Class Willing

[Factorman]

4.20 Ponte

Ten Carat             12<br>Corrib Eclipse        7 2nd 5/1

(Edited by Factorman at 8:24 pm on Sep. 15, 2005)

[Factorman]

3.05 Ayr

Judd Street                 9 2nd 5/1<br>Grigorovitch                6 Won 11/1<br>Pomfret Lad               6 n/r<br>Kings College Boy       6 3rd 11/2

(Edited by Factorman at 7:55 pm on Sep. 16, 2005)

[Factorman]

3.55 Newb

MAJESTIC MISSILE         16 2nd 15/8<br>THE TATLING                  12 Won 5/2<br>TEXAS GOLD                    9<br>

(Edited by Factorman at 5:47 pm on Sep. 17, 2005)

[Factorman]

5.15 Ham

REDWOOD ROCKS          14<br>PRIME NUMBER               11 Won 10/1<br>ADORATION                     10<br>

(Edited by Factorman at 7:05 pm on Sep. 18, 2005)

[Factorman]

As a system for selecting a top rated selection, it clearly does not preform well ( albeit a small sample )

Narrowing down the field ( on average 3 ) has produced some good priced winners so there is some potential there.<br>It may well be that the fault lies in the rather crude way in which current form is assesed.<br>Shall close this down and give the system some thought.

[Have fun]

Factorman<br>had a quick look at what you are doing here seems it has potentual are you taking the going and the distance that the horse has been winning at will put a bit more on this later but have to go now

<br>have fun

[Factorman]

Hello HF,

The class willing ratings table and the form points table are the only factors being used at present.<br>have been reading Peter May’s book- Forecasting Methods for Horseracing with the view to assesing current form.<br>The system has done quite well pinpointing a small group of horses for further study and will keep things as they are for now and shall post in order of preference from the selected runners.<br>Shall express the selections chances odds wise in an attempt to pinpoint possible value for money.

Andy

[Factorman]

4.00 Ayr

Ionian Spring         8pts  7/2 2nd 5/1 (9/2)<br>Love Angel             6pts    5/1       5/1 (9/2, 11/2)<br>Double Vodka         5pts   6/1 3rd 4/1  (9/2) <br>Mintlaw                   5pts  6/1         25/1 (33/1)

No bet in the race so have presented them in rating order, shall (as Standard) note down the market moves as reported by the sporting life to highlight any possible value from the race to gauge how the forecast prices are fairing.<br>

(Edited by Factorman at 12:14 am on Oct. 11, 2005)

[Have fun]

Factorman<br>Have you read Peter May’s book Horseracing a guide to profitable betting I think it would be right up your street

have fun

[Have fun]

Factorman<br>I see you got the second and third,at the prices I suppose you would have had a bit e/w on Ionion spring<br>i’ll try to look in whenever I can to see how you are doing most day’s hopefully

have fun

[Factorman]

Have Fun,

As the top rated and being a decent price it would have been the bet from a value point of view.<br>But Ionian Springs didn’t have enough going for it for me to have a bet and although the race had a good shape to it there were too many if’s and but’s amongst the form horses.

Haven’t read that book by PM, shall keep a look out for it.

Regards<br>Andy

[Factorman]

4.15 Weth

Vandas Choice      8     7/2 2nd 16/1<br>Full House             7     4/1 Won 7/2  (op 5/2)<br>Turgeonev             6     5/1          4/1

Will go with the value today for 1 pt win, best value price from the 3 selections.

Vanders choice 1pt win lost, balance carried forward -3.20

(Edited by Factorman at 7:34 pm on Oct. 12, 2005)

[Factorman]

2.30 Nmkt

Wild Savannah       9      6/1 n/r<br>Kerashan              14      4/1      9/1  op 8/1<br>Soulacroix             10      6/1 2nd 100/30 op3/1

2pts win if Wild Savannah is value, plus 1pt win if Kerashan is value.

Wild Savannah a non runner, Kerashan 7/2, Soulacroix 11/2

Kerashan 1pt lost -4.20<br>(Edited by Factorman at 10:14 am on Oct. 13, 2005)<br>

(Edited by Factorman at 10:54 am on Oct. 14, 2005)

[Factorman]

2.40 Exeter

Surefast          10       7/2 3rd 8/1  op 11/2<br>Lord Anner       8         9/2 2nd 6/5  op 5/4<br>It´s Definite     7      11/2      16/1

Lord Anner, only 2 official runs under its belt but having won one of them I have decided to include this race.

1pt win on the value selection.

Surefast 1pt lost   -5.20

(Edited by Factorman at 10:33 pm on Oct. 18, 2005)

[Factorman]

2.20 Donc

Alessano             12       3/1  s/p 9/2 op 11/2<br>Missatacama       11        3/1 2nd 11/2<br>Inside Story         7         11/2 9/2 op 5/1

Alessano   2pts e/w lost -4pts balance – 9.20

(Edited by Factorman at 9:48 pm on Oct. 23, 2005)

[Factorman]

3.30 Plumpton

 AMANPURI          12  2nd 8/1<br> SEA THE LIGHT    11<br>  WESTMEATH FLYER   9<br>  HERECOMESTANLEY   9

(Edited by Factorman at 8:34 am on Feb. 14, 2006)

[Factorman]

3.10 Newcastle 

LOOKING FORWARD     8<br>  MR PRICKLE                5  Won 6/1<br>  MIKASA                       5

(Edited by Factorman at 10:42 pm on Feb. 14, 2006)

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