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Derby 2020

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Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 388 total)
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  • #1476922
    Avatar photohein bollow
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 986

    A shame nobody here noticed Waldkönig’s first appearance last week. It was a dark evening on polytrack, but his run was the brighter and very impressive for me. He will win the forthcoming Epsom Derby with a pile of German stamina on his dam side which results in pure class mixed with good old Kingman :good:
    Waldkönig 24/1 with 50€

    #1476925
    Avatar photoTriptych
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    • Total Posts 17035

    Wow..Waldkonig was seriously impressive and I completely missed him.
    Looks like Johnny G has another Classic contender on his hands if this horse progresses through the winter and can’t wait to see him turn out at Newmarket around Craven time :good:

    Thanks Hein for pinpointing that amazing run and best of luck…Jac :rose:

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
    #1476926
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 7836

    He has a high knee action so won’t appreciate fast summer ground.
    May be a Derby doubt therefore.

    #1477002
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 32244

    I did see the race Hein.
    Was a very good performance, reminded me of a horse called Sea the Moon who I believe was German trained? You’d expect improvement as he looked green although it maybe his action as Mike pointed out. Still a very exciting prospect.

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1477034
    Avatar photohein bollow
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 986

    Your comparison honours him Nathan, as STM was our last mentionable Derby winner in 2014, and now he has become quite a good new stallion. You probably meant their running styles, since from their bloodlines they have nothing in common, as I said Waldkönig has all the finest German stamina on his dam side with the likes of Monsun, Acatenango, Wurftaube etc.
    To be honest I don’t believe too much in “knee action”, and I am very excited to see Waldkönig again and hope JG brings this colt’s very best to light next season!

    #1478026
    Avatar photoBobby Bluebell
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    • Total Posts 239

    Gary Nutting has tipped up Military March on his ATR ante post column.

    #1488754
    Frenchy15
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    • Total Posts 1427

    There’s ridiculous value all over this derby market for me. Pinatubo who in my opinion won’t even run here and is a certainty not to stay even if he does, is making the market.

    Al Suhail is 33/1 has decent form, shows decent speed but is also bred to stay 12f and is highly likely to be Charlie Applebys number 1 derby horse.

    CA confirmed this week that’s his target

    Mogul at 14s and Innisfree 25s are my other antiposts and I took a little bit on Al Aasy also at 25s after someone gave me a stat about Sea The Stars classic Epsom winners both having only one run as two year olds so maybe something in that gamble this week as he was 66/1 a week ago.

    Mogul full brother to Japan, Ryan Moore said he thinks he’s a classic horse and AOB likely number 1 string trading still at 10/1, that could be massive soon once Military March bombs in the Guineas and Pinatubo gets scratched. Wonder how the prep is going to go though, there appears not to be any derby trials in Ireland?

    #1488877
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    Derby Trial on the 8th, one of first races back now! I like Innisfree a little too Frenchy.

    Can also see what you mean about Mogul, he’s definitely the hyped horse from their yard and a nice expensive pedigree for people to mull over. On his actual form, he wouldn’t standout to me right now anyway and at 10/1 in general i’d leave him. However, he definitely has probably the most potential to shorten up a lot.

    Highest Ground for Stoute also looks one with a lot of potential.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1488884
    Avatar photoBobby Bluebell
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    • Total Posts 239

    Frenchy, why do you think Military March will bomb in the Guineas?

    #1488916
    Frenchy15
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    • Total Posts 1427

    Ah great Jack, is that the Derrinstown Stud trial? Should put him nicely toward Epsom.

    Re Military March, his only form is a group 3 soft ground win and suddenly he’s the derby fav, I find it a bit odd. They pulled clear but there wasn’t anything really in behind and he was actually outpaced in the race by Al Suhail initially as well so I don’t think he looks very speedy for the Guineas Plus he’s trained by SBS who has quite a bit of prove these days as a classic trainer. He’d need to finish in the first 4 of the Guineas to be a likely derby winner and there’s little market support in him currently. I can seeing him plodding on late in 7th/8th very easily.

    Although obviously that’s just a hunch at this stage! Plenty of people really like him.

    #1488918
    colosus68
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    • Total Posts 150

    why have they entered Pinatubo in the Epsom Derby.

    I reckon he will be a great miler and I think the 1m 4f is not up his street.

    Am I losing the plot ?

    Colosus

    #1488926
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16531

    Pinatubo is number 140 and is one of only two course winners along with Sir Mark Prescott’s Bodyline number 10.

    #1488927
    colosus68
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    • Total Posts 150

    Lets look back at the Curragh two runs ago. He will ride him similar to that in the 2000 Guineas.
    Arizona was 9 lengths and a neck behind in the Curragh. He is 8 to 1 to turn the next champion over in the 2000 Guineas

    Not a hope

    Bookies are running scared. That’s why he is a terrible 10/11 in places.

    He will blow them away. He will come come cruising at the 2 pole and press the button, Buick will squeeze him up and win how he likes.

    There is nobody that will go with him.

    If you ask me the sponsors should have the winning cloth ready with his name on it.

    Its a four gone conclusion if he runs.

    The mafia are probably buying laser rifles and looking at vantage points around the track.

    That’s the only thing that will stop him.

    When Colosus is strong get on

    ok

    Colosus

    #1488930
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 7836

    Will be interesting to see how Military March copes in the Guineas.

    #1488952
    Avatar photoBobby Bluebell
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    • Total Posts 239

    Thanks Frenchy for the reply. Unlike you, I believe Military March has a very good future. I was very taken with his Autumn Stakes win. I think he will excel over 12furlongs. He’s got the looks, the breeding and an excellent attitude. He earned a very good speed rating for that Autumn Stakes win and was very strong on the line.

    Mike, I’m very intrigued to see how he copes with likely fast ground. He moves like he enjoys a bit of cut in the ground. It’s not an overly round action so he could get away with it, but it is a worry for both the Guineas and the Derby.

    #1488954
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 7836

    I saw a William Haggas interview that Nick Luck did recently.

    He said, with what looked like a hint of a smile and a glint in his eye, when asked by Nick Luck if the rumours were true that Al Aasy was the best horse in his yard, that he thinks he could be very good.

    So a dark one for the race I would say.

    #1488957
    Avatar photobotchy1
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    • Total Posts 6195

    Mogul starting off in the Derrinstown Trial at Leopardstown on Tuesday June 9

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