by York bookies. Maqaasid failed to settle in a slowly run race upped in trip.

3:25 York
21 each way @ 7/2 Snow Fairy

2nd

Return 39.38 points
-2.62 points
Good job no Rule 4 with Sariska failing to start. Snow fairy beaten by a better filly. Personally can’t see her staying the St Leger trip. At one point Midday went out to a backable price. Had I not done Snow Fairy each way would’ve at least put a saver on.

Days Profit 75.38 points

2:15 York
-17 Kings Gambit

3rd

-18 Rainbow Peak

2nd

-14 Critical Moment
-49 points
Two horses ran well, just foiled by Rio De La Plata (in form trainer) coming back to his best. Critical Moment a poor bet. Ransom Note the day before convincing me that Barry Hills horses were o.k. But one win does not make an in form trainer. Again, all three seemingly well backed, particularly Rainbow Peak, in from 7/4 to 5/4.

2:50 York
-15 Treadwell
-14 Castles In the Air
-9 Skysurfers

2nd

23 points @ 6/1

Yaa Wayl 1st

Return 161 points
+100 points
First, second, last, second last. Winner 6/1 to 5/1. Yaa Wayl an improver from another in form trainer in M. Jarvis, just beating the Godolphin pair.

3:25 York
Fleeting Spirit a non-runner
-33 Equiano
-33 points
One that looked an outstanding price on July Cup form, stepping back to his best trip, yet seemingly little money for him. Slowly away and unable to race prominently, never looked happy and rider looking down from halfway as if amiss. Probably trainer form something to do with it.

Days Profit 18 points

York Profit 49.13 points

Post Glorious Goodwood profit 323.15 points profit

Glorious Goodwood (only) -491.25 points deficit

Glorious Goodwood (inclusive) to today -168.1 points deficit

Pre Glorious Goodwood (season’s total) 736.3 points profit

Up To Date Season’s overall Total 568.2 points Profit

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:00 Goodwood
30 points @ 7/2 Axiom (L)

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:30 Goodwood
15 points @ 11/1 (SJ) Caucus
15 points @ 7/1 (b365) Golden Sword
20 points @ 6/4 (L) Drunken Sailor

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

3:40 Godwood
35 points @ 3/1 (b365) Date With Destiny

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Poet’s Voice seems to be the value in the Celebration. But settled better than usual dropped out at Salisbury, want to see him in the paddock before betting. With no pace in the race, all hold up horses. Looks trappy and might be best a race to leave alone.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Another good day at the office, despite not backing Poet’s Voice.

3:20 Goodwood
35 points @ 5/2 (betfair) Mirror Lake
15 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Fastback
7 points @ 10/1 (b365) What’s Up Pussycat
6 points @ 12/1 (PP) Ceildh House
6 points @ 13/1 Warling

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

3:55 Goodwood
31 points @ 3/1 (betfair) Himalaya
19 points @ 15/2 (SJ) First City

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Holding out for better prices on the main bets, but will back the saver first.

5:05 Goodwood
16 points @ 13/8 (SJ) Innocuous

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Holding out for better prices on the main bets, but will back the saver first.

5:05 Goodwood
16 points @ 13/8 (SJ) Innocuous

12 points @ 15/1 (betfair) Salient
14 points @ 15/2 (WH) Smokey Oakey

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:10 Goodwood
50 points @ 9/4 (SJ) Slip Sliding Away

Value Is Everything

[Scottf]

Great stuff Ginge!

[Gingertipster]

Thanks Scott.

3:50 Salisbury
10 points each way @ 14/1 Ishbelle

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:40 Salisbury
15 points @ 10/1 (T) Baqaat
33 points @ 3/1 (b365) Syvestris

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

4:25 Salisbury
9 points @ 21/1 (betfair) Belgique
13 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Perfect Silence
13 points @ 11/4 Sarasota Sunrise
13 points @ 11/4 (b365) Thrill

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

3:45 Leopardstown
28 points each way @ 7/2 (b365) Twice Over

Value Is Everything

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