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Class Willing

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  • #1696
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Class and the will to win are the two factors involved here, I’ve put them together to form a rating from 0 to 10.<br>Each runner in the race must have had at least 3 runs so we have something to base the ratings on.

    Its a little time consuming so shall post up 1 race as a norm.

    Class ratings are obtained by dividing win prize money by number of wins…<br>Example- winning prize money  £67,213 (use thousands and hundred digits only) so use 672, number of victories = 10, 672  divided by 10 = 67.2 rounded to nearest whole number so the rating would be 67.

    Will to win is number of runs divided by wins.

    Have rated 4 races at York today. (ratings 0 to 10)<br>Top 3 rated or anything with 5pts +<br>2.00  Salvati         3<br>         Dame De Noche   2<br>         Whistler            2  2nd 12/1

    3.05   Pearl Of Love          10<br>          Come On Johnny      9<br>          Sunday Symphony   6 2nd 5/1<br>          Batik                        5

    3.40   La Cucaracha            8 2nd 6/1<br>          Slip Dance                 8<br>          Lucky Spin                7 Won 8/1<br>          Kind                          5

    4.15   Border Castle            10<br>          Ofaraby                      4 Won 4/1<br>          Trouble Mountain       2

    Shall publish the table on how to arrive at the ratings in due course.<br>No other form study has been involved in todays ratings so they are stand alone ratings.

    I think the general idea has potential, will see in the coming days whether there is a bias towards the class side of the ratings or not.<br>Got something out of todays ratings though, I’ll be keeping an eye out for any signs of a return to form of Pearl of Love <br>Shall post the ratings table soon as poss.<br>

    (Edited by Factorman at 7:34 pm on July 8, 2005)

    #59894
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    I shall watch this with interest.

    Good luck and thanks for posting.

    Rex

    #59895
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

            W2W<br>Class 30%+ 27% 24% 21% 18% 15% 12% 9% 6% 3%

    Top    10     9       8      76      5      4     3    2    1<br>2nd     9     8       7      65      43     2    1<br>3rd      8     7       6      54      32     1<br>4th      7     6       5      43      21<br>5th      6     5       4      32      1<br>6th      5     4       3      21<br>7th      4     3       2      1<br>8th      3     2       1<br>9th      2     1<br>10th    1<br>Top on class and 30% + strike rate = 10pts<br>2nd top on class and 28% strike rate = 8pts<br>Basically cross reference to find the rating.

    28% is rounded down to the nearest strike rate in the table, so in this case 27%

    #59896
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Sorry folks! the table did not come out so well

    The 6 should be under the 18%<br>       5   "         "        "         15%<br>       4   "         "        "          12%<br>       3    "       "        "            9%<br>       2    "       "        "           6%<br>       1    "        "       "           3%

    :o  :(

    #59897
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    York  3.20  Lost Soldier Three     9 Won 15/8<br>                  Total Turtle               6<br>                  Winges d’Argent       5

    <br>

    (Edited by Factorman at 5:44 pm on July 9, 2005)

    #59898
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    I had planned to back Lost Soldier Three. Your rating confirms it for me.

    Rex

    #59899
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Good luck to you Rex.

    Have rated the John Smiths Cup, the top 3 rated are…

    Woodcracker    8<br>Notable Guest  7 (All unplaced)<br>I’m So Lucky    4<br>

    (Edited by Factorman at 5:45 pm on July 9, 2005)

    #59900
    FactormanFactorman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 389

    Have rated 2 races today

    Hayd  2.40   Bond Boy           4<br>                    Desert Lord       3<br>                    Sierra Vista       2<br>                    Najeebon          2<br>                    Kostar               2 Won 9/2

    Hayd  3.10   Certain Justice     3<br>                    Digital                  1<br>                    Alchemist Master  1 Won 11/2

    Regarding the 3.10, I think the class side of the ratings has been a little unfair to Zhitomir and Efidium but time will tell.

    I’m using the racing post’s life time turf starts and not counting AW stats. That will need attending to at some point especially when the AW season starts in proper.

    (Edited by Factorman at 8:35 pm on July 10, 2005)

    #59901
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Ayr 3.45  Indian Spark   3<br>               Paddywack     1 (all unplaced)<br>               Sir Don            1

    Ayr 4.15   Mount Hillaby    3 2nd 14/1<br>                Tony Tie            3 3rd  15/2<br>                Grand Terre      2

    (Edited by Factorman at 8:39 pm on July 11, 2005)

    #59902
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Beve 3.45  Fortune Island    5 <br>                 Jeepstar              3 Won 15/8<br>                 Trust Rule            1

    Brig  4.00  Habanero            6 2nd 11/2<br>                 Landucci              5 Won 4/1<br>                 Jools                    5**

    Jools- Solid e/w bet  2pts ew  unplaced

    Balance -4 pts

    (Edited by Factorman at 7:24 pm on July 12, 2005)<br>

    (Edited by Factorman at 7:27 pm on July 12, 2005)

    #59903
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Ling 3.50  Balavista       7<br>                Cesare          6 Won 13/8<br>                Into The Breeze 3

    Balavista   1pt e/w unplaced- Balance -6 pts

    The class is willing but the picker is weak.

    (Edited by Factorman at 4:59 pm on July 13, 2005)

    #59904
    FactormanFactorman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 389

    Leic 3.45   Blue Tomateo      6 3rd 12/1<br>                 Master Robbie     3 Won 10/1<br>                 Vindication          1<br>                 Aperitif                1

    Blue Tomateo 1pt e/w

    I made an error with the rating of this race, I ranked Master Robbie 2nd on class when in fact he was 1st on class, the ratings should have read Blue Tomateo (5) Mater Robbie (4), what did not change was that I picked the wrong’un again!

    (Edited by Factorman at 8:03 pm on July 16, 2005)

    #59905
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Ayr 3.15  Enchantment      8<br>               Paradise Isle      7 (All unplaced)<br>               Pivitol’s Princess 5

    1pt win Paradise Isle lost

    Beve 7.35  Saxon Lil            4 Won 7/1<br>                  Cd Flyer             2<br>                  Burely Flame      1 2nd 11/4<br>                  Baylaw Star       1 3rd 9/2

    Saxon Lil 2pts win Won 7/1 Balance +9 pts

    (Edited by Factorman at 11:06 pm on July 18, 2005)

    #59906
    FactormanFactorman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 389

    Ayr 5.15 Tony Tie       3<br>              Ulysees        2 (all unplaced)<br>              Growler        1

    Tony Tie     1pt e/w lost balance +7pts

    (Edited by Factorman at 7:57 pm on July 19, 2005)

    #59907
    FactormanFactorman
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    • Total Posts 389

    Catt 3.20  Henry Hall         3<br>                 Theatre Of dreams    1

    Both Unplaced

    (Edited by Factorman at 6:56 pm on July 20, 2005)

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