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Dublin Racing Festival- The Review

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  • #1473858
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    Well Set Up wins her listed race! Wasn’t entirely straightforward viewing, but she’s done it well enough in the end. Stays well + has plenty of ability…interesting to see where they go now with her!

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1474276
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    I thought she was going to throw it for a second, but I’d agree, she eventually did it ok, and certainly an interesting one.

    #1475435
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    Eglantine Du Seuil ran on Sunday and whilst she finished 3rd to stablemate + more fancied Stormy Ireland she actually posted on RPRs a career best of 143. It was over 2m2 which i think this season will be too short for her. She had to carry 6pds more than Stormy Ireland too which isn’t easy. I was pleased with the pipe-opener and will be interested to see where they go with her. Hoping quietly it cultimates in a run in the Stayers, likelier that she goes mares i suppose.

    Hang In There has been well worth the follow so far, winning the Supreme trial at Cheltenham on Sunday. He’s definitely looking quite decent :good:

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1476954
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    Well Set Up wins her listed race! Wasn’t entirely straightforward viewing, but she’s done it well enough in the end. Stays well + has plenty of ability…interesting to see where they go now with her!

    Wins again, punted from 5-1 into 2-1f. Wins pretty comfortably racing prominent all the way. Now a g3 winner, that’s superb placing by Mark Fahey.

    :good:

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1476987
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    Watched the race Jack, as I was interested in seeing how Battle of Midway got on, but a very nice winner. Definitely a promising one.

    #1477016
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    Yeah she’s promising enough, but i do think she’s probably found her level ability-wise. I’m not sure what races there are now for her G2 or above, but i’d imagine she’ll fall short on that.

    At the end of the day she only beat Alpine Cobra, who took 4 runs to win a maiden hurdle.

    In third, the Hurricane Fly colours, is no star, and i questioned at the time (twitter) the form of his maiden win….

    Battle of Midway doesn’t look to have run his race either, but is probably moderate enough at this stage.

    Good win and great placing.

    The ratings came out yesterday, and they don’t seem to have moved her at all, 130, a mark maybe winnable off!

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1477651
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    A horse potentially worth watching over the next few months is Half The Odds.

    She returned off from a 635 days lay-off to finish 3rd in a decent mares chase behind ill-fated Sinoria. Beaten 31Ls on the face of it she was hammered. She’s clearly had an issue or two, and Flanagan wasn’t too hard on her on reappearance. She was entered in May so shes probably not been injured as long as it looks, so hopefully she retains her ability.

    She runs tomorrow + i think the race will be too hot for her. 20/1 that’s no surprise. However, shes a very talented mare. Won a point very well, likes a trip and soft ground. She ran a decent race 4th of 5 vs Next Destination and also when 4th behind Samcro, one place behind Delta Work and ahead of Good Thyne Tara. That’s strong form. She then finished 3rd off 124, running on for pressure behind Out of the loop + Sire du berlais.

    Given a lot of her form is vs geldings and not wins, i think it’s possible she’ll be underestimated in the future. She’s not going to be a Laurina or anything, but i’m sure Meade will place her well once he gets a few runs back in to her :good:

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1478370
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    The above runs tomorrow in a mares chase over 2m3 1/2.

    An easier race for her and she might be in with some sort of chance vs Cut The Mustard, who isn’t a star for Mullins. Worth watching anyway, and i’ll see what the markets do.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1479131
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    Well Set Up ran another very good race from another great piece of placement by Mark Fahey to finish a length second to Fury Road in the Limerick G2. G2 blacktype is a massive bonus for them. Wasn’t sure she’d quite get that far tbh.

    Eglantine Du Seuil ran no sort of race at Leopardstown behind Stormy Ireland. Given this seemed more her sort of trip, it was more disappointing even if she was still wrong at the weights with Stormy. Some of Mullins didn’t sparkle over xmas and i am hoping her run was down to that. Couldn’t be sure though.

    Hang In There ran no race in the Tolworth, have to admit he wasn’t a fancy for it, and when i marked him as one to follow for the season i didn’t expect a g1 animal. Would’ve been nice, and he could still be that.Beaten 41ls was not his running. A bad jump or two might not have helped but he was nowhere to be seen.

    Half The Odds again, ran a stinker- post race blowing hard, so either she’s still not fit or there’s something wrong with her breathing. She was well punted too. Cut The Mustard did look a different animal over fences beating little. That’s twice HTOs has been beat 30ls or more, so it’s still a watching brief. i backed her the last day, but she’s on the watchlist now. Travelled well, jumped fine but cut out badly.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1481920
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    Eglantine Due Seuil was the only recent runner. She ran probably what was a career best and probably showed that she’s at her best in big fields. This was over 2m and i though, no chance! My idea from Willie’s quotes etc. on her was a Stayers hurdle punt as a longshot of course. Now it’s probably a coral cup bid with her mark of 143. Unless connections throw her in the mares (they do have Stormy Ireland for that). I think it would suit her well and 143 would probably be 146 or 147 in the UK and she’d be weighted fine.

    A new mare to watch for and she is pretty obvious to most is Politesse. Lorna Fowler isn’t a big trainer but this mare is talented. The bookies didn’t spot her form initially and the fact the trainer had a huge priced winner at Down Royal during the week, but she was supported from 50s-10s. 6 1/4Ls of Longhouse Poet and 3 3/4ls off Monkfish, both has runs in points whereas she went there for her first run and shaped nicely. The form was strong with the front 2 high up on shortlists for Cheltenham and in behind there were winners too.
    She looked like she was going backwards on Sunday but found again and stayed on nicely into second. The race was over for her rounding the bend, as she was outpaced and shower her lack of experience. Related to Don Poli, she might want a trip as well. Hopefully she is back for hurdles next year.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1481930
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    Cracking meeting again Jack.

    I took out…..

    You Raised Me Up
    Gallant John Joe
    You Can Call Me Al
    At The Acorn

    ..from the two days, and very interesting for the big spring festivals.

    I think it’s also very possible that the wins of A Wave Of The Sea, and Latest Exhibition will be underrated.

    Finally, and at a bit of a tangent, I think that the win of Glamorgan Duke confirmed that Paul Gillian can plot them for a proper big Handicap. Very impressive. With that in mind, I think that Shanwalla is a player in The Pertemps. He’s 50’s, and he’s had his Cheltenham “sighter”, and having made the journey across, quietly ran into sixth in a Qualifier at Huntingdon.

    #1481933
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    Should also add that I wasn’t put off of Any Second Now for Aintree either.

    #1481937
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    It was. I was worried going into day 2 there would be a lot of non runners, but the ground actually seemed to go the other way which was good.

    Yep YRMU is interesting going forward, has some nice form in the book. He’s up 4 to 129.

    Gallant John Joe is definitely one to keep onside, close bros perhaps?

    I’d of liked to see Al finish (obviously lol) my only worry with him is does he travel well before finding little?

    I’d agree with AWOTS- i think a strongly run Triumph which it is likely to be, will be right up his street.

    Would Shanwalla have to improve on his mark to get in to the race though? Having looked at the past few runnings?

    My other one i forgot to mention was Fan De Blues- massive run on his 2nd start in Ireland, ok he had plenty of runs in France but this is new surroundings etc. Some punt on him as well and ran well for such a long way. I’ll be backing him next time as long as his price is ok. Finishing 7th he remainings on 125.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1482004
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    Yeah, that punt on Fan didn’t go unnoticed.

    I’m no sure about Gallant John Joe for Cheltenham, does McKiernan ever send anything across? He’s proving good to follow, had some nice results from him this season, he’s doing well with what he’s got. I’ve switched from John Ryan to him.

    Touch and go for Shanwalla, but I like how he’s got him qualified.

    The other one I forgot to mention was Emily Moon who was on my shortlist for Sunday, and mentioned by yourself as well.

    #1482007
    FinalFurlong91
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    I fancy the chances of fury road to turn around the form with the others at Cheltenham

    If you look at all the times compared to standard that race was run miles slower than the others (22 seconds slow compared to 5-11 slow in the others)

    It basically turned into a sprint at the end and fury road simply got outpaced before plodding on

    Davy russell also took him on a tour of leopardstown getting stuck 4 wide most of the way around

    For me the longer trip and end to end gallop of the Albert bartlett will play much more to fury road strengths and I am very much considering adding him to my ramses de teille bet

    I see those two as the out and out stayers who will be staying on past the speedier more fancied types at the end of the bartlett

    He was my main eye catcher over the weekend and 20/1 looks a massive overreaction to me and I think iv just talked myself into a bet

    #1482009
    FinalFurlong91
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    Another thing worth noting is how much slower the times were on sunday compared to saturday

    It’s likely they over watered after trainers threatened to pull horses out

    This could mean that horses that ran on the sunday had quite hard races on sticky watered ground and that may have left a mark on them

    I’m especially thinking of a fragile horse like faugheen more so than a delta work

    #1482022
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    @Bobby- Don’t think he does send many over, to be fair i can’t think of to many he has had that would’ve been deemed good enough! I’ve just checked the stats- he hasn’t had a single runner in the UK in 5 years, but in his “all time” stats hes had 14 cheltenham runners. Fingers crossed it’s been down to a lean few years rather than a change of tactic.
    Shanwalla runs tomorrow over 2m4, its a tough, small field!
    @FF- i’ve commented on Fury on your thread without knowing you had commented here lol. He is surely better than that anyway. I like Cobblers from that race myself!
    Yes i noticed that too, it did look like some were more “all out”. Faugheen will be one i’ll take on wherever (if) he goes to Cheltenham. Love him but agree i think he might just find one too progressive. Easy Game ran a stormer, Allaho would be another!

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

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