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He won easily. He’s one of those horses who takes a little while to lengthen and quicken but once he’s going he shifts. A brute of a horse I think will be suited by 6f more over time.
I still think your thinking is wrong Reet- you are falling for the fallacy that every race has a predetermined result and if you can divine this beforehand you are sure to win. The way I see it, a race could pan out completely differently even under identical conditions due to the influence of such unknowns as jockeys, other horses and random other eventualities so that even if the result of a race is known, you cannot say with certainty that your horse was value beforehand. I agree that Corryborough won like a 1/3 shot but that doesn’t neccesarily mean he was value at that price. A better example might be a horse like Bankable in the Hunt Cup on Wednesday. He could win like a 1/2 shot, but equally he could be beaten by traffic problems- if he wins like an odds-on favourite it doesn’t automatically follow that we should have taken a short price about him beforehand.
Bit of an esoteric argumenrt I know, but valid.
Look forward to the resurrection of the thread BTW
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Carv
It isn’t at all esoteric really.
It is plain and simply a tangible measure of how accurate the selection process was before the race.
I do realise that there are surprise results in many races, and ‘value punters’ per se have to allow for this, but I’m talking a totally different approach, where a selection has enough in hand of his rivals to mitigate for ill luck in running etc.
Bankable would be a fine example were the ground to be good or softer. He has 19lbs in hand of many of his opponents which should more than allow for happenstance, and it is unlikely that even the unexposed horses are concealing that much improvement from one race to the next. He’d be well odds-on in my eyes on anything but faster ground, and given the right conditions (which looks unlikely at the moment) I’d expect him to win a comfortable 2/3 lengths
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